山海：黄金陷入大范围震荡中，暂时难以突破区间！ 沪银（2602合约）本周的11950多单提示在12200出局，目前11840多单还在持有中，不过今天白银再次回落，力度有点大，现在收盘在11730附近，按照走势 来看，白银大概率还是震荡，只要维持在11500支撑上，就难以大跌，所以，建议可以以11500为防守继续做多看涨沪银，今天短线看上方压制在12000，大 力度的话看12300即可。近期走不出区间，就以震荡看待。 国际原油还是没有涨上去，目前再次下跌到58附近，前面提示在58支撑附近做多看涨，虽然前面有部分利润，但是还是没有延续上涨，所以，现在也就只能 继续持有58的多单不变，本周大概率没有什么表现了，主要看周内尾盘的收盘变化，如果能起来下周再看上涨。 国内燃油（2602合约）微跌了一点，但是力度不大，收盘还是在2510附近，目前还是没有确定筑底，但可以尝试性加仓做多，看看这个周期的变化，本周确 定筑底的话，下周再看上涨空间，现在就多观察市场变化。 撰文/山海 (以上文章由山海原创，转载请注明出处。山海温馨提示，投资有风险，入市需谨慎。以上仅代表山海个人观点，不作操作依据，据此操作风险自担） 黄金周期性还是 ...

国际原油波动不是很大，经过两个交易日的涨跌，暂时收盘在59.5附近，前面提示在58支撑附近做多看涨，现在有部分利润，如果执行了多单可以继续持 有，看本周的变化，周期看涨的话，关注62.5低点的得失，不破看震荡，破位再看单边力度。 国内金经过三天的上涨，沪金最高在950（2602合约），融通金最高在942，前面布局的沪金925多单，融通金922的多单走出了预期的上涨空间，并且提示了 适当的调整仓位，虽然午夜国内金跟随国际黄金走出了下跌，但目前收盘来看，沪金收盘在941，融通金收盘在937，今天大概率不会开仓，等非农数据公布 后再开新的仓位。如果数据利多，沪金看到960，融通金过看到955。 国际白银上个交易日同样走出了上涨，最高在52.5附近，距离我们的目标53只差0.5美金，目前白银收盘在51.5，今天继续上涨的话就看53目标点，当然数据 利多的情况下，不猜高，破位53还有更大的上涨空间，所以，这个周期继续持有前期的50多单不变。 沪银（2602合约）本周的上涨力度明显，经过昨天的上涨，最高在12300附近，前面布局的11840多单，11950多单均有不错的利润，已经提示会员11950多单 获利350个点出局 ...

Core Viewpoint - The market experienced significant volatility last week, with gold and silver showing a pattern of four days of gains followed by one day of decline, indicating a struggle between bullish and bearish forces [3][5]. Gold Market Analysis - Gold reached a high of 4245 but fell to a low of 4031 on Friday, suggesting a consolidation phase rather than a strong trend [3][5]. - The outlook for gold remains bullish for the year, with expectations that any significant declines will be temporary adjustments rather than a shift to a bearish trend [5]. - The trading range for gold this week is anticipated to be between 4030 and 4250, with a focus on potential rebounds from lower levels [5][6]. Silver Market Analysis - Silver also experienced fluctuations, peaking at 54.5 before dropping to 50, with a recommendation to maintain long positions [3][6]. - The target for silver this week is set at 53, with potential for a double top formation at 54.5 [6]. Domestic Gold Performance - Domestic gold contracts showed strong performance, with specific buy signals at 935 and 930, and a recommendation to exit positions at 970 and 965 to avoid losses from the Friday drop [6]. - Current targets for domestic gold are set at 955 for the week, maintaining a bullish outlook [6]. Domestic Silver Performance - Domestic silver contracts also saw significant gains, with buy signals at 46 and 47, and a peak at 54.5, followed by a recommendation to buy at lower levels [7]. - The target for domestic silver is set at 53, with a focus on maintaining long positions [7]. Crude Oil Market Analysis - International crude oil experienced a drop to 58.1 but rebounded to close at 59.5, indicating a potential for a range-bound trading pattern [7]. - The support level is identified at 58, with resistance at 62, suggesting a strategy of trading within this range until a breakout occurs [7]. Domestic Fuel Oil Analysis - Domestic fuel oil showed little volatility, closing around 2600, with a recommendation to maintain existing long positions while monitoring for upward movement [8].

Group 1 - The recent surge in gold prices began at 3900 and reached a peak of 4245, indicating a bullish trend with a potential target of 4300, which is only 50 dollars away [4] - A significant adjustment occurred on Thursday, with gold dropping to a low of 4145 after hitting 4245, reflecting a 100-dollar fluctuation, but the overall bullish trend remains intact [4][5] - Silver also experienced a notable decline from 54.4 to 52, suggesting a similar pattern of volatility, with expectations for a gradual upward movement [2][5] Group 2 - Domestic gold prices have followed the international trend, with Shanghai gold reaching 970 and Rongtong gold at 965, leading to profitable positions for traders [5] - The recent drop in domestic gold prices to around 956 for Shanghai gold and 950 for Rongtong gold presents new buying opportunities, with short-term targets set at 965 and 960 respectively [5] - International silver has shown a significant drop, testing previous highs before recovering to around 53, indicating a continued bullish trend [5][6] Group 3 - The domestic silver market saw a peak at 12550 before a drop to 12340, but the overall trend remains bullish, with short-term targets set at 12450 and potential for breaking previous highs [6] - International crude oil prices rose to 58.1, closing around 60, suggesting a continuation of the bullish trend with support at 59.5 and a target of 62 [6] - Domestic fuel oil has shown a recovery to around 2650, indicating a completed bottom formation, with expectations for further upward movement towards 2800 and 3000 [6]

Group 1 - Gold has reached a high point of 4200, achieving the second target set by the analysis for this week, with all long positions taken this week profiting near 4200 [2][4] - The next target for gold is projected to be 4300, which may be reached by Thursday or Friday, indicating a continued bullish outlook for these days [2][4] - Silver has also met the expected target of 53, with a current high of 53.6, and is anticipated to reach a previous high of 54.5 this week, suggesting a short-term bullish strategy [2][5] Group 2 - The domestic gold market has seen prices reaching 970 for Shanghai gold and 960 for Rongtong gold, with successful long positions yielding significant profits [5] - The support levels for Shanghai gold are noted at 958 and for Rongtong gold at 952, with recommendations to continue buying on dips [5] - International silver has achieved a phase target of 53, and while the bullish trend continues, it is advised to wait for a pullback to around 52.8 before considering further long positions [5][6] Group 3 - The Shanghai silver contract has successfully reached the target of 12350, with previous long positions gaining 500 to 600 points [6] - Current prices for silver are around 12550, and the recommendation is to continue buying on dips, with support noted at 12300 [6] - The international crude oil market has shown significant pullback, with a current closing price of 58.1, suggesting a cautious approach to trading in this sector [6]

Group 1 - The bullish trend in gold has reached the first target level of 4150, with expectations for further upward movement towards 4200 and eventually 4300 [2][4] - Silver has also shown an upward trend, closing at 51.3, with a target of 52 in sight [2][6] - Domestic gold (Shanghai Gold) is expected to rise to 970, with current support levels adjusted to 945 and 940 for further buying opportunities [5] Group 2 - International silver has reached its first target of 51, with a potential adjustment in positions as it aims for a target of 52, and a maximum target of 53 for the week [6] - Domestic fuel oil has shown signs of bottoming out, with current prices around 2700 and potential targets of 2800 and 2900 [7] - International crude oil has maintained a bullish outlook, currently around 61, with expectations for further upward movement towards 62.5 [6]

Core Viewpoint - The article emphasizes that gold has entered a phase of sustained upward movement, with expectations for continued price increases towards 4150 and 4300 levels [3][5]. Gold Market Analysis - Following a previous low of 3888, the market was advised against overly bearish sentiment, anticipating a rebound that has now seen gold prices rise to around 4130, marking a significant single-day increase of over 100 USD [3][5]. - The breakout above 4050 is seen as a confirmation of a bullish trend, with further targets set at 4150 and 4300 [5][6]. - Technical indicators suggest that the upward momentum is just beginning, with the Bollinger Bands indicating potential for further gains [5][6]. Silver Market Analysis - The silver market shows a strong foundation for upward movement, with previous positions established at 46, targeting 51 and 53 as potential highs [3][6]. - The domestic silver market (沪银) is expected to reach 12000, with further targets at 12380, indicating a robust bullish trend [7]. Domestic Gold Market - The domestic gold market (沪金) is projected to reach 955, with potential for further increases to 970, reflecting a strong bullish sentiment [6][7]. - The article advises maintaining long positions in both domestic gold and silver, as the upward trend appears solid [6][7]. Oil Market Analysis - The oil market is currently experiencing limited volatility, with expectations of a gradual upward trend, potentially reaching 62.5 [7]. - The article suggests maintaining long positions in oil, with a focus on a slow increase towards the 2800 high for domestic fuel [7].

Core Viewpoint - The article emphasizes the importance of monitoring gold's price movements within specified ranges, suggesting a focus on fluctuations rather than a strong bullish or bearish outlook, particularly in light of the ongoing U.S. government shutdown and lack of significant market data [2][3][4]. Gold Market Analysis - Gold is currently trading around 4020, which is identified as a key resistance point. A break above 4050 could lead to a strong upward trend, with targets set at 4150 and 4300 [3][4]. - The market is advised to adopt a cautious approach, as failure to break 4050 may result in a downward correction. The support levels are noted at 4000, 3950, and 3900 [4][5]. - Technical indicators suggest a bullish trend, with a clear bottoming pattern and potential for further gains if the price breaks through the upper resistance [3][4]. Silver Market Analysis - The silver market is also viewed positively, with a focus on breaking the resistance at 49.5. If this level is surpassed, targets of 51 and 52.5 are anticipated [5][6]. - The article highlights previous successful trades in silver, reinforcing the expectation of upward movement while maintaining a watchful eye on support at 48.5 [5][6]. Domestic Gold and Silver - Domestic gold (Shanghai Gold) is experiencing a strong upward trend, with key levels to watch at 935 for Shanghai Gold and 930 for Rongtong Gold. The support levels are set at 925 and 920, respectively [5][6]. - The article suggests that traders should continue to adopt a bullish stance on domestic gold, with expectations of gradual increases in price [5]. Oil Market Analysis - The oil market is expected to remain in a range-bound state, with a current price around 60. A potential upward movement to 62.5 is anticipated if bullish momentum is strong [6]. - The article advises maintaining existing long positions in oil while monitoring for signs of upward movement [6].

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the current performance of gold, indicating a consolidation phase with a target of 4020 and a potential next target of 4050, while emphasizing the importance of not making premature predictions in the current market environment [1][3]. Gold Market Analysis - Gold has shown a noticeable performance this week, with four days of low volatility and oscillation, aligning with the analyst's expectations for a consolidating market [3]. - The price of gold reached the key resistance point of 4020 but experienced a corrective decline afterward, indicating a continued oscillation trend [5]. - The analyst maintains a view of a broad trading range for gold between 4050 and 3900, with a smaller range of 4020 to 3935, suggesting that the market is likely to remain within these levels unless significant breaks occur [5][6]. Technical Indicators - The daily chart shows signs of a bottoming pattern, but a clear bullish trend has not yet formed, with the analyst suggesting that a breakout above 4050 could signal a stronger upward movement [6]. - The H4 chart indicates a standard oscillation pattern, with expectations for a potential upward breakout if the price can widen the Bollinger Bands [6]. Silver Market Analysis - The silver market is also experiencing a similar oscillation trend, with a focus on whether the price can break above 49.5, which would indicate a stronger bullish sentiment [6]. - The domestic silver market (沪银) has shown a successful upward movement, with the analyst advising against chasing higher prices and suggesting a focus on the established trading range of 11100 to 11600 [7]. Oil Market Analysis - The oil market has seen a recent decline to 58.8, but the overall trend remains oscillatory, with expectations for a potential rebound towards 61 [7]. - The domestic fuel market (燃油) is advised to hold positions established around 2700, with a cautious outlook for the upcoming week [7].

Core Viewpoint - The gold market is currently in a weak oscillation state, awaiting the impact of upcoming non-farm payroll data, with key resistance at 4050 and support at 3900 [1][3]. Gold Market Analysis - Gold prices fluctuated from 3930 to 3988, showing a movement of nearly 60 USD, but ultimately did not sustain upward momentum, indicating a weak market condition [3]. - The ADP data released on Wednesday had minimal impact on gold prices, suggesting that current economic data is not a significant driver for gold's price movements [3]. - The technical analysis indicates that gold remains in a consolidation phase, with the effective trading range established between 4050 and 3900 [3][4]. Silver Market Analysis - Silver is also exhibiting a lack of trend strength, remaining in a consolidation phase with an effective trading range between 49.5 and 47 [4]. - The recent performance of silver shows a rebound without sustained momentum, closing around 47.8 [4]. Domestic Gold and Silver - Domestic gold prices showed a slight increase, closing around 917, with potential resistance at 925 and 930 depending on market strength [4]. - The Shanghai silver contract (2602) closed at 11350, within a trading range of 11000 to 11600, indicating a similar oscillation strategy as gold [5]. Oil Market Analysis - Crude oil prices have retreated to around 59.5, with a critical support level to watch; if this level breaks, it may signal an exit from long positions [5]. - The outlook for oil remains cautious, with a focus on whether it can break last week's high of 63 to confirm a bullish trend [5]. Domestic Fuel Oil - Domestic fuel oil has retraced to around 2700, presenting an opportunity for a potential long position as the market awaits further developments [5].