Each week we run a DCF (Discounted Cash Flow) model on a company from our watchlist. This week’s pick: Netflix, Inc. (NFLX).ProfileNetflix is the world’s leading subscription video-on-demand platform, with a global subscriber base exceeding 260 million. Its scale provides strong recurring revenue, while content investments continue to drive both user engagement and international growth. Despite rising competition from Disney+, Amazon Prime Video, and others, Netflix maintains a pricing advantage and global ...

Core Viewpoint - Joby Aviation has made significant operational progress despite its stock price consolidation, which presents a potential disconnect between its intrinsic value and current market valuation [1][7]. Group 1: Strategic Developments - Joby Aviation executed two strategic moves in early September that addressed key concerns for pre-revenue companies: customer acquisition and revenue timeline [2]. - The first strategic move involved integrating the services of its newly acquired Blade subsidiary into the Uber app, unlocking value from the acquisition and providing access to Uber's extensive customer base [2][3]. - The second strategic move was Joby's participation in the White House's eVTOL Integration Pilot Program, which offers a regulatory fast-track for limited commercial operations, potentially accelerating revenue generation [4][5]. Group 2: Market Analysis - The current stock price of approximately $14 contrasts with the consensus price target of $10.50 from analysts, indicating a disconnect in valuation models that struggle to keep pace with transformative technology [8][9]. - Traditional valuation methods, particularly Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) models, are often conservative and slow to reflect significant operational progress, creating a lag in market recognition of Joby's advancements [10][11]. - Canaccord Genuity Group's recent downgrade from Buy to Hold while raising the price target to $17 illustrates the lag in Wall Street's response to Joby's operational milestones [11]. Group 3: Future Catalysts - Joby Aviation's upcoming public demonstration flights at EXPO 2025 in Osaka, Japan, scheduled to begin on October 1, are expected to showcase its operational capabilities and may prompt a market re-evaluation [12][13]. - The consolidation phase in the stock price presents a strategic opportunity for investors to capitalize on the new catalysts before the market fully recognizes their impact [14].

Company Profile - Verizon Communications Inc. is a leading telecommunications company in the United States, providing wireless, broadband, and enterprise services. The company is recognized for its stable cash flows and consistent dividend payments, maintaining a strong market position amidst a competitive telecom landscape and significant capital expenditure requirements [2]. DCF Analysis - The DCF model inputs include a discount rate of 10%, a terminal growth rate of 3%, and a WACC of 10%. The forecasted free cash flows (in billions) are as follows: - 2025: $20.0 → PV: $18.18 - 2026: $21.0 → PV: $17.36 - 2027: $22.0 → PV: $16.54 - 2028: $23.0 → PV: $15.77 - 2029: $24.0 → PV: $15.04 - The total present value of free cash flows is $82.89 billion. The terminal value, calculated using the perpetuity growth model, is $353.14 billion, leading to a present value of terminal value of $221.80 billion. The enterprise value is thus $304.69 billion [3][4]. Net Debt and Equity Value - Verizon's financials show cash of $4.19 billion and total debt of $168.36 billion, resulting in net debt of $164.17 billion. The equity value is calculated as $304.69 billion minus net debt, equating to $140.52 billion. With 4.20 billion shares outstanding, the intrinsic value per share is $33.46 [4]. Conclusion - The DCF value of Verizon is $33.46, while the current stock price is $43.80, indicating a margin of safety of -24%. Despite generating reliable free cash flows and maintaining a leading position in the telecom sector, the stock trades above the conservative intrinsic value estimate, suggesting limited upside based on this DCF model [5].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for VNET Group Inc is Overweight [2][65] - The industry view is Attractive [2][65] Core Insights - VNET Group Inc's stock price closed at US$5.96 on May 9, 2025, with a 52-week range of US$16.13 to US$1.71 [2] - The company has a market capitalization of approximately RMB 12,524 million and an enterprise value of RMB 23,618 million [2] - Average daily trading value is US$20 million [2] Summary by Sections Data Center Electricity Usage - In April 2025, Ulanqab's datacenter electricity usage was 288 GWh, translating to an average daily power usage of 400 MW, marking a 13% month-over-month increase from March [7] - The strong electricity usage indicates robust demand in the region, with VNET's total delivery plan of 323 MW in Ulanqab for 2025 [7] REIT Approval - VNET's private REITs, valued at RMB 860 million, received official approval on May 9, which could support its capital expenditure plan of RMB 10-12 billion [7]

In our last article , we focused on the competitive landscape of Nvidia Corporation (NASDAQ: NVDA ) explaining that although some hyperscalers are looking at developing their own AI chips, and hence reducingStock analysis brought to you by the team at HedgeMix. The analysis is based on a careful review of the growth prospects of each company. For valuation purposes, we often use the Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) model, sharing valuable insight on cash flow generation under different business models.Associated ...

Core Insights - The analysis focuses on the growth prospects of companies and employs the Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) model for valuation purposes, providing insights on cash flow generation under various business models [1] Group 1 - The analysis is conducted by the HedgeMix team, which emphasizes careful review and assessment of each company's growth potential [1] - The DCF model is highlighted as a key tool for valuation, indicating its importance in understanding the financial health and future cash flow of companies [1]

Group 1 - The analysis focuses on the growth prospects of companies, utilizing the Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) model for valuation purposes [1] - Insights are provided on cash flow generation under different business models, indicating a thorough review process [1] Group 2 - There is no indication of any stock, option, or derivative positions held by the analyst in the companies mentioned, ensuring an unbiased perspective [2] - The article reflects the author's own opinions and is not influenced by compensation from any company [2]