Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Accumulate" rating for Guoyuan Securities, indicating an expected relative increase of 5% to 15% compared to the CSI 300 index over the next six months [6][29][36]. Core Views - Guoyuan Securities has demonstrated robust growth in self-operated business and overall operational performance, with significant increases in revenue and net profit for the first half of 2025 [6][8][29]. - The company has effectively seized market opportunities, accelerating its wealth management transformation and increasing the number of institutional client accounts [7][14][29]. - The report highlights a notable recovery in both equity and debt financing scales, with substantial growth in underwriting fees [16][17][29]. - Investment income, including fair value changes, has seen a remarkable increase, contributing to the overall stable growth in operational performance [24][29]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In the first half of 2025, Guoyuan Securities achieved operating revenue of 3.397 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 41.60%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 1.405 billion yuan, up 40.44% [6][8][29]. - Basic earnings per share (EPS) reached 0.32 yuan, reflecting a 39.13% increase year-on-year [6][8][29]. - The weighted average return on equity (ROE) was 3.73%, an increase of 0.89 percentage points compared to the previous year [6][8][29]. Business Segments - The brokerage and investment banking segments have seen a significant rise in net income, with brokerage fees increasing by 46.26% year-on-year [12][14][29]. - The investment banking segment's net income from fees rose by 73.02%, driven by a substantial increase in equity financing activities [16][29]. - The asset management business, while maintaining growth, experienced a decline in net income from fees by 47.89% [21][29]. Investment Strategy - The company has optimized its equity self-operated investments by focusing on low-volatility dividend strategies, enhancing profit resilience [24][29]. - Fixed income self-operated investments have been dynamically adjusted to optimize duration and leverage, achieving stable returns [24][29]. - The report projects EPS for 2025 and 2026 to be 0.61 yuan and 0.65 yuan, respectively, with corresponding book value per share (BVPS) of 8.85 yuan and 9.22 yuan [29][34].