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厦钨新能(688778):Q2钴酸锂贡献利润增量,三元盈利稳定
Soochow Securities· 2025-08-20 23:34
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The report highlights that in Q2, the profit increment was contributed by lithium cobalt oxide, while the profitability of ternary materials remained stable [7] - The company is expected to benefit from the rising prices of cobalt, with a projected sales volume of over 60,000 tons for lithium cobalt oxide in 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of over 30% [7] - The report maintains the profit forecast for 2025-2027, expecting net profits of 806.44 million, 930.15 million, and 1,117.73 million yuan respectively, with corresponding P/E ratios of 35.86, 31.09, and 25.87 [1][7] Financial Performance Summary - For the first half of 2025, the company reported total revenue of 7.53 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 18%, and a net profit of 310 million yuan, up 27.8% year-on-year [7] - The gross profit margin for the first half of 2025 was 10%, with Q2 showing a slight increase to 10.3% [7] - The company’s operating cash flow for the first half of 2025 was 650 million yuan, a decrease of 31.3% year-on-year [7] Sales and Production Insights - The sales volume of lithium cobalt oxide in the first half of 2025 reached 28,800 tons, a year-on-year increase of 57% [7] - The ternary material sales volume for the first half of 2025 was approximately 31,900 tons, showing a year-on-year growth of 21% [7] - The report indicates that the company is advancing solid-state battery core materials, particularly lithium sulfide, which is expected to enhance profitability [7] Market Data - The closing price of the company's stock is 57.30 yuan, with a market capitalization of approximately 28.92 billion yuan [5] - The company has a price-to-book ratio of 2.72 and a debt-to-asset ratio of 41.49% [6][5]