高房价僵持
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如果死扛房价不降,社会将遇到这4大麻烦,每一个都很棘手
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-10-28 05:40
Core Insights - The persistent high housing prices are significantly impacting the social economy, with negative effects becoming increasingly evident [1] - Despite some cities experiencing a slight easing in housing prices, the overall situation remains high, causing pressure on the public [1] Housing Market Dynamics - Developers and second-hand homeowners are reluctant to significantly lower prices due to expectations of future price increases and concerns about buyer psychology [3] - The average housing price in 60 key cities reached 17,593 yuan per square meter in August, necessitating at least 2 to 3 million yuan for a typical residential purchase [1] Economic Implications - High housing prices severely weaken consumer spending power, with mortgage payments consuming over 40% of household income, leaving little for other expenditures [7] - The consumer rate in China stands at 39%, significantly lower than India's 66%, indicating a potential hindrance to economic growth and structural adjustments [7] - The number of newborns in China dropped from 17.56 million in 2017 to 10.63 million in 2021, suggesting a risk of negative population growth if housing prices remain stagnant [8] Impact on Real Economy - The influx of capital into the real estate market is constraining the development of the real economy, as businesses struggle with high rental costs for commercial properties [8] - High housing prices exacerbate the urban-rural wealth gap, limiting the urbanization rate, which currently stands at 64% [8] - The disparity in property values between urban and rural areas is widening, further complicating balanced development [8] Urgency for Solutions - Addressing the issue of high housing prices is becoming an urgent necessity for the health of the social economy [8]