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贺博生:7.28黄金原油晚间行情涨跌趋势分析及欧美盘最新多空操作建议
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-07-28 11:06
Group 1: Gold Market Analysis - Gold prices rebounded slightly from $3320, filling the short position gap at the start of the week, supported by a temporary weakening of the dollar due to investor caution ahead of the Federal Reserve's monetary policy meeting [1] - The optimistic trade atmosphere between the US and Europe, along with easing tensions in US-China and US-Japan relations, has reduced gold's appeal as a safe-haven asset, leading to a market characterized by oscillation [1] - Current gold prices are at a crossroads of macroeconomic dynamics and technical adjustments, with the Federal Reserve's policy uncertainty prompting a brief return to gold for safety, while global trade optimism limits upward movement [1] Group 2: Technical Analysis of Gold - The weekly chart shows a significant upper shadow of $102, indicating potential bearish trends if the upward shadow continues in July [3] - The price is expected to face resistance at the $3350 level, which is crucial for determining the short-term market direction, with potential downward targets at $3245 and $3120 [3] - The overall strategy suggests a focus on short positions during rebounds, with key resistance at $3350-$3360 and support at $3320-$3310 [3] Group 3: Oil Market Analysis - US crude oil futures rose by $0.22 to $65.38 per barrel, while Brent crude increased slightly to $68.66 per barrel, despite previous declines to a three-week low [4] - The market is currently digesting the potential supply increase from Venezuela, which may exert additional pressure on prices if the US allows the country to resume oil exports [4] - Oil prices are expected to fluctuate between $65 and $68, with attention on the outcomes of the upcoming OPEC+ meeting [4] Group 4: Technical Analysis of Oil - The daily chart indicates a mid-term upward trend testing near $78, but the subjective direction appears to be downward [5] - Short-term trends show resistance at $66.70, with expectations of a weak rebound followed by a continued downward movement [5] - The strategy suggests focusing on short positions during rebounds, with resistance at $67.0-$68.0 and support at $63.5-$62.5 [5]