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AXS Near 52-Week High: Time to Add the Stock for Better Returns?
ZACKS· 2025-12-02 15:55
Core Insights - AXIS Capital Holdings Limited (AXS) shares closed at $102.21, near its 52-week high, indicating strong investor confidence and potential for further price appreciation [1] - The stock is trading above its 50-day and 200-day simple moving averages, suggesting solid upward momentum [1] Valuation - AXIS Capital's shares are trading at a forward price-to-book value of 1.35X, lower than the industry average of 1.54X and the Finance sector's 4.21X [3] - The company has a Value Score of B and is cheaper compared to peers like The Travelers Companies, Inc. (TRV), Arch Capital Group Ltd. (ACGL), and American Financial Group, Inc. (AFG) [3] Performance - AXIS Capital shares have gained 15.4% over the past year, outperforming the industry and Finance sector growth of 12% and 15%, respectively [7] - The company has a market capitalization of $7.99 billion, with an average trading volume of 0.7 million shares over the last three months [2] Growth Projections - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for AXIS Capital's 2025 earnings per share indicates a year-over-year increase of 13.2%, with revenues projected at $6.42 billion, reflecting a 5.3% improvement [8] - Earnings have grown 67.1% over the past five years, significantly outperforming the industry average of 20.9% [8] Analyst Sentiment - Two of the three analysts covering AXIS Capital have raised their earnings estimates for 2025 and 2026 in the past 30 days, leading to a 3.2% and 1.2% increase in the consensus estimates for those years [9] Target Price - The Zacks average price target for AXIS Capital is $115.60 per share, suggesting a potential upside of 13.07% from the last closing price [10] Return on Capital - The return on equity for AXIS Capital in the trailing 12 months was 18.9%, outperforming the industry average of 8% [14] Strategic Focus - AXIS Capital aims to be a leading specialty underwriter, focusing on growth areas such as wholesale insurance and lower middle markets [15] - The company is enhancing its digital capabilities and operational efficiencies, targeting a general and administrative ratio below 11% by 2026 [17] Dividend History - AXIS Capital has a strong dividend track record, having increased its dividend for 18 consecutive years, currently yielding 1.7%, significantly above the industry average of 0.2% [18] Conclusion - AXIS Capital is repositioning its portfolio and strengthening its business, focusing on efficient resource deployment and improving underwriting profitability, which positions the company for growth [19][20]
Costco's Renewal Rate Slips to 89.8%: Temporary Dip or New Normal?
ZACKS· 2025-10-27 14:31
Core Membership Model - Costco's worldwide membership renewal rate decreased to 89.8% in Q4 of fiscal 2025 from 90.2% in the previous quarter, with U.S. and Canada rates at 92.3%, down 40 basis points sequentially [1][9] - The decline is linked to an increase in online sign-ups, particularly from a Groupon campaign in December 2023, which attracted younger members [2][9] - Nearly half of new members are under 40, indicating a generational shift in the membership base [3][9] Digital Expansion and Member Engagement - Management views the rise in online membership as a positive trend, despite slightly lower renewal rates for these members, as it broadens Costco's demographic reach [2][4] - The company faces the challenge of effectively engaging digital-first shoppers through auto-renewal programs and targeted communication to enhance brand loyalty [3][4] Financial Performance - Costco reported a 14% year-over-year increase in membership fee income in Q4 of fiscal 2025, totaling $1,724 million [5] - The stock has increased by 4.7% over the past year, underperforming the industry growth of 6.9% [8] - Costco's forward 12-month price-to-earnings ratio is 46.02, significantly higher than the industry average of 29.94, indicating a lower Value Score of D [10] Sales and Earnings Estimates - The Zacks Consensus Estimate projects Costco's current financial-year sales and earnings per share to grow by 7.7% and 11%, respectively [11] - Current quarter sales are estimated at $67.20 billion, with year-over-year growth of 8.12% [14] - Earnings per share for the current quarter are estimated at $4.24, reflecting a year-over-year growth of 10.99% [15]
Google expands Cloud, AI infrastructure in Africa with goal to connect 500M by 2030 (GOOG:NASDAQ)
Seeking Alpha· 2025-09-18 14:23
Core Viewpoint - Google is significantly expanding its digital presence in Africa by developing four new strategic subsea cable connectivity hubs across the continent [1] Group 1 - The new connectivity hubs will be located in the north, south, east, and west regions of Africa [1]
Lowe's Q2 2025 Earnings Preview: Is LOW Ready to Surprise the Street?
ZACKS· 2025-08-13 13:31
Core Viewpoint - Lowe's Companies, Inc. is set to report its second-quarter fiscal 2025 earnings on August 20, with expectations for revenue of $24.02 billion, reflecting a 1.9% year-over-year growth, and earnings per share (EPS) of $4.24, indicating a 3.4% increase from the previous year [1][9]. Group 1: Earnings Expectations - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Lowe's revenues stands at $24.02 billion, implying a 1.9% growth from the prior year [1][9]. - The consensus mark for earnings has decreased by a penny to $4.24 per share, still suggesting a 3.4% increase from the year-ago period [1][9]. - Lowe's has a trailing four-quarter earnings surprise of 3.2%, with the last reported quarter outperforming the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 1.4% [2]. Group 2: Key Growth Drivers - Key factors expected to drive Lowe's second-quarter results include product innovation, the MyLowe's Rewards program, digital expansion, and resilient demand from professional customers [3]. - The acquisition of Artisan Design Group is anticipated to enhance Lowe's reach in design, distribution, and installation for new home construction and large-scale renovations [3]. - Digital growth is a significant contributor, with online sales momentum expected to continue benefiting from the home improvement marketplace powered by Mirakl [4]. Group 3: Customer Experience Enhancements - The rollout of Mylow, an AI-powered virtual home improvement advisor, along with Mylow Companion for associates, is designed to enhance customer experience and improve sales processes [5]. - These tools provide project guidance and product recommendations, which are expected to improve conversion rates and encourage repeat visits [5]. Group 4: Market Conditions and Challenges - Ongoing weakness in DIY big-ticket discretionary categories, such as flooring and kitchens, is a concern due to higher mortgage rates and affordability challenges [7]. - Rising wage and healthcare costs may pressure selling, general, and administrative (SG&A) expenses [7]. - Despite diversifying sourcing, a significant portion of Lowe's purchases still comes from China, exposing the company to potential tariff impacts [7]. Group 5: Earnings Prediction Model - The Zacks model does not predict a definitive earnings beat for Lowe's this quarter, as it has a Zacks Rank of 3 and an Earnings ESP of -0.56% [8][10].
Fastenal Hits 2 Billion Sales Record
The Motley Fool· 2025-07-14 17:49
Core Insights - Fastenal Company reported record quarterly sales exceeding $2 billion for the first time, with an 8.6% revenue growth and a 12.7% EPS growth to $0.29 per split-adjusted share [1] - Management highlighted sustained acceleration in contract customer signings, with contract customer sales rising 11% and now comprising 73.2% of total revenue [2][3] - The company expects additional pricing actions in the second half of 2025, aiming for double-digit sales growth and a total price realization increase to 5%-8% [9] Financial Performance - Operating margin increased by 80 basis points to 21% in Q2 2025, supported by favorable price-cost effects and SG&A leverage [6] - Gross margin improved by 20 basis points to 45.3%, with management implementing three rounds of pricing actions targeting a total 3%-4% price benefit by the end of Q2 2025 [6][7] - Revenue from sites generating $10,000 or more per month grew by 11.6% [2] Contract and Customer Dynamics - The company achieved 84 contract signings in Q2, outperforming expectations despite weak end-market demand [2][3] - Contract customer sales now represent a significant portion of revenue, increasing from 71.2% a year earlier to 73.2% [2][3] - The increase in contract growth from 4% in the 2022-2023 timeframe to 11.2% last year indicates significant market share expansion [3] Supply Chain and Digital Strategy - Fastenal adapted its sourcing strategy to mitigate tariff impacts, directly importing more fasteners into Canada and Mexico [4] - Digital channels accounted for a record 61% of total sales, with e-business growing by 13.5% [4] - The installed Fastenal Managed Inventory (FMI) device count rose nearly 11% year over year, exceeding 132,000 [4] Pricing Strategy and Future Outlook - Management's disciplined cost control and proactive pricing actions are designed to offset inflation and tariffs, reinforcing profitability [8] - Additional pricing actions are anticipated in the second half of 2025, with potential to double the impact of pricing depending on tariff resolutions [8] - The company aims for a year-end digital sales mix of 63%-64%, reflecting ongoing investments in FMI technology and enhancements to fastenal.com [9]