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市场快讯:沪铜拉升突破11万元/吨
Ge Lin Qi Huo· 2026-01-29 11:34
Report Summary 1) Reported Industry Investment Rating - Not provided 2) Core Viewpoints of the Report - On January 29, 2026, the main contract of Shanghai copper futures, CU2603, rose rapidly from 103,000 yuan to around 109,000 yuan starting at 10:15 and broke through the 1.1 million - yuan mark in the afternoon, with a daily increase of nearly 8% [2] - Copper is a core raw material for the new - energy revolution, power - grid upgrading, and AI data centers, and its inclusion in key mineral or strategic reserve lists by the US, EU, and China provides strong support for copper prices [2] - The Fed's decision to maintain the federal funds rate and Chairman Powell's remarks led to a rise in London spot gold and silver, and copper prices followed to reach new highs [4] - Expectations of interest - rate cuts and tariffs in 2026 are the core macro - drivers for the upward movement of copper prices [4] 3) Summary of Relevant Content Market Performance - The main contract of Shanghai copper futures, CU2603, had a significant increase on January 29, 2026, with a daily increase approaching 8% [2] - London spot gold and silver rose rapidly after the Fed's decision, and copper prices followed to reach new highs [4] Fundamental Factors - Copper is a key raw material for multiple important fields and is included in key mineral or strategic reserve lists, which supports copper prices [2] Macroeconomic Factors - The Fed maintained the federal funds rate between 3.5% and 3.75% on January 29, 2026, and Chairman Powell's remarks affected market pricing [4] - Expectations of interest - rate cuts and tariffs in 2026 are driving copper prices up [4] Inventory Changes - LME copper European inventory decreased from nearly 70,000 tons in April 2025 to 13,850 tons [4] - COMEX copper inventory increased from less than 100,000 short tons in April 2025 to 572,300 short tons [4]
市场快讯:沪铜拉升突破11万元/吨
Ge Lin Qi Huo· 2026-01-29 06:57
1. Report Industry Investment Rating - No relevant information provided 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - On January 29, 2026, the main contract of Shanghai copper futures, CU2603, rapidly rose from 103,000 yuan to around 109,000 yuan starting at 10:15 and broke through the 110,000 yuan mark in the afternoon, with a daily increase of nearly 8% [2] - Copper is the core raw material for the new - energy revolution, power grid upgrade, and AI data centers, and is included in the key mineral or strategic reserve lists of the US, the EU, and China, and its security demand strongly supports copper prices [2] - On the early morning of January 29, the Fed announced to keep the federal funds rate target range unchanged at 3.5% - 3.75%, in line with market expectations. Powell's remarks triggered a re - pricing of inflation structural pressure and policy independence, causing London spot gold and silver to rise rapidly and copper prices to reach new highs [4] - The expectations of interest rate cuts and tariffs in 2026 have become the core macro - driving forces for the upward movement of copper prices. The LME copper inventory in Europe has continuously decreased from nearly 70,000 tons since April 2025 to 13,850 tons, while the COMEX copper inventory has continuously increased from less than 100,000 short tons since April 2025 to 572,300 short tons [4] 3. Summary by Related Catalogs Market Movement of Shanghai Copper - The main contract of Shanghai copper futures, CU2603, rose rapidly from 103,000 yuan to around 109,000 yuan starting at 10:15 on January 29, 2026, and broke through 110,000 yuan in the afternoon, with a daily increase of nearly 8% [2] Factors Affecting Copper Prices - Copper is a key raw material for new - energy, power grid, and AI, and its security demand supports prices [2] - The Fed's decision to keep interest rates unchanged and Powell's remarks led to price increases in gold, silver, and copper [4] - The expectations of interest rate cuts and tariffs in 2026, along with changes in LME and COMEX copper inventories, drive copper prices upward [4]