Core Insights - Tesla (TSLA) experienced a decline in annual deliveries for the second consecutive year in 2025, with a total of approximately 1.64 million vehicles delivered, down over 8% year-over-year [3][9]. - The fourth quarter of 2025 saw Tesla sell 418,227 vehicles, a 16% decrease compared to the same quarter in 2024, primarily due to expiring EV tax credits, aging models, and increased competition from companies like BYD [3][4][9]. - Despite challenges in the core EV business, CEO Elon Musk is focusing on autonomous vehicles and artificial intelligence as future growth engines, although significant revenue from these areas is expected to be years away [2][18]. Delivery Performance - In 2025, Tesla's deliveries totaled roughly 1.64 million vehicles, which included 1.58 million units of Model 3/Y and 50,850 other models, marking a decline from nearly 1.8 million vehicles sold in 2024 [3][9]. - The year-over-year decline in deliveries accelerated in 2025, with a drop of more than 8%, compared to a 1% decline in 2024 [4][9]. - Tesla lost its position as the leading EV manufacturer to BYD, which recorded sales of 2.26 million BEVs in 2025, reflecting a 28% increase year-over-year [4]. Future Growth Areas - Tesla is investing heavily in Full Self-Driving (FSD) technology and robotaxis, which Musk considers the most valuable future segments for the company [5][18]. - The robotaxi service, operational in cities like Austin and San Francisco, is set to expand to additional locations, with the FSD fleet surpassing 7 billion total miles [5][6]. - Tesla's Energy Generation and Storage business is thriving, with a record deployment of 14.2 GWh of energy storage products in Q4 2025 and a 48.7% increase in full-year deployments to 46.7 GWh [10]. Financial Performance and Valuation - Tesla's shares have underperformed the industry over the past year, trading at more than 13.75 times forward 12-month sales, significantly above the industry average [13][14]. - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Tesla's 2025 revenues and EPS indicates a year-over-year contraction of 3% and 33%, respectively, but suggests improvements of 11.6% and 42.4% for 2026 [16]. - Despite the delivery slowdown, Tesla's ongoing advancements in autonomous driving, robotaxis, and energy storage could reshape its long-term earnings mix, making it a high-risk, high-reward investment [18][19].

January 2, 2026 05:51 PM GMT Tesla Inc | North America Deliveries Broadly In-Line | All Eyes on Robo Tesla delivered 418k vehicles in 4Q25 (-16% y/y), slightly missing sell-side consensus expectations (423k) by 1% but beat MSe (402k), and buy-side expectation of ~400- 410k. ESS deployments also came in higher vs. expectations, hitting a record 14.2 GWh vs. 13.4 GWh cons. We maintain our 1.597m vehicles unit sales (-2.5% Y/Y) and 64 GWh ESS deployment (+37%) estimate in 2026. The catalyst path for TSLA remai ...

Group 1: Capital One (COF) - Capital One's stock reached an all-time high of $244 following the acquisition of Discover Financial, enhancing its market position [2][3] - The acquisition has positioned Capital One as a market leader, with a stock increase of 35% in 2025 and significant earnings per share (EPS) revisions due to strong financial results and buybacks [3] - Annual earnings are projected to increase by 41% in fiscal 2025 to $19.77 per share, with FY26 EPS expected to exceed $20.00, trading at an attractive 12X forward earnings multiple [4] Group 2: Marriott International (MAR) - Marriott's stock reached a record of $311 but has shown less captivating performance, with a year-to-date increase of 10% and a modest annual dividend yield of 0.86% [5][6] - The company has increased its dividend by 28% over the last five years, with a payout ratio of 27%, indicating potential for future hikes [6][8] - FY25 EPS estimates have seen minimal increases in the last 90 days, and FY26 revisions are slightly down, suggesting stagnant stock performance may continue [7] Group 3: Tesla (TSLA) - Tesla's stock hit fresh highs of $495, driven by excitement around its robotaxi program, AI integration, and robotics ambitions, despite a slowdown in EV sales [8][9] - The company is testing driverless robotaxis and integrating an AI chatbot, Grok, into its systems, which enhances confidence in its growth potential beyond just EVs [9] - EPS revisions have been modestly lower for FY25 and FY26, indicating that recent stock momentum may be short-lived, although a rebound in financial performance is expected next year [10]

Core Insights - VisionWave Holdings, Inc. has entered into a non-binding letter of intent with Evie Autonomous Limited to explore a £500,000 Proof-of-Concept program for integrating autonomous vehicle technology into VisionWave's Unmanned Ground Vehicle platforms [1][3] - The collaboration marks VisionWave's first strategic initiative following its de-SPAC listing on Nasdaq in July 2025, aiming to enhance its multi-domain autonomy strategy and address European demand in 2026 and beyond [4][5] Company Developments - Discussions and technical evaluations between VisionWave and Evie Autonomous began around August 2025, coinciding with VisionWave's expansion of its UGV R&D team in London [2] - The proposed POC program, if agreed upon, is expected to commence in 2026, focusing on advanced navigation, mission execution, and multi-sensor fusion capabilities [3] Strategic Goals - VisionWave is actively pursuing additional acquisitions and integrations, including negotiations to acquire Monte drones and related robotics technologies to complement its RF-perception and autonomy engine [4] - The collaboration with Evie Autonomous aligns with VisionWave's strategy to enhance its capabilities in defense technology and autonomous systems [5]

Core Insights - WeRide and Uber have officially launched Robotaxi passenger rides in Dubai, available through the Uber app, marking a significant step in autonomous mobility [1][2] - The service is currently operational in popular tourist areas, with plans for a fully driverless commercial service by early 2026 [2][3] - This initiative aligns with Dubai's goal of achieving 25% autonomous journeys by 2030, responding to the growing demand for shared mobility [4][5] Company Developments - WeRide aims to deploy tens of thousands of Robotaxis globally by 2030, leveraging its autonomous driving technology tested in over 30 cities across 11 countries [5][6] - Uber's partnership with WeRide and the Roads and Transport Authority (RTA) reflects its commitment to advancing autonomous transportation in the UAE and the Middle East [5][7] - The launch of Robotaxis in Dubai is part of a broader strategy to scale operations in the region, with WeRide currently operating close to 150 autonomous vehicles, over 100 of which are Robotaxis [5][6] Market Context - Dubai's public transport and shared mobility trips reached 153 million in 2024, with shared mobility users increasing by 28% compared to 2023, indicating a robust market for autonomous services [4] - The collaboration between WeRide and Uber positions both companies to capitalize on the growing demand for innovative transportation solutions in a rapidly urbanizing environment [4][5]

Core Insights - The APAC market, particularly North Asia, is identified as a significant growth area for the company, with a focus on rideshare and autonomous vehicle services [1][2]. Market Growth - Over 30% of global first trips in the rideshare category originate from the APAC region, indicating rapid growth in this area [2]. - The company aims to expand its presence in the Asia-Pacific region, with expectations to operate in over ten markets by next year [5][11]. Regulatory Framework - Establishing a regulatory framework is crucial for the rollout of autonomous rideshare services in Asia, with ongoing discussions with local regulators [3][12]. - Japan is highlighted as a potential market for autonomous services, despite its current regulatory challenges [6][7]. Technology and Partnerships - The company is collaborating with various partners, including Baidu, to enhance its autonomous technology offerings [9][10]. - The autonomous mobility market is projected to exceed $1 trillion, with the company planning to leverage its partnerships to access this market [20]. Financial Position - The company is generating close to $10 billion in free cash flow, which is expected to increase significantly, providing ample capital for investments in autonomous technology [26][27]. - There is an interest in recycling investments in strategic partners like Grab and Didi, although the company does not currently need to raise additional capital [28][29]. Geographic Strategy - The company is experiencing faster growth in suburban and rural markets compared to urban centers, with demand for mobility services in less populated areas [30][31]. - In Japan, there is a commitment to address rural transportation needs, reflecting the company's strategy to support local communities [32]. Competitive Landscape - In India, the company is facing competition from local players like Rapido, which operates on a different business model, but remains optimistic about growth prospects in the region [34][35].

Group 1 - Pony AI Inc. is recognized as one of the best new tech stocks to buy, with Goldman Sachs maintaining a Buy rating and a price target of HK$122.07 [1] - The company announced an expanded partnership with Sunlight Mobility to implement an asset-light model, building on a previous collaboration from June 2024 [2] - This partnership aims to create a scalable, capital-efficient, and rapidly deployable mobility ecosystem to accelerate fleet expansion [2][3] Group 2 - Sunlight Mobility will fund the Gen-7 Robotaxi vehicles, with the initial fleet planned for deployment in Guangzhou by the end of 2025 [3] - The agreement signifies growing market recognition of Pony AI's Robotaxi business model, as more third parties are willing to fund fleet deployment and lease Pony AI's Virtual Driver for commercial operations [4] - The collaborative fleet supply will be integrated into both Pony AI and Sunlight Mobility's platforms, ensuring shared economic benefits [4]

Core Insights - Uber Technologies (UBER) and Grab (GRAB) are significant players in the ride-hailing industry, each with distinct business models and regional strategies [1][2] Uber's Position - Uber operates a global platform, primarily focused on ride-sharing, but has expanded into food delivery and freight services [2] - The company reported strong demand in both ridesharing and delivery sectors, with third-quarter 2025 earnings exceeding expectations [4] - For Q4 2025, Uber anticipates gross bookings between $52.25 billion and $53.75 billion, reflecting a year-over-year growth of 17% to 21% [5] - Uber is advancing into the robotaxi market through partnerships, launching services in Abu Dhabi and Dallas with autonomous vehicles [6][7] - The company has authorized up to $20 billion in share repurchases, indicating confidence in its long-term strategy and enhancing shareholder value [8][9] - Uber's market capitalization stands at $189.75 billion, providing it with greater resilience during economic uncertainties [23][24] Grab's Position - Grab is a leading "super-app" in Southeast Asia, offering a range of services tailored to local market needs, including food delivery and digital payments [11] - The company reported a 24% year-over-year increase in On-Demand Gross Merchandise Value (GMV) in Q3 2025, with expected revenues between $3.38 billion and $3.40 billion for 2025 [12] - Grab has faced challenges with earnings consistency, missing consensus estimates in two of the last four quarters [13] - The company is partnering with Amazon Web Services to enhance its operational efficiency and service offerings [14] - Grab is also entering the autonomous mobility space with a strategic investment in WeRide, planning to launch its first AV service in Singapore [15][16] Comparative Analysis - Over the past year, Uber's shares have increased by over 38%, while Grab's shares have declined by more than 2% [17] - Uber's forward price-to-sales multiple is 3.18, while Grab's is higher at 5.14, indicating that Grab appears more expensive [21] - Uber's ongoing diversification and shareholder-friendly buybacks suggest a strong financial position compared to Grab, which operates in a narrower geographic base and faces regional economic challenges [23][24] - Based on the analysis, Uber is currently viewed as the stronger investment choice over Grab [25]

Core Insights - WeRide has attracted significant investment from ARK Invest, indicating strong confidence in its growth prospects in the autonomous mobility market [1][8] - The autonomous mobility market is projected to become a multi-trillion-dollar industry, with robotaxi fleets potentially reaching tens of millions of vehicles by 2030 [2] - WeRide's strong Q3 2025 performance, with a revenue increase of 144.3% year-on-year, highlights its competitive position in the industry [5] Investment and Market Position - ARK Invest acquired 858,295 WeRide American Depositary Shares (ADSs), reflecting confidence in the company's long-term strategic positioning [1][8] - Bank of America initiated coverage on WeRide with a Buy rating and a price target of US$12 for ADSs, representing a 45.6% upside potential [3] - Other investment firms, including Bank of China International and Citi, have also issued Buy ratings with significant upside potential [3] Shareholder Base - WeRide's shareholders include prominent global institutions such as Bosch, Fidelity, and NVIDIA, as well as strategic players like Grab and Uber [4][8] - The diverse shareholder base underscores the strong institutional confidence in WeRide's business model and growth trajectory [4][10] Regulatory and Operational Achievements - WeRide holds autonomous driving permits in eight countries, showcasing strong regulatory trust in its technology [2][11] - The company has achieved fully driverless Robotaxi operations in multiple cities, including Abu Dhabi, Guangzhou, and Beijing [9][11] Financial Performance - WeRide reported Q3 2025 revenue of US$24.0 million, with its core Robotaxi business generating US$5.0 million, reflecting a 761.0% year-on-year increase [5] - Gross profit increased by 1,123.9%, and gross margin rose to 32.9%, indicating a strong path toward profitability [5][6] Future Growth Plans - WeRide plans to deploy 500-1,000 Robotaxis in the Middle East by the end of 2026 and aims for tens of thousands worldwide by 2030 [9] - The company is committed to maintaining its leading position in the fast-evolving autonomous mobility market through continuous innovation [6][10]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - In Q3 2025, the company reported revenue of $25.4 million, a growth of 72% year-over-year [44] - Gross profit margin improved significantly from 9.2% in Q3 2024 to 18.4% in Q3 2025, with gross profit of $4.7 million [50] - Net loss for Q3 was $61.6 million, compared to $42.1 million in the same period last year [54] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Robotaxi services revenue reached $6.7 million, representing a growth of 89.5% year-over-year and 338.7% quarter-over-quarter [45] - Fare charging revenue surged by 233.3%, driven by increased user adoption and operational efficiency [46] - Robot truck service revenues were $10.2 million, growing by 8.7% [49] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company expanded its robotaxi footprint to eight countries globally, indicating strong international growth potential [47] - The daily net revenue per vehicle reached CNY 299, with an average of 23 orders per day [51][76] - The total number of registered users nearly doubled within a week of launching the Gen-7 Robotaxi [10] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company aims to scale its fleet to over 3,000 vehicles by 2026, leveraging the momentum from the recent Hong Kong IPO [57] - The launch of the Gen-7 Robotaxi has validated the business model, allowing for deeper collaborations and operational expansion in Tier 1 cities [64] - The company is focusing on technological innovation and operational efficiency to enhance its competitive edge in the autonomous mobility sector [22] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in sustaining robust growth momentum, driven by fleet expansion and improved user experience [62] - The successful Hong Kong IPO is expected to accelerate R&D investments and solidify the company's technology leadership [57] - The company views the entry of new players into the robotaxi market as a positive sign of growing recognition and potential for large-scale commercialization [85] Other Important Information - The company completed a dual primary listing on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange, raising over $800 million [4] - The Gen-7 Robotaxi has achieved city-wide unit economic break-even in Guangzhou, validating the business model [8] - The company is transitioning to a satellite model for fleet expansion, allowing for greater capital efficiency [58] Q&A Session Summary Question: Updates on fleet size and outlook for 2026 - Management expects to outperform the target of 1,000 robotaxis by year-end and aims for over 3,000 vehicles in 2026, driven by user experience and fleet density [62] Question: Outlook for fare charging revenues - Fare charging revenue surged by 233%, with expectations for sustained growth as fleet expansion continues [67][71] Question: Assumptions behind the unit economic break-even - The daily net revenue per vehicle is CNY 299, with 23 average orders per day, supported by operational cost management [76][78] Question: Views on new entrants in the robotaxi space - The company sees new entrants as a positive sign but highlights significant barriers to entry, including business, regulatory, and technical challenges [85][88] Question: Factors behind faster expansion of operational areas - The company attributes faster expansion to the number of robotaxi vehicles and the inherent generalization capabilities of its technology stack [100][101]