Core Viewpoint - Tesco's share price has reached a decade high, alongside its UK market share, raising questions about potential upside based on fair value [2] Group 1: Market Performance - Tesco's share price previously dropped by 15.3% due to concerns over ASDA's aggressive pricing strategies, but those who invested at the low have seen a 34.8% gain in less than four months, outperforming FTSE 100 and S&P 500 [3] - Tesco has gained 0.8% in UK market share this year, while ASDA has lost 0.9%, with Tesco's sales increasing by 7.4%, nearly double the market's growth of 4.0% [5] Group 2: Competitive Landscape - ASDA's price rollbacks have largely affected non-core items, which do not significantly impact consumer price perception, and many promotions have been shorter than expected [7] - Tesco has focused on enhancing the overall shopping experience, including better packaging, store retrofits, and a rewarding loyalty scheme, areas where ASDA has not performed as well [8] Group 3: Financial Projections - Tesco's EBIT for FY26 is projected at £3.12 billion, a smaller decline than the market consensus of £2.96 billion, which reflects a 5.2% drop from the previous year [9] - Tesco's market share gains are expected to continue, with consumers trading up to branded goods, which may lead to margin-accretive own-brand sales [14] Group 4: Economic Factors - Grocery inflation appears to have peaked, with recent price increases driven more by labor costs than food supply issues, indicating potential for stabilization in pricing [15] - Tesco's estimated EBIT margin for FY26 is projected at 4.28%, slightly above the market consensus of 4.10%, contingent on no further economic shocks [16] Group 5: Share Buyback and EPS Growth - Tesco is anticipated to complete its £1.45 billion share buyback program ahead of schedule, which could positively impact EPS [17] - The company is projected to achieve a CAGR of 10.65% through FY28, with EPS expected to reach 35.09p, driven by market share gains and increased basket sizes [18] Group 6: Valuation Perspective - Tesco's current PEG ratio is 1.5, close to the sector average of 1.6, and its forward P/E ratio of 13.6 aligns with the comparable average of 14.6, suggesting limited upside potential [21] - Despite a strong performance, Tesco's stock is considered fairly priced, with a fair value target of 440p, indicating that further upside will require stronger market share gains [22]

Core Insights - ESCO Technologies Inc. reported a 27% increase in Q3 sales to $296 million, while GAAP EPS from continuing operations decreased by 13% to $0.96. Adjusted EPS from continuing operations increased by 25% to $1.60 [1][4][5] - The company raised its FY 2025 adjusted EPS guidance to a range of $5.75 to $5.90, reflecting a growth of 21% to 24% [1][10][11] Financial Performance - Q3 2025 sales increased by $62.7 million (27%) compared to Q3 2024, with organic sales (excluding Maritime sales) increasing by $25.6 million (11%) [5][6] - Entered orders surged by 194% to $749 million, resulting in a book-to-bill ratio of 2.53x and a record backlog of $1.17 billion [1][5][7] - Net cash provided by operating activities from continuing operations was $88 million YTD, an increase of $25 million compared to the prior year [5] Segment Performance - Aerospace & Defense (A&D) segment sales increased by $49.1 million (56%) to $136.3 million, driven by a 200% increase in Navy sales [6][29] - Utility Solutions Group (USG) sales increased by $2.1 million (2%) to $92.4 million, with Doble's sales up by 1% and NRG sales up by 8% [12][29] - Test & Measurement segment sales increased by $11.6 million (21%) to $67.7 million, with EBIT and adjusted EBIT increasing to $10.7 million [12][29] Business Outlook - The company expects FY 2025 revenue from continuing operations to be in the range of $1.075 to $1.105 billion, reflecting a 17% to 20% increase over the prior year [10][11] - Q4 adjusted EPS from continuing operations is expected to be in the range of $2.04 to $2.19, representing a growth of 14% to 22% over Q4 2024 [13] Dividend Information - The next quarterly cash dividend of $0.08 per share is scheduled for payment on October 16, 2025, to stockholders of record on October 2, 2025 [14]