Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. Core Views Index Futures - Trump threatens to significantly increase tariffs on India over oil purchases from Russia; Switzerland plans to offer a more attractive trade proposal to the US to reduce tariffs; the President of the San Francisco Fed predicts more than two interest rate cuts this year; the former third - in - command of the Fed believes internal differences are exaggerated. A - share new account openings in July increased by 71%. With high margin trading in China, a decline in fund holding ratios, and the Politburo meeting not exceeding expectations, there may be minor fluctuations during the intensive semi - annual report disclosure period in late August, and index futures may oscillate [1]. Treasury Bond Futures - After the announcement of the resumption of VAT on interest income from government bonds, local government bonds, and financial bonds on Friday, there was a wave of "scrambling for old bonds" in the bond market. On Monday, the yield of active bonds dropped by 1 - 1.5BP compared to Friday's last trading. Without major positive or negative factors, the market may return to low - volatility, and the 10 - year Treasury bond may oscillate within a narrow range around 1.70 [2]. Market Review Index Futures - The main contract futures of CSI 300 rose 0.52%, SSE 50 rose 0.54%, CSI 500 rose 0.97%, and CSI 1000 rose 1.42% [4]. Treasury Bond Futures - The 10 - year main contract rose 0.02%, the 5 - year main contract fell 0.01%, the 30 - year main contract rose 0.08%, and the 2 - year main contract remained unchanged [5]. Technical Analysis Index Futures - The KDJ indicator shows a rebound trend for the broader market [4]. Treasury Bond Futures - The MACD indicator shows that the T main contract may rebound [6]. Strategy Suggestions Index Futures - Oscillate [1]. Treasury Bond Futures - Oscillate [2]. Futures Data (2025 - 08 - 04) | Futures Variety | Closing Price (Yuan/Contract) | Change (%) | Trading Volume (Lots) | Open Interest (Lots) | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | CSI 300 Main Continuous | 4,052.80 | 0.52 | 44,736 | 146,808 | | SSE 50 Main Continuous | 2,770.40 | 0.54 | 24,294 | 56,661 | | CSI 500 Main Continuous | 6,169.00 | 0.97 | 42,885 | 102,178 | | CSI 1000 Main Continuous | 6,642.60 | 1.42 | 119,420 | 177,500 | | 10 - year Treasury Bond Main Continuous | 108.47 | 0.02 | 77,910 | 175,703 | | 5 - year Treasury Bond Main Continuous | 105.72 | - 0.01 | 62,616 | 128,789 | | 30 - year Treasury Bond Main Continuous | 119.19 | 0.08 | 122,755 | 105,770 | | 2 - year Treasury Bond Main Continuous | 102.35 | 0.00 | 36,387 | 90,529 | [7]

本报讯 8月4日，上交所发布的新开户数据显示，今年7月A股新开户196.36万户，较今年6月的新开户数 环比增长超过30万户，环比增长近两成，同比增长逾七成。今年6月A股新开户数为164.64万户，而去年 7月A股新开户数则为115.14万户。（齐宣） ...

Core Insights - The number of new A-share accounts reached 1.65 million in June, a year-on-year increase of 53%, indicating a significant rise in market confidence among retail investors [1][2] - The total number of new accounts for the first half of 2025 is projected to reach 12.6 million, reflecting a 33% year-on-year growth [1] - The A-share market has shown increased activity, with total trading volume in June reaching 26.72 trillion yuan, a 79.57% increase compared to the same period last year [2] Monthly New Account Trends - January saw 1.57 million new accounts, while February experienced a surge to 2.84 million, nearly doubling from January [1][2] - March recorded 3.07 million new accounts, marking a five-month high, driven by the ongoing profitability in the A-share market [3] - April's new accounts dropped to 1.92 million due to market fluctuations influenced by global trade tensions, but still showed a 30.6% year-on-year increase [3] - May's new accounts fell to 1.56 million, a 19.17% decrease from April, but still represented a 22.86% year-on-year growth [3] Market Sentiment and Future Outlook - The increase in new accounts is closely tied to the market's recovery and the sustained profitability of A-shares, which has attracted new retail investors [2][4] - The Shanghai Composite Index rose by 2.9% in June, surpassing the 3400-point mark, contributing to the positive market sentiment [2] - Industry experts suggest that the growth in new accounts reflects a restoration of investor confidence and recognition of the long-term investment value in A-shares, with expectations of entering a second phase of a bull market [4]

Core Viewpoint - The article highlights the significant increase in new A-share accounts in June 2025, driven by a recovering market and supportive policies, indicating a positive outlook for the second half of the year [1][2][5]. Group 1: New Account Trends - In June 2025, A-share new account openings reached 1.65 million, a 5.84% increase from May, and a 53% year-on-year growth compared to June 2024 [1][2]. - The total new accounts for the first half of 2025 reached 12.6 million, marking a 32.79% increase from the same period last year [1][5]. - The new account data for the first half of 2025 shows a steady growth trend, with significant spikes in February (2.84 million) and March (3.07 million) due to market performance and policy support [3][4]. Group 2: Market Performance and Factors Influencing New Accounts - The recovery in new account openings in June was attributed to the A-share market's profitability, with major indices showing substantial gains: Shanghai Composite Index up 2.9%, Shenzhen Component Index up 4.23%, and ChiNext Index up 8.02% [2][4]. - The overall trading activity in June was robust, with total trading volume reaching 26.72 trillion yuan, a 79.57% increase year-on-year [2]. - The article emphasizes that the market's profitability and ongoing policy support are critical factors influencing the new account openings [3][4]. Group 3: Future Outlook - Analysts predict that the A-share market will continue to see upward momentum in the second half of 2025, driven by stable economic demand and supportive policies [5][6]. - The market is expected to experience a structural slow bull phase, with key indices showing a healthy upward trend after breaking the 3400-point mark [6]. - The focus will shift towards growth sectors and themes, particularly in financial stocks and new technology trends, as the market evolves [6].

Core Insights - In June 2025, A-share new accounts reached 1.65 million, with a total of 12.6 million new accounts opened in the first half of the year [1] - Monthly comparisons show that new accounts in January 2025 were 1.57 million, February saw a near doubling to 2.84 million, and March exceeded 3 million [1] - April experienced a 37.22% month-on-month decline due to market fluctuations caused by tariff disputes, while May saw further declines due to holiday effects, before a recovery in June with a 5.84% month-on-month increase [1] - The number of new accounts in May 2025 increased by 53% year-on-year compared to 1.08 million new accounts in June 2024, significantly surpassing the previous year's levels [1] - The 1.65 million new accounts in June 2025 were higher than the total for the first six months of the previous year [1]

Core Viewpoint - The recent surge in new A-share account openings indicates a positive trend in investor confidence, suggesting that the brokerage industry may experience significant revenue growth in the first half of the year [1][3]. Group 1: New Account Data - In May, approximately 1.56 million new A-share accounts were opened, with individual investors accounting for 1.5484 million and institutional investors for 0.07147 million [1][2]. - Although the new account openings in May decreased by 19.16% compared to April, they still showed a year-on-year increase of 22.86% compared to May 2024 [2]. - The total number of new accounts opened in the first five months of the year reached 10.9513 million, representing a 30.2% increase compared to the same period in 2024 [2]. Group 2: Brokerage Performance Outlook - The new account data serves as a barometer for investor confidence, with a notable "wave-like" trend in account openings observed in the first five months of the year [3]. - The peak was in March, with 3.0655 million new accounts opened, marking the second-highest monthly figure in history [3]. - In the first quarter, listed brokerages reported revenues of 125.93 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 24.6%, and net profits of 52.183 billion yuan, up 83.48% [3]. - The increase in new accounts directly correlates with the rise in brokerage revenue, with 42 listed brokerages reporting an increase in brokerage income, and 17 of them seeing growth rates exceeding 50% [3]. Group 3: Industry Outlook - According to research from Zhongyuan Securities, the overall operating environment for the securities industry is expected to improve steadily, with brokerage business activity likely to reach new highs in recent years [4]. - The proprietary trading business is anticipated to show slight fluctuations, while investment banking is expected to see marginal improvements [4]. - Asset management faces downward pressure, but the impact is expected to be limited, and net interest income is projected to recover due to increased interest income from margin financing [4].

Group 1 - The core point of the article indicates that the number of new A-share accounts opened in May 2025 was 1.5556 million, which represents a month-on-month decrease of 19.16% compared to 1.9244 million in April 2025 [1]

Core Insights - In May 2025, the number of new A-share accounts opened reached 1.56 million, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 22.86% compared to 1.27 million in May 2024 [1] Monthly Comparison - January 2025 saw 1.57 million new accounts, February experienced a significant increase to 2.84 million, and March surpassed 3 million, while April saw a decline of 37.22% due to market fluctuations caused by tariff disputes [1] - The total new accounts for 2025 up to May amounted to 1.09 million for individuals and 3.72 thousand for institutions, totaling 1.10 million [1] Yearly Comparison - The total new accounts for 2024 were 2.49 million, with May 2024 accounting for 1.27 million, indicating a robust performance in 2025 despite the fluctuations [1]