Is there a real market impact uh from a potential government shutdown. As uh Beth Hammock just mentioned, they generally last a few days. Is there a genuine market impact that investors should be mindful of.You know, I think it's going to have a lot of other impacts certainly on the data as she mentioned, but you know, in terms of overall market impact, there have been about seven depending on what you count, shutdowns in the last 40 years, and the market impacts typically been muted. So, I think if we saw ...

Core Viewpoint - The Federal Reserve is navigating a complex landscape of employment data, inflation pressures, and political influences as it considers future interest rate decisions [1][3][10]. Employment Data and the Fed - The Fed's focus on employment data is shifting due to slowed immigration under the current administration, which limits job growth potential [4][5]. - The variability in job growth data complicates economic analysis, as recent employment gains may not reflect true economic conditions without understanding immigration trends [5][6]. Inflation Data and the Fed - The Fed is closely monitoring inflation data, which is influenced by both underlying inflationary pressures and tariffs, making it challenging to determine the appropriate policy response [9]. - Recent inflation trends have raised questions about whether changes are temporary or indicative of a longer-term trend, complicating the Fed's decision-making process [9]. Politics and the Fed's Policies - Political pressures, particularly from President Trump, are influencing the Fed's interest rate decisions, with potential implications for the independence of the institution [11][15]. - The structure of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) allows for political influence, especially if the president appoints members aligned with his agenda [12][15]. Future Interest Rate Decisions - The Fed is likely to continue small interest rate cuts into 2025 and 2026, influenced by recent employment weaknesses and political dynamics [16][17]. - The balance between maintaining the Fed's independence and responding to political pressures will be a critical factor in future interest rate decisions [17].

Meanwhile, getting a news alert out of Washington today. Let's get to Megan Cassella. Hey, Megan.Carl, good morning. This is the Labor Department's Office of Inspector General is now informing the BLS that is initiating a review of the challenges that the BLS faces in collecting some of its most closely watched data. So, in a letter written uh to the acting commissioner of the Bureau of Labor Statistics, the inspector general says they're focusing on two things here.on the challenges and related mitigating ...

来源：红星资本局 昨夜（8月1日），美股大跌，美国总统特朗普连续发声。美股大跌，黄金大涨受美关税政策及7月就业数据远逊于预期影响，美国股市收盘大跌。 道琼斯工业平均指数收盘下跌601点，跌幅0.74%；标准普尔500指数收跌0.37%，纳斯达克指数大跌473.75点，创4月以来最大跌幅。美国股市市值 蒸发逾1万亿美元。 中概股多数收跌，纳斯达克中国金龙指数跌1.82%，热门中概股方面，贝壳跌1.19%，BOSS直聘跌1.58%，京东集团跌1.86%，百度集团跌1.96%， 携程集团跌2.10%，腾讯音乐跌2.14%。 在此情况下，黄金大涨，截至收盘，现货黄金大涨超2%，收于3362.64美元/盎司。 消息面上，美国劳工部8月1日公布的数据显示，今年7月，美国非农业部门新增就业人数7.3万，低于预期，失业率小幅上升至4.2%。同时，5月和 6月的新增非农就业数据被大幅向下修正。其中，5月新增非农就业人数从之前公布的14.4万降至仅1.9万；6月从之前公布的14.7万下调至1.4万。由 于数据不及预期，芝加哥商品交易所美联储观察工具1日早间公布的数据显示，美联储在9月货币政策会议上降息25个基点的概率从前一日的 ...

Investors in US Treasuries will scour employment data Friday for clearer evidence of a hiring slowdown that could open the door to the Fed cutting interest rates in September https://t.co/4jMhlg79Dv ...

RT Bloomberg en Español (@BBGenEspanol)🎙Wall Street sube antes de datos cruciales de empleo en EE.UU.; republicanos en la Cámara votarían hoy el paquete fiscal de Trump; jongilbert9 comenta su reportaje sobre la importancia del campo petrolero Vaca Muerta para el gobierno del presidente Javier Milei.Spotify: https://t.co/ckuXEmEwteApple: https://t.co/5kPpV1KNABYoutube: https://t.co/WAqkahL0DL ...