山海：黄金在低位疯狂试探，主力上涨还有待考验！ 由于美元指数强势的表现，黄金在周二的多头没有延续，反而受压下跌，并且刷新了本周低点，跌至3285，这波下跌力度又超过了预期。本 周截至到目前，黄金还是低位震荡表现，每一次的下跌都有主力反弹，每一次反弹，都没有延续，那么，大家就要调整思路，不必过分看单 边走势，而是要在关键点位做高空低多的积累。白银的力度和空间不大，上涨不过37.3，下跌不破35.5，是很难走出多空的延续性，所以， 这个周期白银大概率是震荡表现，也是做高空低多的积累。 大家可以清晰的看到，黄金虽然是多头趋势，但上涨的阻力很大，周一3345下跌，周二再次到3345下跌，现在3345已经形成双底，而周一低 点在3295，周二低点在3285，也就是说，小周期3345的双底和3295，3285形成了一个倒三角震荡区间，那么，本周就黄金的多空就要关注这 个三角区间的破位与否。如果周内多头延续，破位3345，多头才能放量，上方才能看到3365，3400，如果周内空头延续，跌破3285，空头才 能放量，下方就可以看到3245。当然，山海还是要在这里说明一下，即使黄金跌倒3120都是多头趋势，不要怀疑这一点。对于 ...

山海：黄金中期调整走完，后市又要走出大涨空间！ 国际白银周一提示需要解决掉前期37的空单，经过开盘的慢跌，白银最低在36.1附近，空单获利出局后现在是空仓的表现。目前价位在36.5， 按照现在的表现，白银现在处在多头趋势的高位震荡价位中，看涨肯定没有问题，但是追涨的风险也很大，上方关注37.3得失，破位不猜 顶，但是不破也有回落的风险，下方关注36，35.5支撑，依次试探支撑点也可以顺势做多，所以，现在的白银建议最好是空仓，要么等待回 落做多，要么看上方高点不破尝试做空。 上个交易日黄金的行情有一个意外，也有一个惊喜，比较意外的是黄金开盘先涨后跌，并且下跌的力度过大，醉蝶跌至3295，实际山海在昨 天的分析中提示过大家，下方关注3310，3285两个支撑点，所以，技术面分析的低点不是很准，不过山海在昨天视频，直播都给出了3300之 上可以做多看涨，惊喜的是黄金在午夜成功走出大涨空间，当前最高在3345，走出了预期的多头反涨力度，并且3300之上的多单轻松止盈， 取得了大利润。白银强调前期的37空单注意在36.5之下出局，周一下跌最低在36.1附近，下方36有较强支撑，整体也在预期内，这波白银空单 出局后看本周 ...

老生常谈的美元指数仍然在低位震荡，在这种极度弱势中，还是关注后市是否能继续下跌，如果空头延续，周期性要看92，88低点，并且不能猜 顶。当然，市场变化莫测，近期美元难以看出大涨大跌的空间，预计会在低位走一段时间的震荡。那么，短期内，黄金的走势也比较难以走出具 体的方向或者单边走势，上周最大的区间在3245/3365，本周在不破此区间的情况下，大概率是震荡走势，如果破位此区间，向下看的话就有可 能会转弱大跌一波至3120，但趋势之下，这汇总可能性不大，向上破位的话，上方还有3385，3400。从技术面来看，日线周期的k线暂时表现偏 弱，k线在布林中轨之下，这种表现有可能是周初的弱势基础，可能会延续一下试探前期低点3310，3285，但如果周初日线反阳收高的话，也会 改变现在的相对弱势，所以，暂时日线也不太好说一定的强弱。H4周期现在区间震荡表现明显，布林收口，均线系统未能发散，看不出强弱的 延续性，所以也是震荡表现，下方支撑在3310，上方压制在3355。那么，在周初就要注意两个关键点的得失，下方看3310，3285支撑，这两个价 位是周初上涨支撑点，不破可以分别做多，而上方也不用过分看，上方看到3330，33 ...

山海：黄金上涨实现了预期，今天看非农数据影响！ 最近市场关注的美"大而美"法案对市场的影响不是很大，美元指数还是保持其极弱的状态慢跌，即使周三美盘走出了部分反弹，但也改变不了暂 时美元的空头趋势，所以，美元在反弹至96.7后再次下跌，今天在弱势下，再看是否能刷新低点。美元指数极弱无疑给黄金的上涨提供了基础， 即使不看这个基础，黄金的多头趋势也在盘面表现的淋漓尽致，前面山海一直提示，这波黄金的日线周期上涨可以看到3400，3430，小非农ADP 数据利多，上涨至3365，鉴于本周五休市，波动不会很大，今天调整一下目标，如果周四数据利多，黄金有极大的可能会到3400高点。所以，今 沪银（2512合约）这波在8700布局多单，看到了8850，周二最高在8867附近，周三继续冲高，最高在8890，几乎接近预测的8900目标点。本周期 沪银还是保持多头趋势，下方支撑在8700，8600，接下来看非农数据影响，看是否还有机会布局有效多单，上方就关注8900，9000的压制，特别 是看9000是否能布局中长线空单。 国际原油终于走出了有效的反弹，周三最高在67.5附近，前面一直强调的思路，64支撑看反弹实现了利润，现在原油 ...

Group 1 - The core viewpoint indicates that gold is expected to experience a slow upward trend this week, contrasting with the previous weeks' downward movements, with a potential target of 3350, 3400, and 3430 [2][4] - The dollar index has reached a low of 96.3, showing weak performance with no signs of rebound, which is contributing to the upward pressure on gold prices [4][5] - Domestic gold prices are showing a clear upward trend, with support levels at 760 for Shanghai gold and 755 for Rongtong gold, indicating a potential for significant gains if these levels are breached [5][6] Group 2 - Silver is maintaining a bullish trend, with a current price around 36.1 and a target of 36.5 in the short term, while monitoring for potential short positions around 37 [5][6] - The international crude oil market is currently in a bullish trend, with support at 64, and potential upward targets at 67, 69, and 75, depending on market news [6] - Domestic fuel oil is expected to maintain a bullish outlook, with a focus on waiting for pullbacks to enter long positions, aiming for targets around 3000 and 3200 [6]

Group 1 - Gold experienced a downward trend, reaching a low of 3245, influenced by optimistic trade agreements and stable geopolitical conditions, reducing its appeal as a safe-haven asset [2][4] - The market is expected to see significant changes this week, with attention on non-farm payroll data and central bank leaders' speeches, particularly from Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell [2][4] - The recent price movement of gold from May 30 to June 30 shows a cycle of highs and lows, with a peak at 3451 and a low at 3245, indicating a potential adjustment phase before a possible recovery [4][5] Group 2 - Domestic gold prices have also seen a significant decline, with Shanghai gold dropping from 793 to 762, but the bullish trend remains intact, suggesting a potential rebound if key support levels are maintained [6] - The focus for domestic gold this week is on support levels of 760 for Shanghai gold and 755 for Rongtong gold, with potential upward movement if these levels hold [6] - International silver has shown a rebound after two declines, maintaining a bullish trend, with support at 35.2 and targets at 36.5 and 37 for potential trading strategies [6][7] Group 3 - The Shanghai silver contract continues to exhibit a bullish trend, with key support at 8600 and targets at 8900 and 9000, indicating opportunities for long positions [7] - International crude oil has shown limited volatility after a significant drop, with a focus on the 64 support level for potential rebounds, while the medium-term outlook remains bullish [7][8] - Domestic fuel oil has undergone considerable adjustments but is still viewed as bullish in the long term, with expectations of reaching higher points around 3000 and 3200 [8]

Core Viewpoint - The market is currently experiencing volatility in gold prices, with both bullish and bearish opportunities available as traders await the release of PCE data, which may influence gold's movement [1][3]. Gold Market Analysis - Gold has shown significant oscillation this week, lacking a clear trend, making it challenging for mid to long-term analysts to secure profits without risking losses [3]. - The recent trading day saw gold prices rise to around 3350 before falling to a low of 3310, indicating a lack of strong directional movement [4]. - The overall trend for gold remains bullish as long as it does not drop below 3280, with key resistance levels at 3355 and support levels at 3310 and 3295 [4][5]. Silver Market Analysis - Silver prices have not yet completed their upward movement, with expectations for further increases, particularly targeting around 37 [3][5]. - After a recent profit-taking at 35.2, silver has shown potential for further gains, with a current trading price around 36.7 and a target of 37 for potential short positions [5][6]. Domestic Market Insights - Domestic gold prices have remained stable, with expectations for upward movement, particularly for Shanghai gold, which is projected to reach around 795 [5]. - The domestic silver market has also shown positive movement, with recent trades indicating a bullish trend as long as support at 35.2 holds [5][6]. Oil Market Overview - International crude oil has shown limited movement, maintaining a bullish trend with support at 64, but future price movements will depend on market news and developments [6]. - Domestic fuel oil has experienced adjustments but is still viewed as bullish in the long term, with potential targets of 3000 to 3200 [7].

山海：市场关注PCE数据，黄金来到关键时间窗口！ 时间节点是否能出现破位性行情。市场的消息就不用多说了，一日三变，越是关注，越被影响。从技术面来看，日线周三低位收小阳，布林还是收口表现， 上下区间也比较明显，极限位置在3300/3430，既然周二周三都走出了低位反弹，那么，周四就看低位反弹后日线是否能继续收阳走高，上方压制在布林中 轨3355，破位站稳这个价位黄金会走出一波较大的上涨空间，上方再看3385，3430。H4周期的底部在周二，周三震荡中有所体现，现在只差连续上涨的动 力，这波走高在周四，周五至少可以看到3385，有可能会出现上周五一样的尾盘大涨，所以，在多头趋势下，低位震荡走完，就有多头放量的期待。那么， 今天交易的话还是保持低多看涨，日内的支撑在小周期3322附近，回落此点位可以做多，再看上涨空间，上方3355，3385。 国内金不出意外，周三走出了上涨空间，大趋势不变，上涨只是时间问题，目前沪金价位在782附近，融通金价位在772附近，虽然多单暂时还没有较大的利 润，但可以很明确的看到，黄金的多头开始慢慢反攻，就看周四，周五是否有一波强势多头表现，本周期沪金，融通金有各自看涨的空间，其中，沪金 ...

美元指数变化不大，保持在低位震荡，不管涨跌都未能走出区间，暂时周期性关注100压制是否延续弱势，如 果继续下跌，可能会带动黄金继续上涨。既然美联储利率决议和鲍威尔讲话没有影响暂时黄金的多头趋势高位 震荡，那么，周四，周五就要维持暂时的表现，继续看震荡上行空间，其实，在趋势之下随时都可以走出上涨 空间，并且高度不可猜，有可能会破位本周高点3438，甚至可以到3500，因此，现在交易最好的方式还是做多 看涨，等待趋势力度。从技术面来看，日线周期三连阳后，周三收阴，虽然没有改变暂时的强势，但是显示了 空头的表现欲，所以，也有可能在周四，周五继续连阴走低，如果走弱，下方关键支撑点在3360，3300。H4 周期则维持在布林中轨之上运行，只要不破布林中轨支撑点3360，那么，黄金就是绝对强势，随时可以走出上 涨，周四，周五保持在3360之上看趋势力度问题不大，上方则关注3400，3430的得失，出现上涨则可以此为目 标看待即可。经过周一，周二的大涨，周三的震荡，现在小区间在3370/3400，所以，周四日内交易要在方向 之内做有效多单，可参考在3370之上交易，不破3400就短线看待，破位3400就可继续看涨至3430 ...