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黄金中期调整
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山海:黄金坚持在上涨趋势中看调整空间!
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-08-29 01:48
Core Viewpoint - The gold market remains in a strong bullish trend, but caution is advised as a mid-term adjustment is anticipated soon, despite recent highs being reached [1][3][4]. Gold Market Analysis - Gold has recently surpassed the predicted high of 3410, reaching up to 3423, but is expected to face downward pressure soon, with support levels identified at 3400, 3380, and a potential drop to 3355 [1][3][4]. - The market is currently observing a strong bullish trend, but a shift in momentum is expected, suggesting that traders should avoid chasing prices at high levels and consider short positions instead [3][4]. - Technical indicators show a divergence near the upper Bollinger band, indicating a potential for a downward adjustment if certain support levels are breached [4]. Silver Market Analysis - The domestic silver market is experiencing a high-level consolidation, with the Shanghai silver contract maintaining strength above 9400, but a potential short position is suggested if it approaches this level [6]. - International silver has shown a mixed performance, with a recent low around 38 and a resistance level at 39, indicating a range-bound trading strategy is advisable until a breakout occurs [5]. Oil Market Analysis - The international oil market is currently in a low-level consolidation phase, with support seen at 62.5, and a short-term bullish outlook is maintained as long as this support holds [6]. - Domestic fuel oil has shown limited volatility, currently around 2800, and is expected to remain in a consolidation phase unless market conditions change significantly [6].