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中信建投证券:A股跨年行情已经启动
Xin Hua Cai Jing· 2025-12-29 05:38
Core Viewpoint - The recent eight consecutive days of gains in the Shanghai Composite Index signal a positive outlook, indicating that the A-share year-end rally has commenced [1] Group 1: Market Drivers - Three main expectations are driving the initiation of the year-end rally: a consensus of optimism among institutional investors, the anticipated early arrival of the spring market, and the conclusion of adjustments in overseas AI models, leading to improved liquidity and risk conditions [1] - Recent announcements of the 15th Five-Year Plan policies and events have heightened investor expectations regarding policy [1] Group 2: Sector Focus - Key sectors to watch for the year-end rally include non-ferrous metals and AI computing power, which are expected to experience significant catalytic growth [1] - The primary market focus remains on commercial aerospace, with secondary themes including the Hainan Free Trade Zone, controllable nuclear fusion, and humanoid robots [1]
【机构策略】A股跨年行情已经启动
Group 1 - The core viewpoint is that the A-share market has entered a cross-year rally, driven by positive signals from the recent eight consecutive days of gains in the Shanghai Composite Index and optimistic expectations from institutional investors [1][2] - Citic Securities highlights that the recent market adjustments have completed, and the overall market represented by the Wind All A Index has broken through moving averages, indicating a potential new high [1] - Dongguan Securities notes that the offshore RMB has recently surpassed the 7.0 mark against the US dollar for the first time since September 2024, which is expected to have a positive impact on the A-share market [2] Group 2 - The market is expected to experience a "spring surge" as liquidity remains reasonably ample and economic data supports corporate profit recovery [2] - The recent release of the 15th Five-Year Plan and other policy events has heightened investor expectations, contributing to the market's upward momentum [1] - The combination of a slow bull market expectation and the anticipated "spring surge" suggests that a new round of upward movement in the index is likely to commence soon [1]