Our quick-and-dirty guide to exchange-rate distortions concludes that the Taiwanese dollar is greatly undervalued against the greenback. See where other currencies stand https://t.co/CtiENbF1di ...

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - In Q2 2025, revenue increased by 11.3% sequentially, supported by strong demand for 3nm and 5nm technologies, with a 17.8% increase in USD terms to $30.1 billion, exceeding guidance [6][12] - Gross margin decreased by 0.2 percentage points to 58.6%, primarily due to unfavorable foreign exchange rates and margin dilution from overseas fabs [6][14] - Operating margin increased by 1.1 percentage points to 49.6%, with EPS up 60.7% year-over-year and ROE at 34.8% [7][12] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Revenue contribution by technology: 3nm accounted for 24% of wafer revenue, while 5nm and 7nm accounted for 36% and 14% respectively; advanced technologies (7nm and below) made up 74% of wafer revenue [7] - Revenue by platform: HPC increased by 14% quarter-over-quarter to 60% of revenue; smartphone revenue increased by 7% to 27%; IoT increased by 14% to 5%; automotive remained flat at 5%; DCE increased by 30% to 1% [8] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company ended Q2 with cash and marketable securities of NT$2.6 trillion (approximately $90 billion) [9] - Current liabilities decreased by $1 billion quarter-over-quarter, mainly due to a reduction in accrued liabilities [9] - Days of inventory decreased by 7 days to 76 days, attributed to higher shipments of N3 and N5 wafers [10] Company Strategy and Development Direction - TSMC plans to invest $165 billion in advanced semiconductor manufacturing in the U.S., including six advanced wafer manufacturing fabs in Arizona [24][25] - The company aims to maintain its technology leadership and manufacturing excellence while expanding its global footprint, including plans for new fabs in Japan and Europe [28][29][30] - TSMC expects gross margin dilution from overseas fabs to be between 2% to 3% annually in the early stages, widening to 3% to 4% in later stages [14] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management noted strong demand for AI and HPC-related products, with expectations for a 30% increase in full-year 2025 revenue in USD terms [21][22] - There are uncertainties regarding tariff policies and their impact on consumer-related markets, but overall semiconductor demand remains robust [21] - Management remains cautious about the future, considering macroeconomic uncertainties while focusing on technology leadership and customer trust [22] Other Important Information - The company generated approximately $497 billion in cash from operations in Q2 and spent NT$297 billion on CapEx [10] - TSMC's capital expenditures for 2025 are expected to remain between $38 billion and $42 billion [12] Q&A Session Summary Question: Demand outlook for data center AI - Management confirmed that demand for AI is stronger than three months ago and is working to narrow the supply-demand gap [37][40] Question: Gross margin sustainability - Management expressed confidence in maintaining a gross margin of 53% or higher despite structural headwinds from FX and overseas fab dilution [46][49] Question: AI accelerator demand and growth - Management noted that while the H20 chip can now ship to China, it is too early to revise long-term growth targets for AI accelerators [50][52] Question: N2 ramp and revenue contribution - Management indicated that N2 profitability is expected to be better than N3, with revenue contributions anticipated to be significant in 2026 [55][82] Question: CapEx guidance and future expansion - Management acknowledged macro uncertainties but indicated that CapEx spending is unlikely to drop significantly in any given year [86][87]

North American firms battered by this year’s currency swings are hedging more of their exposure to exchange rates, even as the cost of that protection surges https://t.co/y7qjwFCpXe ...

for the signing of the Bretonwoods Monetary Agreement authorized by President Truman to sign for the United States. Fiat currency, money backed by nothing but the threat of state violence. It's valuable just because they say it is, but we know they're going to just print and print until our savings turn to dust.Dust. This is of course as opposed to the good old days when money was backed by solid gold in a monetary system that everyone could believe in, right. Well, about that.Today, we investigate the syst ...

Total social financing (TSF flow, reported): RMB 4199bn in June, vs. Bloomberg consensus: RMB 3801bn, GS forecast: RMB 3700bn. 14 July 2025 | 6:30PM HKT China: Stronger-than-expected loan and credit data in June Bottom line: June money and credit data came in above market expectations, mainly due to stronger-than-expected loan extension. Government bond issuance remained strong in June. Fiscal deposits declined, broadly in line with seasonal patterns. The use of fiscal funds may have boosted money supply gr ...

American tourists have grown accustomed to their dollars traveling well, too. This summer, they are getting a wake-up call. 🔗 https://t.co/OJp1fHkQIT https://t.co/6Ytka4bOv3 ...

July 4, 2025 02:14 PM GMT G10 FX Strategy | Japan M Idea JPY: Watching Upcoming Risk Events The strong headline US NFP print coupled with a lower unemployment rate have made it difficult for the market to price in a lower US terminal rate. However, the next risk event - the deadline of the 90-day suspension of reciprocal tariffs on July 9 - could potentially become the catalyst for USD/JPY to break through the low-end of the recent range. Maintain short USD/ JPY position. Key Takeaways Morgan Stanley MUFG S ...

Your biggest concern at the moment seems to be the appreciation of the euro against the dollar. We were in Sintra earlier this week where the vice president, Mr. . de Guindos, was talking about 120 as the limit.What is your take on this. So I won't comment on my colleagues commands. It's a general rule, but we look closely at the volatility of the exchange rate.It has been significant since the start of the year with a 13% appreciation of the euro against the dollar. By the way, it's not a specific apprecia ...

Dollar weakness continues to dominate our G10 FX views with US-RoW rate and growth convergence, as well as increased FX hedging, remaining in play. USD View: Bearish | Skew: Bearish The DXY should continue trading lower as US growth and rates converge to those of the rest of the world, and increased FX hedging adds risk premium to the USD. EUR View: Bullish | Skew: Bullish July 2, 2025 07:50 AM GMT Global Macro Strategy | Global G10 FX Chart Pack Top charts we are watching for each G10 currency with economi ...

Governor, when you look at some of the concerns, of course, regarding what we're going to do at the ECB, like how do you see the ECB in a good place in terms of inflation for the moment. We are in a good place, but there is no reason for complacency. There are risks that are two sided.First of all, the trade war. Tariffs for is creating risks to the upside. But even more, we see risks to the downside in a sense that our own projection is indicating that inflation is likely to be below target for 18 months.A ...