ADC研发及生产
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中金:维持药明合联跑赢行业评级 升目标价至75港元
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2025-08-20 02:30
Core Viewpoint - The report from CICC indicates a strong demand for global ADC research and production, leading to an upward revision of the adjusted net profit forecast for WuXi AppTec (02268) for 2025 and 2026 by 6.3% and 10.2% to 1.69 billion and 2.33 billion CNY respectively, with a target price increase of 66.7% to 75 HKD, suggesting a potential upside of 21.9% from the current stock price [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - For 1H25, the company reported revenue of 2.7 billion CNY, a year-on-year increase of 62.2%; gross profit of 980 million CNY, up 82.2%; and adjusted net profit of 800 million CNY, reflecting a 50.1% increase year-on-year, exceeding CICC's expectations [2] - The strong revenue growth is attributed to high global ADC demand, increased market share, and the advancement of projects to later stages, while improved profitability is due to enhanced operational efficiency and rapid scaling of new capacity [2] Group 2: Order Growth and Client Engagement - As of 1H25, the company had an unfulfilled order backlog of 1.33 billion USD, a year-on-year increase of 57.9%, with strong growth from North American clients, accounting for over 50% of the total [3] - The total number of ongoing iCMC projects increased to 225, with 37 new projects signed in 1H25, and the number of clinical III projects rose to 19, with 3 new additions [3] - The company secured 13 new iCMC projects in 1H25, bringing the cumulative total to over 80, and contributed over 75% of the total transaction value in ADC licensing deals exceeding 1 billion USD from January to July 2025 [3] Group 3: Capacity Expansion and Infrastructure Development - The company updated its 2025 capital expenditure forecast to 1.56 billion CNY, with 900 million CNY allocated for Singapore and 450 million CNY for Wuxi, and plans for over 7 billion CNY in capital expenditures from 2026 to 2029 to support global capacity construction [4] - The Wuxi facility is set to complete GMP release for the DP3 formulation workshop by July 2025, with plans for GMP release of the DP5 formulation workshop by 2027, while the Singapore facility is expected to achieve mechanical completion by June 2025 and GMP release in the first half of 2026 [4] Group 4: Technological Advancements - The company is focusing on cutting-edge technology platforms to maintain its innovative leadership, including WuXiDARx technology that enhances ADC drug uniformity and flexibility in drug-antibody ratio selection [5] - The X-LinC linker technology significantly improves plasma stability, potentially enhancing ADC stability and expanding therapeutic windows [5] - The camptothecin-based payload and hydrophilic linker technology improve ADC stability, hydrophilicity, and tolerability, with WuXiTecan-1 and WuXiTecan-2 demonstrating excellent efficacy and safety profiles in mouse and monkey models [5]