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社会服务行业周报:五一假期旅游供需两旺,国货美妆加码掘金高端线
KAIYUAN SECURITIES· 2025-04-21 00:23
Investment Rating - Investment rating for the social services industry is "Positive" (maintained) [1] Core Insights - The report highlights a robust growth in the tourism sector during the May Day holiday, with a significant increase in cross-regional travel demand and a notable rise in high-end hotel bookings [14][20] - The report indicates a strong performance in the trendy toy market, with a 39% year-on-year increase in the number of offline stores and a 17% increase in average store efficiency [27][28] - The Chinese restaurant market, particularly the Chinese noodle shop segment, is projected to grow significantly, with a compound annual growth rate of 11.6% from 2024 to 2029 [34] - The service robotics market is expected to grow rapidly, with a projected market size of 97 billion by 2028, driven by advancements in AI technology and increasing demand for efficient service [44][48] - The domestic beauty market is seeing a trend towards high-end products, with significant upgrades in product formulations and technology [50][51] Summary by Sections 1. Travel and Tourism - The May Day holiday is expected to see a peak in travel demand, with an estimated daily cross-regional flow of over 270 million people [14] - Domestic flight ticket prices have decreased, leading to a 29% increase in search interest among price-sensitive university students [18] - The trend of travel consumption is shifting towards lower-tier cities, with a 25% increase in tourism heat compared to higher-tier cities [18] 2. Trendy Toys - As of March 2025, the number of offline trendy toy stores reached 3,645, marking a 39% year-on-year growth [27] - The average store efficiency for trendy toy stores increased by 17% year-on-year, with significant variations among brands [28] 3. Restaurant Industry - The Chinese noodle shop market is projected to reach a total transaction value of 495.6 billion by 2029, with a compound annual growth rate of 11.6% from 2024 to 2029 [34] - The company "Encounter Small Noodles" achieved a revenue of 1.154 billion in 2024, reflecting a 44.2% year-on-year growth [37] 4. Service Robotics - The service robotics market in China is expected to grow from 30 billion in 2023 to 97 billion by 2028, with a compound annual growth rate of 26.5% [44][48] - The hotel sector is the largest segment within the service robotics market, projected to reach 36 billion by 2028 [45] 5. Beauty Industry - The beauty market is experiencing a shift towards high-end products, with significant upgrades in formulations and technology [50] - The "Giant Biological" brand launched an upgraded collagen stick, which has seen a 32% year-on-year growth in sales [51]