A股市场趋势性上涨

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A股有望迎来趋势性上涨行情
Qi Huo Ri Bao· 2025-05-06 01:16
Group 1 - The market sentiment is expected to continue its recovery post-holiday, with domestic stimulus policies entering the implementation phase, presenting a potential trend-following opportunity in the A-share market [1][7] - The S&P 500 index has seen a continuous rise for nine trading days as of May 2, marking the longest streak since 2004, largely due to easing global trade disputes and better-than-expected U.S. non-farm payroll data [1][3] - The Chinese stock market sentiment index showed a slight improvement by the end of April, indicating a change in the trend of declining sentiment, with the A-share market expected to experience a recovery in sentiment post-holiday [2][3] Group 2 - The Chinese economy's GDP grew by 5.4% year-on-year in Q1, with domestic demand and export support being key drivers, suggesting an improvement in economic growth momentum [4][6] - The Central Political Bureau of the Communist Party emphasized the need for proactive macro policies, indicating a faster implementation of fiscal and monetary policies to counter external shocks [6][7] - The A-share market's earnings expectations remain stable, particularly for large-cap indices like the CSI 300 and SSE 50, suggesting resilience in the face of external pressures [5][7] Group 3 - The potential for capital outflow due to significant RMB depreciation highlights the importance of domestic stimulus policies to support demand resilience [2][6] - The offshore RMB's strength has positively impacted the Hong Kong stock market, with the Hang Seng Index rebounding by 1.74% on May 2 [2][3] - The market's trading logic may shift from earnings expectations to valuation levels as the earnings season concludes, with low PE/G ratios indicating subdued profit growth expectations [3][4]