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网易-S(09999):——(9999.HK)2025Q3财报点评:网易-S(09999):游戏长线运营能力突出,递延收入高增为后续业绩释放奠定基础
Guohai Securities· 2025-11-23 07:02
Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Accumulate" rating for the company [1][9] Core Insights - The company demonstrates strong long-term operational capabilities in the gaming sector, with a significant increase in deferred revenue laying a solid foundation for future performance releases [2][6] - The Q3 2025 financial results show revenue of 28.359 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 8.2% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 1.7%. The net profit attributable to shareholders is 8.616 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 31.8% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 0.2% [5][6] Financial Performance Summary - **Revenue and Profitability**: In Q3 2025, the company achieved revenue of 28.359 billion yuan (YoY +8.2%, QoQ +1.7%) and a net profit of 8.616 billion yuan (YoY +31.8%, QoQ +0.2%). The non-GAAP net profit was 9.502 billion yuan (YoY +26.7%, QoQ -0.3%) [5][6] - **Gross Margin**: The gross margin improved to 64.1% (YoY +2.0 percentage points, QoQ -1.0 percentage points) [6] - **Expense Ratios**: The sales expense ratio was 15.7% (YoY +8.3 percentage points, QoQ +22.5 percentage points), R&D expense ratio was 16.0% (YoY -5.1 percentage points, QoQ +2.5 percentage points), and management expense ratio was 4.1% (YoY -2.2 percentage points, QoQ +8.4 percentage points) [6] Business Segment Performance - **Gaming Business**: The gaming and value-added services generated revenue of 22.3 billion yuan (YoY +11.8%, QoQ +2.3%). The gaming sector shows strong resilience and growth momentum, with classic IPs performing well [6] - **Youdao**: In Q3 2025, Youdao achieved revenue of 1.6 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 3.6% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 14.9% [6] - **NetEase Cloud Music**: Revenue for Q3 2025 was 2 billion yuan (YoY -1.8%, QoQ flat). The introduction of AI features has enhanced user experience significantly [6] - **Innovative and Other Businesses**: Revenue decreased to 1.4 billion yuan (YoY -18.9%, QoQ -15.3%). The company is focusing on brand rejuvenation and leveraging AI technology [6] Earnings Forecast and Valuation - The company is projected to achieve revenues of 114.8 billion yuan, 126.5 billion yuan, and 136.2 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively. Adjusted net profits are expected to be 39.1 billion yuan, 44.1 billion yuan, and 49.1 billion yuan for the same years [8][9] - The target price for 2026 is set at 265 HKD, maintaining the "Accumulate" rating [6][9]
有道(DAOUS):深化AI战略,盈利弹性逐渐释放
HTSC· 2025-08-15 12:29
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [8][6]. Core Insights - The company reported Q2 2025 revenue of 1.42 billion RMB, a year-over-year increase of 7.2%, and achieved operational profit of 30 million RMB, marking its first profitable Q2 [3][6]. - The company continues to deepen its "AI-native" strategy, focusing on high-demand online courses and AI subscription services, which are driving significant improvements in profitability [3][4]. - The company has achieved profitability for four consecutive quarters, with expectations for operational profit to reach 220 million RMB for the full year 2025, a 48% year-over-year increase [6][7]. Revenue Breakdown - In Q2 2025, the company's revenue from learning services, smart hardware, and online marketing was 658 million RMB, 125 million RMB, and 633 million RMB respectively, with year-over-year growth rates of 2.2%, -23.9%, and 23.8% [4]. - The sales of the company's learning services, particularly the Youdao Lingxi, grew approximately 30% year-over-year in Q2 [4]. - The AI subscription service sales reached nearly 80 million RMB in Q2, with a growth rate exceeding 30% [4]. Advertising Business Performance - The online marketing services revenue was 633 million RMB in Q2, reflecting a year-over-year increase of 23.8%, driven by strong performance in game advertising [5]. - The company has expanded its overseas market opportunities and deepened collaborations with Google and TikTok, achieving triple-digit year-over-year growth in revenue from Google [5]. Profitability and Cost Management - The company achieved an operational profit margin of 2% in Q2 2025, with significant cost optimizations in sales expenses [6]. - The report anticipates that the company's effective cost management and accelerated AI commercialization will contribute to improved profitability in the coming years [6][7]. Valuation and Price Target - The report slightly adjusts the revenue estimates for 2025-2027 to 5.92 billion RMB, 6.71 billion RMB, and 7.61 billion RMB respectively, while raising the non-GAAP net profit estimates for 2025 and 2026 [7]. - The target price is set at $12.75, up from a previous estimate of $11.41, based on comparable company valuation changes [7][14].