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Spotlight on Eli Lilly: Analyzing the Surge in Options Activity - Eli Lilly (NYSE:LLY)
Benzinga· 2025-11-24 15:02
Financial giants have made a conspicuous bullish move on Eli Lilly. Our analysis of options history for Eli Lilly (NYSE:LLY) revealed 46 unusual trades.Delving into the details, we found 41% of traders were bullish, while 32% showed bearish tendencies. Out of all the trades we spotted, 5 were puts, with a value of $616,686, and 41 were calls, valued at $2,414,792.Predicted Price RangeTaking into account the Volume and Open Interest on these contracts, it appears that whales have been targeting a price range ...
2 Major Stocks Want to Dominate the GLP-1 Market. Which One Looks Like the Leader Heading Into 2026?
Yahoo Finance· 2025-11-22 23:13
Core Insights - GLP-1 medicines are experiencing significant growth in the pharmaceutical industry, particularly for weight management, with Eli Lilly and Novo Nordisk as the leading companies [1][6] - Eli Lilly's tirzepatide has rapidly become the world's best-selling drug, generating $24.8 billion in revenue in the first nine months of 2025 [2] - Eli Lilly is advancing its position with additional candidates like orforglipron and retatrutide, which could enhance its competitive edge in the GLP-1 market [4][5] Eli Lilly's Position - Eli Lilly's tirzepatide, marketed as Mounjaro and Zepbound, has cannibalized sales of its previous best-seller, Trulicity, and has shown effectiveness in multiple indications [1] - The drug mimics both GLP-1 and GIP hormones, leading to superior performance in weight management compared to competitors [3] - Eli Lilly has completed phase 3 studies for orforglipron, an oral GLP-1 medicine, which could be a first in the weight management category [4] - Retatrutide, currently in phase 3 studies, mimics three hormones and may further improve treatment efficacy [5] Novo Nordisk's Challenges - Novo Nordisk, previously the market leader, has seen its global market share decline from 55.7% to 49.3% as of August [7] - The company markets semaglutide under well-known brands like Ozempic and Wegovy but is struggling to keep pace with Eli Lilly's advancements [6][7]
TD Cowen Maintains Buy on Eli Lilly (LLY) After Government Deal
Yahoo Finance· 2025-11-18 09:45
Eli Lilly and Company (NYSE:LLY) is one of the 15 Best Aggressive Growth Stocks to Buy Right Now. On November 7, TD Cowen reiterated its Buy rating on Eli Lilly and Company (NYSE:LLY) with a price target of $960. This update came after the company announced an agreement with the US government to expand access to obesity medicines. Starting April 1, 2026, Medicare beneficiaries will not have to pay more than $50 per month for Zepbound (tirzepatide), which comes in a multi-dose pen, and for orforglipron, El ...
Is Eli Lilly Stock's Run Too Hot? Here Is How It Can Crash
Forbes· 2025-11-12 15:20
Group 1 - Eli Lilly's stock has surged by 21% this month due to strong third-quarter earnings and a favorable pricing deal for obesity drugs with the U.S. government [2] - The company's market capitalization has exceeded $900 billion, driven by a threefold increase in sales of its GLP-1 weight-loss products like Zepbound [3] - Despite recent successes, Eli Lilly faces challenges from increasing competition in the obesity market and potential pricing scrutiny that could impact future profit margins [3] Group 2 - Historical trends indicate that Eli Lilly's stock is not immune to significant market downturns, with past declines of approximately 43% during the Dot-Com bubble and over 50% during the Global Financial Crisis [7] - The competition for GLP-1 products is intensifying, with 16 new weight-loss medications expected by 2029, which could threaten Eli Lilly's market share [9] - Patent expirations, particularly for Trulicity, which generated $7.1 billion in sales in 2023, pose a risk to future revenue as it faces a significant decline in sales projected for 2024 [9] Group 3 - Eli Lilly's revenue growth has been impressive, with a 36.8% growth over the last twelve months and a 23.4% average growth over the last three years [10] - The company has a free cash flow margin of nearly -0.09% and an operating margin of 43.0% for the last twelve months [10] - The stock is currently trading at a P/E multiple of 64.3, indicating a high valuation relative to earnings [10]
特朗普宣布药品降价,药企代表当场晕倒
第一财经· 2025-11-07 15:51
Core Insights - Trump announced agreements with pharmaceutical giants Novo Nordisk and Eli Lilly to reduce the prices of their popular weight loss drugs [3][4] - Novo Nordisk plans to set the monthly price for the lowest dose of Wegovy at $149, expanding this pricing strategy to all patient-facing products [3] - Eli Lilly's lowest dose of Zepbound will start at $299, with the highest dose at $449, approximately $50 lower than current direct-to-patient prices [3] Pricing Strategies - Novo Nordisk will lower prices for its injectable drugs, including Wegovy and Ozempic, under Medicare Part D, Medicaid, and self-pay channels [3] - Eli Lilly's new oral weight loss drug, Orforglipron, will also have a minimum dose price of $149, pending federal approval [3] Market Impact - The U.S. Department of Health and Human Services Secretary stated that this initiative will significantly impact all citizens, including those without insurance, by providing equal access to GLP-1 drugs [4] - It is projected that by next year, the cumulative weight loss among Americans could reach 125 million pounds (approximately 56 million kilograms) due to increased accessibility to weight loss medications [4]
从每月1350美元降至350美元,特朗普宣布:减肥药大降价!发布会上药企高管晕倒,公司股价大跌
Mei Ri Jing Ji Xin Wen· 2025-11-07 06:29
Core Points - The U.S. government has reached a price control agreement with Eli Lilly and Novo Nordisk for obesity medications, which will be available through the TrumpRx direct drug sales channel [1][3] - Novo Nordisk's semaglutide injection price will drop from $1,350 to an average of $350 per month, while Eli Lilly's tirzepatide injection and the pending oral drug Orforglipron will decrease from $1,086 to an average of $346 per month [3] - Medicare and Medicaid will now reimburse obesity medications for patients, allowing Novo Nordisk and Eli Lilly to exchange price reductions for increased volume [4] Pricing and Investment Details - Under the agreement, all doses of GLP-1 injections from Novo Nordisk and Eli Lilly will be priced at $245, with Medicare beneficiaries only paying $50 per month after reimbursement [4] - The GLP-1 injections will also be reduced to $245 in the TrumpRx channel over the next two years [4] - Novo Nordisk has committed to invest an additional $10 billion in the U.S., including local production of oral semaglutide once approved [4] Market Reactions - Following the announcement, Novo Nordisk's stock fell by 4%, while Eli Lilly's stock rose by 1.26% [5]
特朗普官宣:减肥药降价
财联社· 2025-11-07 00:13
Core Viewpoint - The U.S. government has reached a drug price control agreement with Eli Lilly and Novo Nordisk, allowing discounted drugs to be sold through the "TrumpRx" direct sales channel [1] Group 1: Agreement Details - Novo Nordisk's semaglutide injection price will drop from $1,350 per month to an average of $350 [7] - Eli Lilly's tirzepatide injection and the pending oral drug (Orforglipron) will decrease from $1,086 per month to an average of $346 [7] - If the FDA approves the oral version of semaglutide or other oral drugs from both companies, pricing will start at $150 per month [7] Group 2: Insurance Coverage and Financial Implications - Medicare and Medicaid will reimburse obesity medications for the first time, representing a "price for volume" trade for both companies [8] - Under U.S. insurance coverage, all doses of Novo Nordisk and Eli Lilly's GLP-1 injections will be priced at $245, with beneficiaries paying only $50 per month after reimbursement [9] - The GLP-1 injections will also be priced at $245 in the "TrumpRx" channel over the next two years [10] Group 3: Additional Commitments and Investments - Novo Nordisk has committed to invest an additional $10 billion in the U.S., including local production of the oral semaglutide once approved [11] - The agreement is expected to have a "low single-digit" negative impact on global sales growth in 2026 [11] - Both companies will receive a three-year grace period from tariffs on drug imports following the agreement with the White House [12]
Lilly Beats on Q3 Earnings, Ups View, Mounjaro, Zepbound Drive Sales
ZACKS· 2025-10-30 18:01
Core Insights - Eli Lilly and Company (LLY) reported third-quarter 2025 adjusted earnings per share (EPS) of $7.02, exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $6.02 per share, and significantly up from $1.18 per share in the same quarter last year [1][9] - Revenues reached $17.60 billion, a 54% increase year over year, driven by strong sales of GLP-1 drugs, Mounjaro and Zepbound, surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $16.01 billion [2][9] Revenue and Sales Performance - Mounjaro sales were $6.52 billion, up 109% year over year, beating the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $5.48 billion [3] - Zepbound recorded sales of $3.59 billion, a 185% increase year over year, exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $3.45 billion [4] - Trulicity generated revenues of $1.05 billion, down 19% year over year, in line with estimates [6] - Jardiance sales rose 40% to $959 million, surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $687 million [6] - Taltz brought in sales of $901.5 million, up 2% year over year, but missed the Zacks Consensus Estimate [7] - Verzenio generated sales of $1.47 billion, up 7% year over year, but also missed estimates [7] - Emgality revenues were $175.7 million, down 13% year over year, while Olumiant sales were $268.9 million, up 7% [8] Market Dynamics and Competition - Mounjaro and Zepbound are gaining market share from Novo Nordisk's Ozempic and Wegovy, despite facing strong competition [5] - The company is investing in obesity treatments and has several new molecules in clinical development, including orforglipron and retatrutide [14] Guidance and Future Outlook - Lilly raised its 2025 revenue guidance to $63.0 billion to $63.5 billion, up from a previous range of $60.0 billion to $62.0 billion, and increased EPS guidance to $23.00 to $23.70 [11][13] - The company is expanding its portfolio beyond GLP-1 drugs into cardiovascular, oncology, and neuroscience areas, with recent acquisitions to enhance its pipeline [17][18] Stock Performance - Following the strong third-quarter results and guidance increase, Lilly's shares rose more than 5% in pre-market trading, with a year-to-date increase of 5.3% compared to the industry average of 3.3% [13]
Buy, Sell or Hold Lilly Stock? Key Tips Ahead of Q3 Earnings
ZACKS· 2025-10-27 14:56
Core Insights - Eli Lilly and Company (LLY) is set to report its Q3 2025 earnings on October 30, with sales and earnings estimates at $16.01 billion and $6.02 per share respectively [1][7] - Earnings estimates for 2025 have decreased from $23.15 per share to $22.73 per share over the past month [1] Earnings Performance - The company's performance has been mixed, exceeding earnings expectations in two of the last four quarters while missing in the other two, resulting in an average earnings surprise of negative 2.31% [3] - In the last reported quarter, LLY achieved a positive earnings surprise of 12.48% [3] Earnings Expectations - LLY has an Earnings ESP of -0.66% and holds a Zacks Rank 3 (Hold) [4] - Companies with a positive Earnings ESP and a Zacks Rank of 1, 2, or 3 have a higher likelihood of beating earnings estimates [5] Key Growth Drivers - The primary drivers for LLY's top-line growth in Q3 are expected to be its GLP-1 drugs, Mounjaro and Zepbound, which have seen high demand [6][7] - Sales estimates for Mounjaro and Zepbound are $5.48 billion and $3.45 billion respectively, with LLY's own estimates at $5.33 billion and $3.46 billion [8] Competitive Landscape - CVS Caremark has excluded Zepbound from its preferred drug list, which negatively impacted prescriptions in July and is expected to affect growth in Q3 [9] - Competitive dynamics have also hurt sales of Trulicity, with patient switches to Mounjaro and lower realized prices affecting revenues [11] Product Performance - Sales estimates for other key drugs include Trulicity at $1.05 billion, Taltz at $919 million, Verzenio at $1.58 billion, Jardiance at $687 million, Olumiant at $263 million, and Emgality at $196 million [11] - Newer products like Ebglyss, Jaypirca, Kisunla, and Omvoh are anticipated to contribute to sales growth [12] Strategic Initiatives - LLY is diversifying beyond GLP-1 drugs into cardiovascular, oncology, and neuroscience areas, with several M&A deals announced in 2025 [25] - The acquisition of Adverum Biotechnologies aims to enhance LLY's pipeline with gene therapies for vision loss [26] Market Position - LLY's stock has increased by 6.9% this year, outperforming the industry average of 5.6% [14] - Despite facing pricing pressures and competition, LLY remains the largest drugmaker with strong growth prospects [30]
J.L. Bainbridge Buys $45 Million in Eli Lilly Stock Despite Price-Pressure Fears
The Motley Fool· 2025-10-20 01:55
Core Insights - J. L. Bainbridge & Co. Inc. has significantly increased its stake in Eli Lilly and Company by acquiring 61,258 additional shares valued at approximately $45.6 million for the quarter ended September 30 [2][7] - The purchase now represents 3.9% of J. L. Bainbridge's reportable assets [3] - Eli Lilly's stock price is currently $802.83, reflecting an 11% decline over the past year, underperforming the S&P 500's nearly 14% gain during the same period [3][4] Company Overview - Eli Lilly and Company is a global pharmaceutical leader with a market capitalization of $759.8 billion and a trailing twelve months (TTM) revenue of $53.3 billion and net income of $13.8 billion [4][6] - The company maintains a diversified portfolio of innovative therapies for high-burden diseases, including leading products for diabetes, oncology, immunology, and neuroscience [9] Investment Context - The recent purchase by J. L. Bainbridge reflects a long-term conviction in Eli Lilly's fundamentals despite near-term volatility and stock price pressures due to valuation concerns and political commentary regarding potential price cuts for weight-loss drugs [7][10] - Analysts at BMO Capital Markets have suggested that the recent selloff in Eli Lilly's stock may be "overdone," indicating that the demand for GLP-1 treatments continues to outpace supply [10] - The addition of Eli Lilly to Bainbridge's portfolio, which is primarily anchored by technology stocks like Microsoft, Apple, and Alphabet, underscores a strategy focused on durable growth and innovation-led healthcare exposure [11]