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黄金投资格局变化
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黄金税收新政实施后,黄金消费股重挫、金条涨价,投资格局会怎样变化?
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-11-03 13:49
Core Viewpoint - The recent decline in gold consumption stocks is significantly influenced by the new tax policy on gold, which is set to take effect from November 1, 2025, until December 31, 2027, leading to a sharp increase in gold prices in the market [2][3]. Group 1: Market Reaction - Gold consumption stocks experienced a sharp decline, with companies like Chao Hong Ji (潮宏基) hitting the daily limit down, and others like Chow Tai Fook (周大福) and Lao Pu Gold (老铺黄金) dropping over 6% [1]. - Following the announcement of the new tax policy, the actual price of gold bars in Shenzhen has surged to over 1,000 yuan per gram, with some brands exceeding 1,200 yuan per gram [2]. Group 2: New Tax Policy Details - The new tax policy differentiates between "member units" and "registered customers," implementing varied tax treatments based on the actual use of gold, which could impact the market dynamics significantly [3][4]. - Previously, both "member units" and "registered customers" could enjoy a 13% VAT deduction, but under the new policy, "registered customers" will only receive a 6% deduction, while "member units" will face further distinctions based on the investment nature of the gold [3]. Group 3: Implications for Investment Behavior - Analysts suggest that the new policy may lead to a structural shift in investment behavior, with funds that previously relied on tax arbitrage exiting the market, thus increasing the attractiveness of financial products like gold ETFs and futures [6]. - The long-term trend for gold remains positive, especially in a stagflation environment, as historical data indicates that gold tends to perform well compared to other asset classes during such periods [6].