Investment Rating - The report maintains a rating of "Add" for the C-REITs sector [6] Core Insights - The C-REITs secondary market is showing signs of gradual recovery, with the first batch of commercial real estate REITs having been submitted for approval [3][14] - The overall market capitalization of listed REITs is approximately 228.71 billion, with an average market cap of about 2.9 billion per REIT [3][13] - The report highlights three main investment strategies: focusing on policy themes and quality undervalued projects, recognizing the market's acknowledgment of the benefits of affordable housing, and paying attention to the expansion of REITs alongside new issuances [4] REITs Index Performance - The CSI REITs total return index increased by 0.47% this week, closing at 1052.4 points, while the CSI REITs index rose by 0.35%, closing at 809.6 points [11][12] - Year-to-date, the CSI REITs total return index has risen by 4.22% [2][11] C-REITs Secondary Market Performance - The C-REITs secondary market experienced a volatile upward trend, with 41 REITs rising and 36 falling this week, resulting in an average weekly increase of 0.4% [3][13] - The energy and transportation sectors performed well, while data centers and logistics sectors saw a pullback [3][13] REITs Valuation Performance - The internal rate of return (IRR) for listed REITs shows significant differentiation, with the top three being Guangzhou Guanghe REIT (10.9%), China Communications Construction REIT (9.5%), and E Fund Guangkai Industrial Park REIT (9.2%) [4] - The price-to-net asset value (P/NAV) ratio ranges from 0.7 to 1.9, with the highest being 1.9 for Huaxia Anbo Warehousing REIT [4] Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on high-energy city consumption growth, value reconstruction of high-speed and IDC assets, and timing investments in affordable housing based on market resilience and pricing [4]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the industry is maintained as "Add" [5] Core Insights - The C-REITs market is showing signs of recovery, with notable performance in the affordable housing and industrial park sectors, while municipal water conservancy and energy infrastructure sectors have seen declines [2][11] - The total market capitalization of listed REITs is approximately 215.53 billion yuan, with an average market cap of about 2.8 billion yuan per REIT [2][11] - The report highlights three main investment strategies: focusing on policy-driven themes, recognizing the market's acknowledgment of the benefits of affordable housing, and monitoring the expansion of REITs alongside new issuances [3] Summary by Sections REITs Index Performance - The CSI REITs total return index increased by 1.56% this week, closing at 1014.8 points, while the CSI REITs closing index rose by 1.39% to 783.9 points [1][9] - Year-to-date, the CSI REITs total return index has risen by 4.85%, while the closing index has decreased by 0.72% [1][9] C-REITs Secondary Market Performance - The secondary market for C-REITs has shown a recovery trend, with 67 out of 78 listed REITs experiencing price increases this week, averaging a weekly gain of 1.61% [2][11] - The best-performing sectors this week include warehousing logistics, industrial parks, and affordable housing, while municipal water conservancy and energy infrastructure sectors faced declines [2][11] REITs Valuation Performance - The internal rate of return (IRR) for listed REITs shows significant differentiation, with the top three being Ping An Guangzhou Guanghe REIT (10.8%), Huaxia China Communications Construction REIT (10%), and E Fund Guangkai Industrial Park REIT (8.8%) [3] - Price-to-NAV ratios range from 0.7 to 1.7, with the highest being Huaxia Anbo Warehousing REIT, Zhongjin Xiamen Anju REIT, and Jiashi Wumei Consumption REIT, all at 1.7 [3]

Summary of Key Points from the Conference Call Industry Overview - The focus is on the **China Real Estate** sector, particularly high-end property demand and market dynamics. Core Insights and Arguments 1. **High-End Demand Validation**: The launch of Shenzhen One Bay Park by CRL and COLI achieved RMB13 billion in sales, indicating a sell-through rate of approximately 70%, which supports the anticipated strong demand for high-end properties [2][8] 2. **Sales Decline in Luxury Projects**: Despite the positive launch, developers experienced an average sales decline of 39% year-on-year in November, highlighting ongoing market challenges [2][9] 3. **Upcoming High-End Projects**: Several high-end projects are set to launch in December, which are crucial for shaping market expectations for sales and earnings in the upcoming year [2][10] 4. **C-REITs Development**: The CSRC's plans to establish commercial REITs and include more property types in C-REITs signal a potential growth area for the China property market, particularly benefiting developers like Seazen [3][8] 5. **Land Market Weakness**: The value of land for sale in tier-1 and key tier-2 cities is down 42% and 61% year-on-year, respectively, indicating a lack of prime land availability and weak market sentiment [4][11][12] Investment Recommendations 1. **Stock Picks**: The preferred stocks include CRL, C&D, and Seazen, all rated as Buy. These companies are expected to benefit from proactive land replenishment and a clear margin recovery trend [5][8] 2. **Risk Appetite**: Distressed names may attract investors with a higher risk tolerance, while the overall sentiment remains cautious due to market conditions [5][8] Additional Important Insights - **Policy Expectations**: There are renewed expectations for innovative policies such as mortgage subsidies and tax rebates, which could positively impact market sentiment [2][8] - **Sales Performance Data**: Detailed sales performance data for various developers in November shows significant declines, with some companies like CR Land showing a 51% month-on-month increase but still a decline of 11% year-on-year [9][10] - **Valuation Metrics**: The report includes valuation metrics for various property developers, indicating a significant discount to NAV for many, reflecting market challenges [20][22] This summary encapsulates the key points discussed in the conference call, providing insights into the current state and future outlook of the China real estate market.

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the C-REITs sector is maintained as "Accumulate" [5] Core Views - The C-REITs market is expected to benefit from a low interest rate environment and ongoing macroeconomic recovery in 2025, presenting investment opportunities. The focus should be on timing, as the REITs have already undergone valuation recovery in 2024. Investors are advised to select individual securities based on asset resilience, secondary market prices, and P/NAV ratios [4][11] - The performance of the C-REITs secondary market has shown an upward trend, with significant gains in the consumption infrastructure and affordable housing sectors, while the ecological and environmental protection sector has seen a pullback [3][11] Summary by Sections REITs Index Performance - The CSI REITs total return index increased by 1.39% this week, closing at 1076.8 points as of May 16. The CSI REITs closing index rose by 1.24%, closing at 859 points. The Hang Seng index had the highest increase this week at 2.09%, while the REITs total return index ranked second [1][9] Year-to-Date Performance - Year-to-date, the CSI REITs total return index has increased by 11.25%, while the CSI REITs closing index has risen by 8.79%. In comparison, the Shanghai and Shenzhen 300 index has decreased by 1.16% [2][9] Secondary Market Performance - As of May 16, the total market capitalization of listed REITs is approximately 193.25 billion yuan, with an average market capitalization of about 3 billion yuan per REIT. This week, 52 REITs increased in value, while 13 decreased, with an average weekly increase of 1.84% [3][11] Valuation Performance - The internal rate of return (IRR) for listed REITs shows a range, with the top three being Huaxia China Communications REIT at 11.3%, Ping An Guangzhou Guanghe REIT at 10.7%, and Zhongjin Anhui Jiaokong REIT at 9%. The P/NAV ratios are between 0.7 and 1.8, with the highest being Huaxia Beijing Affordable Housing REIT and Zhongjin Xiamen Anju REIT at 1.8 [4][11]