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潼关黄金(00340.HK):小而美的区域黄金矿企
Ge Long Hui· 2025-09-23 07:44
Group 1 - The company is a developing gold mining enterprise focused on gold mining and recovery, with gold resources in Shaanxi and Gansu, holding an average grade of 8.26 g/t and a resource amount of 55 tons, achieving a gold production of 2.5 tons in 2024 [1] - The company expects to achieve a revenue of HKD 1.6 billion in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 7%, with a gross profit of HKD 523 million, a year-on-year increase of 212%, and a net profit of HKD 211 million, a year-on-year increase of 310% [1] - The revenue structure indicates that gold mining is the main business, with mining revenue expected to be HKD 1.3 billion in 2024, accounting for 81.2% of total revenue, and mining gross profit expected to be HKD 520 million, accounting for nearly 100% of total gross profit [1] Group 2 - The company is expanding its resources with a focus on both production and reserve mines, with a processing capacity of 94,000 tons per year across its two mining areas, and a projected underground mining volume of 500,700 tons in 2024 [2] - A long-term gold streaming agreement was signed with Zijin Mining, where Zijin will prepay USD 25 million, and the company will deliver approximately 422 kg of gold over the next nine years, enhancing funding availability and stability for project development [2] - Future strategic goals include increasing research on mineralization patterns in Gansu and Shaanxi, actively pursuing external mergers and acquisitions for growth, and collaborating strategically with Zijin [2] Group 3 - The company forecasts net profits of HKD 780 million, HKD 1.05 billion, and HKD 1.26 billion for 2025-2027, representing growth rates of 269%, 34%, and 21% respectively, with EPS projected at HKD 0.18, HKD 0.24, and HKD 0.29 [2] - The estimated fair valuation of the company is between HKD 2.9 and HKD 3.0, indicating a premium of 39%-44% over the current stock price, with an initial coverage rating of "outperform the market" [2]
国信证券:首予潼关黄金(00340)“优于大市”评级 合理估值2.9-3.0港元
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2025-09-23 02:32
Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the report is that Tongguan Gold (00340) is rated "outperform" by Guosen Securities, with projected net profits of HKD 780 million, HKD 1.05 billion, and HKD 1.26 billion for 2025-2027, representing growth rates of 269%, 34%, and 21% respectively [1] - The company aims to enhance research on mineralization patterns in Gansu and Tongguan, actively pursue external acquisitions for growth, and establish strategic cooperation with Zijin Mining [1][2] - The company is characterized as a small but beautiful regional gold mining enterprise, with a focus on gold mining and recovery, holding an average resource grade of 8.26 grams per ton and a resource volume of 55 tons as of the end of 2024 [2] Group 2 - Gold prices are expected to remain strong due to weakening US dollar credit, with the dollar index having dropped by 10% year-to-date as of mid-September [2] - Central bank gold purchases have exceeded 1,000 tons for three consecutive years, significantly higher than the average of 473 tons from 2010 to 2021, providing long-term support for gold prices [2] - The company has signed a long-term gold streaming agreement with Zijin Mining, receiving USD 25 million in upfront funding while committing to deliver approximately 422 kilograms of gold over nine years [4] Group 3 - The company is focused on resource expansion, with both production and reserve mines being prioritized [3] - The Tongguan mining area currently has only Xiangshun Mining in production, with a processing plant capable of handling 1,500 tons, while the Gansu area is supported by Beidong Mining, which is gradually reaching production capacity [3] - The company aims to achieve a total processing capacity of 940,000 tons annually across both mining areas, with significant growth potential remaining [3]