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Everest Group Trades Below 50-Day SMA: How to Play the Stock?
ZACKS· 2025-08-19 16:56
Key Takeaways Everest Group expands globally, cutting North America risk and boosting diversification in 100+ countries.Reinsurance platform ranks 4th in P&C, with optimized portfolio and lower catastrophe volatility.Net investment income continues to rise, supported by a conservative and diversified portfolio.Everest Group, Ltd. (EG) has been trading below its 50-day simple moving average (SMA), signaling a short-term bearish trend. The 50-day SMA is a key indicator for traders and analysts to identify sup ...
Brown & Brown Trades Below 50-Day SMA: How to Play the Stock?
ZACKS· 2025-08-18 18:30
Core Viewpoint - Brown & Brown, Inc. (BRO) is currently trading below its 50-day simple moving average, indicating a short-term bearish trend [1] Group 1: Valuation and Market Performance - Shares of Brown & Brown are trading at a price-to-forward 12-month earnings ratio of 20.88X, which is above the Zacks Brokerage industry average of 18.69X and the Finance sector's 16.9X, but below the Zacks S&P 500 Composite's 22.86X [2] - The company has a market capitalization of $31.4 billion, with an average trading volume of 3.8 million shares over the last three months [2] - Year-to-date, shares of Brown & Brown have declined by 6.5%, while the industry has seen a decline of 13.8%, and the Finance sector and Zacks S&P 500 Composite have gained 10.8% and 9.6%, respectively [4] Group 2: Financial Performance and Projections - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Brown & Brown's 2025 revenues is $5.8 billion, reflecting a year-over-year improvement of 21.5% [12] - The current-year earnings estimate is $4.13 per share, which is a 7.5% increase from the previous year [12] - The company has maintained a strong liquidity position, exiting Q2 2025 with $8.9 billion in cash, over 13 times higher than the end of 2024 [16] Group 3: Business Strategy and Growth - Brown & Brown has completed 702 acquisitions since 1993, which has diversified its operations and broadened its geographic reach [13] - The Retail segment, contributing over 50% of total revenues, has shown consistent growth due to higher core commissions, profit-sharing, and investment income [14] - The Wholesale Brokerage segment is expected to drive revenues through improving new business, good retention, and rate increases across various lines of coverage [15] Group 4: Profitability and Financial Health - The company's return on equity (ROE) is 15.1%, which is below the industry average of 25.3%, indicating weaker utilization of shareholder funds [19] - The trailing 12-month debt-to-capital ratio is 39.38, significantly lower than the industry average of 50.12, reflecting a conservative balance sheet [17] Group 5: Risks and Challenges - The company's international expansion introduces complexities such as regulatory changes, currency fluctuations, and increased competition, which could pressure margins [18] - Profitability metrics, including return on invested capital (ROIC) of 7.2%, also lag behind industry averages, indicating inefficiencies [19]
Pfizer Trades Above 50-Day Average for a Month: Time to Buy?
ZACKS· 2025-07-03 13:51
Core Viewpoint - Pfizer (PFE) is currently trading above its 50-day simple moving average (SMA), indicating a short-term bullish trend and presenting an attractive investment opportunity from a technical perspective [1][10]. Financial Performance - Pfizer's COVID-19 product sales are projected to decline significantly, with revenues expected to drop to approximately $11 billion in 2024 from $56.7 billion in 2022, and similar figures anticipated for 2025 [4]. - Despite the decline in COVID-related sales, Pfizer's non-COVID operational revenues improved in 2024, driven by key products such as Vyndaqel, Padcev, and Eliquis, as well as new launches and acquisitions [5]. - Pfizer expects a revenue compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 6% from 2025 to 2030, supported by its diversified drug portfolio [6]. Product Pipeline and Market Position - Pfizer has strengthened its position in oncology through the acquisition of Seagen, enhancing its portfolio with several successful oncology drugs and a robust clinical pipeline [7][8]. - The company is advancing several late-stage oncology candidates and expects to have eight or more blockbuster oncology medicines by 2030 [8]. Challenges and Strategic Initiatives - Pfizer anticipates a moderate negative impact on revenues due to the loss of exclusivity for several key products between 2026 and 2030 [12]. - The company expects an unfavorable impact of approximately $1 billion from the redesign of Medicare Part D under the Inflation Reduction Act [13]. - Pfizer is implementing cost-cutting measures and internal restructuring, aiming for savings of $7.7 billion by the end of 2027, which should support profit growth [24]. Valuation and Investment Outlook - Pfizer's stock is trading below its 5-year average price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, currently at 8.23 compared to the industry average of 15.05, indicating potential value for investors [18]. - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for earnings remains unchanged at $3.06 per share for 2025 and $3.09 for 2026, suggesting stability in earnings expectations [21]. - With a dividend yield of around 7%, Pfizer presents an attractive option for income investors, alongside its potential for capital appreciation [24][25].
Lilly Moves Past 50-Day Average: Should You Buy the Stock Now?
ZACKS· 2025-06-13 15:46
Core Insights - Eli Lilly and Company (LLY) has reached a significant support level, making it an attractive option for investors from a technical standpoint, with the stock breaking through its 50-day simple moving average (SMA), indicating a potential short-term bullish trend [1][9] - The company's cardiometabolic business, particularly the success of its diabetes drug Mounjaro and weight loss medicine Zepbound, has become a key driver of revenue [3][4] - Despite some challenges, Lilly expects substantial revenue growth in 2025, driven by Mounjaro, Zepbound, and other new drug approvals [31][32] Company Performance - LLY's stock has traded below its 50-day average since early May due to an earnings miss and guidance cut, but it has recently shown signs of recovery [2][9] - Mounjaro and Zepbound generated combined sales of $6.15 billion in Q1 2025, accounting for approximately 48% of the company's total revenues [4][9] - The company expects 2025 revenues to be between $58 billion and $61 billion, reflecting a 32% year-over-year growth [31][32] Product Pipeline and Growth Drivers - Lilly has launched Mounjaro in new international markets, including China, India, and Mexico, which is expected to drive future sales growth [6][11] - The FDA approved Zepbound for a second indication, which could further enhance sales [7] - Lilly's pipeline includes several promising candidates in obesity, diabetes, and cancer, with key mid and late-stage data readouts expected this year [11][12] Competitive Landscape - The obesity market is projected to expand to $100 billion by 2030, leading to increased competition, particularly from Novo Nordisk and other companies developing GLP-1-based therapies [14][15] - Mounjaro and Zepbound face competition from Novo Nordisk's semaglutide medicines and other emerging candidates from companies like Amgen and Viking Therapeutics [15][16] Financial Metrics and Valuation - Lilly's stock has risen 5.6% this year, outperforming the industry and S&P 500 [22][24] - The stock currently trades at a price/earnings ratio of 31.34, higher than the industry average of 15.51, but below its 5-year mean of 34.54 [26][29] - Estimates for Lilly's 2025 earnings have declined recently, but the company still shows solid growth prospects [29][32]
Voya Financial Trades Above 50-Day SMA: Time to Hold VOYA Stock?
ZACKS· 2025-05-23 14:51
Core Viewpoint - Voya Financial, Inc. (VOYA) is experiencing a short-term bullish trend, trading above its 50-day simple moving average, despite a 20.8% decline from its 52-week high. The company shows strong growth projections and attractive valuations, making it a stock worth holding. Group 1: Price Movement and Valuation - As of May 22, 2025, VOYA's share price was $66.72, down from a 52-week high of $84.30 [1] - The company has a market capitalization of $6.42 billion and an average trading volume of 1.07 million shares over the last three months [4] - VOYA shares are trading at a price-to-book multiple of 1.04X, significantly lower than the industry average of 1.9X, the Finance sector's 4.23X, and the S&P 500 Composite's 7.87X [5] Group 2: Growth Projections - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for VOYA's 2025 earnings per share indicates a year-over-year increase of 33.8%, with revenues expected to reach $1.18 billion, reflecting a 9.6% improvement [7] - For 2026, earnings per share and revenues are projected to increase by 19.5% and 11.3%, respectively, compared to 2025 estimates [9] - VOYA's earnings have grown by 12.2% over the past five years, outperforming the industry average of 7.8% [9] Group 3: Analyst Sentiment - Five out of six analysts covering VOYA have raised their estimates for 2025, with the Zacks Consensus Estimate for 2025 and 2026 increasing by 4.8% and 2.9%, respectively, in the last 30 days [10] Group 4: Segment Performance - VOYA's earnings are driven by strong performances in Wealth Solutions, Investment Management, and Health Solutions, which are characterized by higher growth and returns [14] - The Wealth Solutions segment is experiencing growth due to improved investment income and lower administrative expenses [15] - The Investment Management segment is expected to benefit from higher investment capital returns and improved fee revenues [16] Group 5: Capital Generation and Deployment - VOYA anticipates generating approximately $750 million of excess capital in 2025, with an expected increase of $100 million driven by strategic actions [18] - In Q1 2025, VOYA generated around $200 million of excess capital, returning $43 million to shareholders through dividends and retiring $400 million of senior notes [19] Group 6: Conclusion - Voya Financial is well-positioned for growth due to improved investment income, strategic partnerships, and effective capital deployment [20] - The company's solid growth projections, optimistic analyst sentiment, and attractive valuations further support its investment potential [21]
American Financial Trades Above 50-Day SMA: Time to Hold AFG Stock?
ZACKS· 2025-05-20 13:21
Core Viewpoint - American Financial Group, Inc. (AFG) is experiencing a short-term bullish trend despite a recent decline in share price, with potential growth driven by strategic acquisitions and improved underwriting performance [1][18]. Price Movement - AFG's share price is currently $127.14, down 15.3% from its 52-week high of $150.19, while trading above its 50-day simple moving average (SMA) [1]. Valuation - AFG's forward 12-month price-to-book ratio stands at 2.41X, exceeding the industry average of 1.58X, indicating an expensive valuation [4]. Price Performance - Over the past year, AFG shares have decreased by 4.2%, contrasting with the industry's growth of 22.5%, the Finance sector's return of 18.1%, and the S&P 500's appreciation of 11.6% [5][6]. Growth Projections - The Zacks Consensus Estimate projects AFG's 2025 revenues at $8.21 billion, reflecting a year-over-year increase of 2.1%, with further growth anticipated in 2026 [8]. Analyst Sentiment - Analyst sentiment has turned bearish, with the consensus estimate for 2025 earnings down by 0.5% and for 2026 down by 0.7% over the past 30 days [9]. Return on Capital - AFG's return on equity (ROE) for the trailing 12 months is 18.3%, significantly higher than the industry average of 7.8%, indicating effective use of shareholders' funds [10]. Growth Factors - AFG is well-positioned for growth due to new business opportunities, a favorable renewal rate environment, and strategic acquisitions, particularly in the Crop Risk Services segment [11][12]. Combined Ratio - AFG has maintained a combined ratio better than the industry average for over two decades, with an expected combined ratio of 92.5% for 2025 [13]. Dividend Distribution - The company has increased its dividend for 18 consecutive years, reflecting financial stability and robust operating profitability, with a dividend yield of 2.5%, surpassing the industry average of 0.2% [14][16]. Conclusion - Despite an expensive valuation and bearish analyst sentiment, AFG's strategic initiatives and favorable growth estimates make it an attractive stock to hold [17][18].
NMI Holdings Trades Above 50-Day SMA: Time to Hold NMIH Stock?
ZACKS· 2025-05-15 14:05
Core Viewpoint - NMI Holdings Inc. (NMIH) is experiencing a short-term bullish trend, trading above its 50-day simple moving average, despite a recent decline in share price from its 52-week high [1] Valuation and Market Position - NMIH shares are trading at a price-to-book multiple of 1.25X, which is lower than the industry average of 1.52X, the Finance sector's 4.11X, and the Zacks S&P 500 Composite's 7.8X, indicating attractive valuation [4] - The company has a market capitalization of $2.90 billion, with an average trading volume of 0.6 million shares over the last three months [6] Performance Metrics - NMIH's shares have gained 10.3% over the past year, lagging behind the industry's growth of 19.8%, the Finance sector's return of 16.8%, and the S&P 500 composite's appreciation of 11.1% [7][9] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for NMIH's 2025 earnings per share indicates a year-over-year increase of 7.1%, with revenues expected to reach $686.01 million, reflecting a 5.4% improvement [10] - The expected long-term earnings growth rate for NMIH is 6.10%, which is slightly below the industry average of 6.9% [11] Return on Capital - NMIH's return on equity (ROE) for the trailing 12 months was 17.27%, significantly higher than the industry's 7.7%, showcasing efficient use of shareholders' funds [12] Growth Opportunities - NMIH is positioned to benefit from new business opportunities in the growing mortgage insurance market, with expectations of increased production in monthly and single premium policies [13] - The company has a comprehensive reinsurance program to enhance its return profile and manage credit volatility [14] Shareholder Returns - NMIH has engaged in share buybacks, repurchasing a total of $245 million of shares, with $80 million of repurchase capacity remaining [14] - These strategies are expected to help the insurer generate solid mid-teens returns for shareholders [15] Overall Outlook - NMIH is well-positioned for growth due to new primary insurance written, a comprehensive reinsurance program, and favorable growth estimates [16] - The stock has a VGM Score of A, indicating attractive value, growth, and momentum, suggesting it is wise to hold onto this stock [18]
RGA Stock Trading at a Discount to Industry at 1.19X: Time to Hold?
ZACKS· 2025-05-14 15:30
Core Viewpoint - Reinsurance Group of America (RGA) shares are trading at a discount compared to the Zacks Life Insurance industry, with a forward price-to-book value of 1.19X, lower than the industry average of 1.80X and the Finance sector's 4.09X [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - RGA has a market capitalization of $13.64 billion and an average trading volume of 0.4 million shares over the last three months [1] - RGA's shares have lost 1% over the past year, while the industry has grown by 14.3%, the Finance sector by 16.3%, and the S&P 500 by 10% [5][6] - The company has a decent earnings surprise history, beating estimates in three of the last four quarters with an average surprise of 7.85% [9] Group 2: Growth Projections - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for RGA's 2025 earnings per share indicates a year-over-year increase of 1.9%, with revenues projected at $24.28 billion, reflecting a 6.2% improvement [10] - Earnings have grown by 15.3% over the past five years, outperforming the industry average of 7.8% [11] - The consensus estimates for 2026 earnings per share and revenues suggest increases of 11.4% and 9.4%, respectively, from the 2025 estimates [10] Group 3: Operational Efficiency - RGA's return on invested capital (ROIC) has consistently increased, reaching 6.1% in the trailing 12 months, significantly higher than the industry average of 0.6% [12] - The company has effectively managed capital through share buybacks, dividend payments, and prudent investments, maintaining a free cash flow conversion of over 85% in recent quarters [18][19] Group 4: Market Position and Strategy - RGA is a leader in the traditional U.S. and Latin American markets, with a strong product line and capabilities that contribute to risk diversification [13] - In Canada, RGA is well-positioned with a sizable block of in-force business, anticipating long-term growth in longevity insurance [14] - The company is capitalizing on the growing demand for protection products among the emerging global middle class and aging populations [15] Group 5: Future Outlook - RGA's new business volumes, favorable longevity experience, diversified business model, and effective capital deployment are expected to support long-term growth [20] - The stock has a VGM Score of A, indicating attractive value, growth, and momentum [20] - The recommendation is to hold the stock, given its affordability and potential for future performance [21]