Earnings surprise prediction
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TransDigm Group (TDG) Earnings Expected to Grow: What to Know Ahead of Q4 Release
ZACKS· 2025-10-30 15:07
Core Viewpoint - TransDigm Group (TDG) is anticipated to report a year-over-year increase in earnings driven by higher revenues, with the actual results being a significant factor influencing its near-term stock price [1][2]. Earnings Expectations - The upcoming earnings report is expected to show quarterly earnings of $10.25 per share, reflecting a year-over-year increase of 4.3%, while revenues are projected to reach $2.41 billion, marking a 10.1% increase from the previous year [3]. - The consensus EPS estimate has been revised down by 6.4% over the last 30 days, indicating a reassessment by analysts regarding the company's earnings prospects [4]. Earnings Surprise Prediction - The Zacks Earnings ESP model indicates that the Most Accurate Estimate for TransDigm is lower than the Zacks Consensus Estimate, resulting in an Earnings ESP of -0.76%, suggesting a bearish outlook from analysts [12]. - The stock currently holds a Zacks Rank of 5, which complicates the prediction of an earnings beat [12]. Historical Performance - In the last reported quarter, TransDigm was expected to post earnings of $9.78 per share but delivered $9.60, resulting in a surprise of -1.84% [13]. - Over the past four quarters, the company has beaten consensus EPS estimates three times [14]. Conclusion - TransDigm does not appear to be a strong candidate for an earnings beat based on current estimates and rankings, but investors should consider other factors when making decisions regarding the stock ahead of the earnings release [17].
Aaon (AAON) Expected to Beat Earnings Estimates: Should You Buy?
ZACKS· 2025-10-30 15:07
Core Viewpoint - Wall Street anticipates a year-over-year decline in earnings for Aaon, despite an expected increase in revenues, with the actual results being crucial for stock price movement [1][2]. Earnings Expectations - Aaon is projected to report quarterly earnings of $0.33 per share, reflecting a year-over-year decrease of 47.6%. Revenues are expected to reach $338.05 million, which is a 3.3% increase from the previous year [3]. Estimate Revisions - The consensus EPS estimate has been revised 1.09% higher in the last 30 days, indicating a positive reassessment by analysts [4]. Earnings Surprise Prediction - The Zacks Earnings ESP model shows a positive Earnings ESP of +3.50% for Aaon, suggesting analysts are optimistic about the company's earnings prospects [12]. Historical Performance - In the last reported quarter, Aaon was expected to earn $0.31 per share but only achieved $0.22, resulting in a surprise of -29.03%. Over the last four quarters, the company has beaten consensus EPS estimates twice [13][14]. Investment Considerations - While a potential earnings beat is indicated, other factors may influence stock performance, making it essential to consider the broader context beyond just earnings results [15][17].
DT Midstream (DTM) Expected to Beat Earnings Estimates: What to Know Ahead of Q2 Release
ZACKS· 2025-07-24 15:08
Core Viewpoint - Wall Street anticipates flat earnings for DT Midstream in the upcoming quarter, with earnings expected to be $0.98 per share, unchanged from the previous year, while revenues are projected to increase by 22.6% to $299.03 million [3][11]. Earnings Expectations - The earnings report is set to be released on July 31, and if the results exceed expectations, the stock may rise; conversely, a miss could lead to a decline [2]. - The consensus EPS estimate has been revised down by 1.14% over the last 30 days, indicating a reassessment by analysts [4]. Earnings Surprise Prediction - The Zacks Earnings ESP model shows a positive Earnings ESP of +0.41% for DT Midstream, suggesting a likelihood of beating the consensus EPS estimate [11]. - A positive Earnings ESP is a strong predictor of an earnings beat, especially when combined with a Zacks Rank of 1, 2, or 3 [9]. Historical Performance - In the last reported quarter, DT Midstream was expected to earn $1.07 per share but reported $1.06, resulting in a surprise of -0.93% [12]. - Over the past four quarters, the company has surpassed consensus EPS estimates two times [13]. Industry Context - National Fuel Gas, another player in the oil and gas sector, is expected to report earnings of $1.5 per share, reflecting a year-over-year increase of 51.5%, with revenues projected to rise by 47.8% to $617.15 million [17][18].
Appian (APPN) Earnings Expected to Grow: Should You Buy?
ZACKS· 2025-05-01 15:07
Core Viewpoint - The market anticipates Appian (APPN) will report a year-over-year increase in earnings driven by higher revenues when it releases its quarterly results for the period ending March 2025 [1][2] Earnings Expectations - Appian is expected to report quarterly earnings of $0.03 per share, reflecting a year-over-year increase of +112.5% [3] - Revenue projections stand at $162.84 million, which is an increase of 8.7% compared to the same quarter last year [3] Estimate Revisions - The consensus EPS estimate has been revised down by 6.82% over the last 30 days, indicating a reassessment by analysts regarding the company's earnings outlook [4] - The Most Accurate Estimate for Appian is lower than the Zacks Consensus Estimate, resulting in an Earnings ESP of -25%, suggesting a bearish sentiment among analysts [10][11] Earnings Surprise Prediction - The Zacks Earnings ESP model indicates that a positive or negative reading can predict the likelihood of actual earnings deviating from consensus estimates, with positive readings being more reliable [7][8] - Appian currently holds a Zacks Rank of 3, which complicates the prediction of an earnings beat [11] Historical Performance - In the last reported quarter, Appian was expected to incur a loss of $0.01 per share but instead reported break-even earnings, resulting in a surprise of +100% [12] - Over the past four quarters, Appian has exceeded consensus EPS estimates three times [13] Conclusion - While Appian does not appear to be a strong candidate for an earnings beat, investors should consider other factors when making investment decisions ahead of the earnings release [16]
Affirm Holdings (AFRM) Expected to Beat Earnings Estimates: Can the Stock Move Higher?
ZACKS· 2025-05-01 15:07
Core Viewpoint - Wall Street anticipates a year-over-year increase in earnings for Affirm Holdings due to higher revenues, with actual results being crucial for stock price movement [1][2]. Earnings Expectations - Affirm Holdings is expected to report a quarterly loss of $0.08 per share, reflecting an 81.4% improvement year-over-year, with revenues projected at $783.11 million, a 35.9% increase from the previous year [3]. - The earnings report is scheduled for May 8, 2025, and could lead to stock price increases if results exceed expectations [2]. Estimate Revisions - The consensus EPS estimate has been revised 4.88% higher in the last 30 days, indicating a positive reassessment by analysts [4]. - The Zacks Earnings ESP model suggests that recent estimate revisions may provide insights into business conditions leading up to the earnings release [5][6]. Earnings Surprise Potential - Affirm Holdings has a positive Earnings ESP of +63.27%, indicating a strong likelihood of beating the consensus EPS estimate, supported by a Zacks Rank of 1 [11]. - The company has a history of exceeding consensus EPS estimates, having done so in the last four quarters, including a significant surprise of +215% in the last reported quarter [12][13]. Conclusion - Affirm Holdings is positioned as a compelling candidate for an earnings beat, but investors should consider additional factors beyond earnings results when making investment decisions [16].