D+N全渠道覆盖
Search documents
三只松鼠(300783):营收快速增长 费用投入&折摊增加利润短期承压 看好线下分销发展
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-08-28 08:43
Core Insights - The company reported a revenue of 5.478 billion yuan for the first half of 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 7.94%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders was 138 million yuan, a decrease of 52.22% year-on-year [1] - The second quarter of 2025 saw a revenue of 1.754 billion yuan, a year-on-year growth of 22.77%, but a net loss attributable to shareholders of 101 million yuan, compared to a loss of 19 million yuan in the same period last year [1] Revenue Breakdown - For the first half of 2025, the nut category generated 2.731 billion yuan in revenue, a decline of 1.03% year-on-year; the baking category achieved 682 million yuan, an increase of 11.96%; and the comprehensive category reached 1.398 billion yuan, a significant increase of 49.70% [1] - Online sales accounted for 4.295 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 5.01%, with Douyin contributing 1.478 billion yuan (up 20.75%), Tmall at 882 million yuan (down 18.56%), and JD at 808 million yuan (up 1.89%); offline sales reached 1.183 billion yuan, a growth of 20.06% [1] Profitability Metrics - The gross margin for the first half of 2025 was 25.08%, a slight decrease of 0.77 percentage points year-on-year, while the nut category's gross margin was 23.91%, down 2.64 percentage points [2] - The expense ratio increased significantly, with the second quarter of 2025 showing an expense ratio of 29.82%, up 4.53 percentage points year-on-year, primarily due to increased promotional expenses [2] Strategic Focus - The company is focusing on high-end, quality-oriented, and differentiated products, enhancing its supply chain and increasing the proportion of self-produced nuts and snacks [3] - The company is also expanding its online operations and accelerating offline distribution to adapt to all product categories, launching a matrix of high-demand products [3] Future Projections - Revenue projections for 2025-2027 are 11.961 billion, 13.717 billion, and 15.540 billion yuan, with year-on-year growth rates of 12.61%, 14.67%, and 13.29% respectively; net profit projections for the same period are 412 million, 537 million, and 642 million yuan, with growth rates of 1.12%, 30.36%, and 19.47% respectively [3]