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黄金持续震荡:地缘博弈与货币重构下的投资新范式
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-07-10 10:10
近期黄金市场呈现 "急跌急涨" 的震荡格局,为投资者提供了丰富的交易机会。据中金在线 6 月 28 日报道,现货黄金最低触及 3215.78 美元 / 盎 司,日内跌幅达 3.33%,COMEX 黄金期货同步下探 3219.2 美元 / 盎司。这种波动背后是多重因素的博弈:中美贸易谈判进展削弱避险需求、美 联储鹰派立场强化压制金价,叠加地缘风险阶段性降温,共同构成短期回调压力。但值得注意的是,全球央行一季度净购金 244 吨,中国连续 8 个月增持黄金储备,显示中长期支撑依然稳固。 当前黄金市场正经历 "预期差" 修复过程。美联储 5 月议息会议释放 "通胀仍需观察" 信号,6 月降息概率降至 65%,美元指数企稳 100.3,这直接 导致黄金作为抗通胀工具的吸引力短期弱化。然而从更宏观的视角看,美国债务规模突破 36 万亿美元引发的美元信用弱化趋势未改,黄金的 "货 币对冲" 属性反而在强化。正如每日经济新闻 7 月 2 日分析指出,黄金价格已从传统的 "实际利率锚定" 转向 "美元信用对冲" 逻辑,这为回调后的 布局提供了战略支撑。 对于普通投资者而言,震荡行情犹如驾驶帆船穿越风暴:既要精准捕捉 3250 ...
金条降价,黄金跌价,25年7月9日,各大银行黄金金条最新价格
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-07-10 07:29
Global Gold Market Overview - The international gold price surged to $3,335 per ounce on July 9, 2025, with domestic prices also rising, reflecting a strong correlation with global trends [1] - Over 90% of central banks surveyed, a record 73 banks, expect to increase their gold reserves in the next year, marking a 17 percentage point increase from the previous year [1] - Nearly half of the central banks indicated a clear intention to augment their gold holdings, reinforcing gold's status as a safe-haven asset amid rising global economic and geopolitical uncertainties [1] - The trend of central banks increasing gold reserves has persisted for 15 years, driven by gold's long-term value retention, diversification needs, and stability during economic crises [1] - 73% of surveyed central banks predict a decline in the dollar's share of global reserves over the next five years, while the shares of the euro, renminbi, and gold are expected to rise [1] - As of June 30, 2025, China's foreign exchange reserves reached $33,174 billion, reflecting a 0.98% increase, which aligns with the growing demand for gold as a safe-haven asset [1] Domestic Gold Retail Market Price Analysis - Domestic gold retail prices are showing a steady upward trend, in line with international gold price movements [2] - The domestic gold base price was reported at 772.40 yuan per gram, up 0.60% from the previous closing price of 767.82 yuan per gram [4] - Prices for various gold products, including 9999 gold, increased by 0.55%, while some futures prices saw significant rises of 9.99% and 6.26%, indicating a surge in investment demand [4] Shenzhen Shui Bei Wholesale Market Prices - The Shui Bei market, a key center for China's gold and jewelry industry, reported prices for various gold types ranging from 782 to 783 yuan per gram, with platinum priced at 352 yuan per gram [5] Summary - The overall trend in the gold market as of July 9, 2025, is upward, driven by central banks' continued accumulation of gold reserves [6] - Domestic gold prices are also rising, as reflected in both brand jewelry store prices and wholesale market prices [6] - Future gold market trends will depend on international economic conditions, geopolitical changes, and investor confidence [6]
黄金跌价,金条降价,25年7月6日国内黄金、足金、金条最新价格
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-07-10 06:09
2025年7月6日贵金属市场深度解读:供需失衡驱动价格上涨 四、 2025版熊猫金币市场:收藏投资价值凸显 备受瞩目的2025版熊猫金币系列,其价格体现了其极高的收藏和投资价值。其中,熊猫金套币售价高达47377元人民币/套,1公斤金质纪念币售价更是高达 480000元。从1克到150克不同重量的金币,价格依次递增,满足不同投资者的需求。 此外,150克方形金币和彩色金币,以及扇形金银纪念币等,也以其独 特的造型设计,吸引了众多收藏爱好者。 一、 贵金属市场整体走势: 2025年7月6日,全球贵金属市场呈现出强劲上涨势头。伦敦现货黄金价格报收于每盎司3347美元,较前一日小幅上涨;伦敦现货白银价格达到每盎司37.1美 元,创下近十年新高。国内市场同样火热,实时金价为772元/克,白银价格达到8.37元/克,铂金价格则为320.5元/克。这一整体上涨趋势,与全球经济形势 及贵金属供需关系密切相关,将在后续章节中详细阐述。 二、 国内主要品牌金价及银行金条价格分析: 各大品牌金价整体呈现微涨或持平态势。周大福、六福珠宝、金至尊、潮宏基、谢瑞麟、周六福和周大生等品牌黄金价格均维持在每克1005元,与昨日持 平。周生 ...
黄金跌价,金条降价,25年7月8日国内黄金、足金、金条最新价格
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-07-09 23:52
黄金市场深度解析:2025年7月8日市场综述 一、黄金回收市场行情波动:多元化金饰回收价位揭秘 今日黄金回收市场呈现出多样化的价格体系。普通足金(含千足金、万足金)回收价统一为每克756元人民币。 然而,不同纯度的黄金回收价格差异显著: 足金990每克回收价为748元;18K金(AU750)和22K金(AU916)分别为每克544元和660元;14K金(AU585)回收价相对较低,为每克421元;AU900金 的回收价则为每克653元。这些价格的细微差异,反映了黄金纯度对回收价值的直接影响。值得注意的是,以上价格仅供参考,实际交易价格可能因市场波 动而有所调整。 二、国内外黄金市场价格走势:品牌金饰与银行金条价格对比 国际黄金实时价格为3314美元/盎司,国内黄金实时价格为767.3元/克,中国黄金基础金价为767.4元/克。然而,各大品牌金饰的售价却存在显著差异:老凤 祥今日金价1001元/克(较昨日下跌5元);老庙黄金999元/克(微降1元);菜百首饰维持昨日水平,报价982元/克;周六福和周大生分别为978元/克和1005 元/克;周大福金价稳定在1005元/克;六福珠宝、金至尊、潮宏基和谢瑞麟均为10 ...
今日金条价格公开,7月8日各银行投资金价一览
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-07-09 08:53
Core Viewpoint - The current gold price is experiencing significant fluctuations, prompting investors to consider purchasing gold bars as a stable asset amidst market volatility [1] Gold Price Trends - As of July 8, 2025, the investment gold bar prices from various banks range between 783.40 CNY/gram and 790.30 CNY/gram, reflecting an increase of nearly 23% since the beginning of the year [3] Factors Influencing Gold Prices - Gold bar prices are influenced by multiple factors beyond international gold prices, including exchange rate fluctuations, bank fee structures, brand premiums, and market supply-demand dynamics. The ongoing high international gold prices are driven by strong global market risk aversion, central banks increasing gold reserves, and a tight gold supply-demand structure [4] Bank Price Comparisons - Currently, Citic Bank offers the lowest investment gold bar price at 783.40 CNY/gram, while Agricultural Bank's price is at 790.30 CNY/gram. Purchasing 500 grams from Citic Bank could save up to 3,500 CNY compared to Agricultural Bank. Other banks like Bank of Communications and Minsheng Bank have prices above 789 CNY/gram, while Ping An Bank and China Construction Bank are around 787-788 CNY/gram [5] Investment Timing and Strategy - Short-term gold prices are expected to remain volatile with a low probability of significant declines. The demand for gold remains strong globally, and geopolitical tensions enhance gold's appeal as a safe-haven asset. However, the rate of price increase may slow down, suggesting that investors should consider gradual purchases rather than bulk buying. Long-term, gold remains a stable option for asset allocation and inflation hedging [6] Key Considerations Before Purchase - Investors should distinguish between investment gold bars and decorative gold bars, as the latter has higher premiums and lower repurchase value. Understanding the fee structure of banks, including whether fees are fixed or variable, is crucial. Additionally, it is important to clarify repurchase policies and ensure purchases are made through reputable bank channels to avoid issues with gold quality and repurchase difficulties [9][11]
金价疯涨,金饰退场:年轻人正在掀翻“黄金信仰”
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-07-09 03:25
文 | 贝塔商业 "8月1号起买黄金要登记了" 7月2号,央行低调发布了一份事关黄金买卖的新规:《贵金属和宝石从业机构反洗钱和反恐怖融资管理办法》。最醒目的变化在于:从今年8月1日开始, 个人现金购买黄金超过10万元的,就得上报。 这件事没有像降准或基准利率调整那样登上热搜,却在黄金圈内炸了锅。最先反应过来的,是那些往水贝进货、靠金条周转的小B商户。有人在论坛发帖 说,感觉"像是打算给疯狂囤金的民间资本踩个刹车"。也有人干脆留言:"国家开始关注大额现金买金,离调控实金市场不远了。" 从技术角度来看,这是典型的"反洗钱"操作,符合国际监管趋势。但从心理层面,它敲响的是普通人对黄金的第二个警钟。 第一个,是金价涨疯了; 第二个,是你再花钱买金,得小心被"关注"了。 这种微妙的转变发生在一个特殊的时间节点:金价刚创下历史新高。 一年多前每克还是400元出头,现在动辄700元+。很多人早就不是买黄金首饰,而是直接上手金砖、金条,有钱人买来储值,没钱人也买点"压箱底"。 黄金,已经不再是那个"买了就可以忘"的东西了。 而对整个黄金行业来说,这只是多米诺骨牌倒下的第一块。 金价上涨,为何金饰卖不动了? "现在谁还戴那种大 ...
金条降价,黄金跌价,25年7月7日,各大银行黄金金条最新价格
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-07-08 00:07
花旗银行近期发布的报告指出,黄金价格近期的大幅上涨主要源于避险需求的驱动。然而,该报告悲观地预测,这轮黄金牛市的核心动力——避险需求—— 正在减弱,行情可能已接近尾声。 黄金市场深度解析:2025年7月7日行情综述及未来走势预测 2025年7月7日,全球黄金市场呈现震荡态势。上海黄金TD价格微跌0.10%,收于770.8元/克;沪金主力合约价格小幅下跌0.01%,报收775.46元/克。现货黄 金价格为770.8元/克,白银为8.38元/克,铂金为320.9元/克。 这反映出市场情绪的微妙转变,预示着此前持续上涨的黄金行情可能面临拐点。 一、黄金市场走势分析:避险需求降温,投资热情趋冷 报告援引55年来的历史数据,指出黄金价格的涨跌与投资需求密切相关。过去八次黄金大牛市中,有七次都发生在投资需求见顶之后。目前,黄金ETF持仓 量以及期货市场持仓量均已达到历史最高水平,这意味着进一步加仓的空间已十分有限,投资热情明显冷却。 进一步佐证这一观点的是,2024年第一季度,各国央行购金量较上一季度下降了33%,即使是像中国这样的大型黄金购买国,购金速度也显著放缓。 美联储的货币政策对黄金价格的影响至关重要。由于黄金本 ...
【Fintech 周报】九台农商行将申请退市;A股银行板块市值年内涨超2万亿元;河北资产冲刺IPO
Tai Mei Ti A P P· 2025-07-07 09:44
Regulatory Dynamics - Zeng Linfeng has officially taken office as the Director of the Beijing Local Financial Supervision Administration [1] Industry Dynamics - The A-share banking sector has seen a market capitalization increase of over 2 trillion yuan this year, with the Shenwan Banking Index rising by 17.26% as of July 3 [2][3] - The Banker magazine's 2025 Global Bank 1000 list revealed that 21 Chinese banks made it into the top 100, with six in the top 10, including ICBC, CCB, ABC, and BOC [2] - Insurance capital has made 19 equity stakes this year, with recent investments in Jiangnan Water and Hualing Steel [3][5] Corporate Dynamics - China Merchants Bank has received approval to establish its financial asset investment company with a registered capital of 15 billion yuan [6] - JiuTai Rural Commercial Bank is set to apply for delisting as Jilin Financial Holdings plans to make a cash offer for all issued H shares and domestic shares [6] - Hongta Bank has appointed Hu Wenjian as its new leader after an 18-month vacancy [7] - Ant Group plans to invest 23.45 billion yuan in R&D in 2024, focusing on AI applications across various sectors [8] - Longyin Consumer Finance is facing a shareholding crisis, with nearly half of its shares frozen due to legal issues [8] - JD Finance has launched a new service called "White Bar Paid Quota" to enhance its consumer finance offerings [10] - The Shanghai Gold Exchange has welcomed Taikang Life as a member, indicating a growing trend of insurance capital entering the gold market [10] - The Netherlands-based global insurance group has received approval to establish a new asset management company, indicating its expansion into the insurance sector [11]
2025年7月6日国内黄金最新价格出炉,现在买合适吗?
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-07-07 05:40
黄金价格回调:是抄底良机还是谨慎观望? 昨夜邻里间的一句"黄金又跌了",引发了不小的关注。其实,黄金价格波动频繁,涨跌乃常态。关键在于投资者如何根据市场变化,理性决策,避免盲目跟 风。本文将详细解读近期金价走势,并提供黄金投资的实用建议。 国际及人民币金价同步回调:机会还是风险? 国际现货黄金价格昨日收于3336.93美元/盎司,盘整于3323.49美元/盎司至3344.92美元/盎司区间。同期,上海黄金交易所基础金价报772.50元/克,投资金条 均价约786元/克。与前段时间800多元/克的高点相比,价格出现一定程度的回调。这种回调并非意外,通常与美联储货币政策预期、全球资本流动以及市场 避险情绪变化密切相关。目前市场正处于回调阶段,这对于投资者来说既是风险,也可能蕴含着机会。 品牌金店金价差异分析:货比三家不吃亏 不同品牌金店的黄金价格存在显著差异。以今日价格为例:周大福黄金1005元/克,老凤祥黄金1006元/克,周六福黄金985元/克,周生生黄金1006元/克,六 福珠宝黄金1005元/克,菜百黄金978元/克,中国黄金零售价788.50元/克。 铂金和金条价格也存在类似差异。同一克重的黄金,不同品 ...
实物黄金7月5日最新报价:买金还是再等等?
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-07-07 03:30
黄金破千,是入手良机还是观望待时? 近期金价持续攀升,不少消费者面临着是否购入黄金的难题。尤其对于计划购买金饰、金条或为孩子置办黄金饰品的家庭而言,面对不断上涨的金价,犹豫 与观望成为普遍心态。本文将深入探讨当前金价走势,并为您的购金决策提供参考。 金价逼近千元,涨势何来? 各大金店报价已普遍逼近千元大关。以周大福、六福、周生生为代表的知名品牌,报价均在1003-1005元/克之间浮动,较前几日的998-999元/克上涨了5-7 元。而中国黄金的报价相对较低,为969元/克,与最高价相比每克相差36元,购买50克即可节省1800元。 这波金价上涨主要源于国际金价持续高位震荡, 市场降息预期以及避险情绪共同作用,导致金价持续"高位盘整"。 饰品金与投资金,价格差异何在? 同为黄金,为何饰品金价远高于投资金条? 这主要是因为饰品金价包含了工艺费、品牌溢价以及门店运营成本。品牌知名度越高,溢价越高。以周大福为 例,一条10克的小金链售价约10050元,而同等重量的投资金条价格则仅为7850元左右,两者差价高达2200元。 这200多元/克的差价并非虚报,而是品牌价 值与人工成本的真实体现。如果您注重佩戴、送礼或收藏 ...