Market Overview & Economic Outlook - Market experienced minor declines, around 1% or less, but this reflects recent market trends [1] - The economy maintains significant momentum, supported by GDP revisions [2] - AI super cycle continues to drive growth in mega-cap tech stocks [2] - A consolidation period is expected, but the strength of the economy and the AI sector suggest it won't be a major correction [3] Investment Strategy & Sector Focus - Today is generally a good day to invest for long-term goals like retirement, savings, and college [3] - For those nearing retirement, a more conservative approach focusing on dividend growth or dividend income stocks is advisable [4] - Healthcare sector is currently undervalued, trading at its lowest relative weight in the S&P since 1994, with big pharma trading at approximately a 30% discount to the S&P [8][10] - Healthcare sector is expected to be positively transformed by AI [11] Bull Market & Historical Context - Historically, bull markets have an average length of about 8 years; the current bull market is approximately 2 and a half years old since the Chat GPT lows in October/November 2022 [5] - The NASDAQ is trading about 12% above its 200-day moving average, which is less extended compared to the technology sector in 1999 [6] Risk Factors & Confidence Level - Geopolitical risks, particularly in Eastern Europe and Ukraine, are concerning and could impact oil prices [14][15] - High confidence in avoiding a recession and limiting drawdowns to a maximum of 5-10% [16]

Rising geopolitical risk is set to test Poland’s robust economy and may dent the sovereign’s credit profile, according to Moody’s https://t.co/nAZEGYRlfn ...

Gold is on track for its second-best performance in the last 50 years, trailing only the 1979 rally. After nearly three quarters, the yellow metal is up over 43%, as investors hedge against geopolitical and monetary risks.“If we really go to an overt fiscally dominant era where monetary policy is just looser than it otherwise should be, then you get the dollar losing some of its reserve status and then gold and bitcoin are on the other side of that trade,” Jurrien Timmer, Director of Global Macro at Fidelit ...

and Tom Forte Maxim Group senior consumer internet analyst has a hold rating $21 price target on Apple. What are your expectations here Tom. Yeah so when you think about Apple's guidance for the September quarter they guided to mid-s singledigit to high singledigit revenue growth so clearly even before they announced the new iPhone 17 lineup they expected a strong performance.I think what's interesting from a tariff standpoint is they did take $100 of price on the Pro model, introduced a new product, the Ai ...

| | | 同王王 (how Sang Sang | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 周生生 PROMESSA | MINTYGREEN | EMPHASIS | MARCO BICEGO | 劳力士 | 帝舵表 | | | | | | | 金价(人民币) | | 足金饰品 (每克 ) | | 英出 | | | 11091 | | | | 换金价 | | | 1951 | | | | 换珠宝价 | | | 1951 | | 950铂金饰品 (每克 ) | | 卖出 | | | ¥564 | | | | 换金价 | | | ¥453 | | 生生金宝 (每克 ) | | 卖出 | | | 1966 | 与此同时，国内金饰品牌价格也随之上涨，部分品牌涨至年内最高。中新经纬查询发现，9月16日，周生生金饰价格为1091元/克，为年内最高，较前一日 上涨17元；老庙黄金为1087元/克，为年内最高，单日上涨13元；老凤祥为1086元/克，为年内最高，单日上涨12元；周大福为1087元/克，单日上涨9元。 CHOW TAI FOOK 周 大 福 把"浙江之声" ...

北京时间本周四凌晨，美联储公布了最新利率决议，维持利率不变但释放关键鸽派信号。决议公布后， 黄金价格剧烈波动，最终站稳 2340 美元 / 盎司上方。这场全球瞩目的货币政策会议，将为黄金后市走 向提供哪些关键线索？投资者又该如何布局？ 一、美联储决议核心要点解读 本次会议释放了三个关键信号： 降息路径明确：点阵图显示 2024 年预计降息 1 次（3 月预期为 3 次），2025 年再降息 4 次 承认通胀进展：声明中新增 "通胀已有所缓解" 的表述，承认抗通胀取得进展 放缓缩表速度：从 6 月起将国债减持速度从每月 600 亿美元降至 250 亿美元 市场即时反应： 美元指数暴跌 0.8%，创一个月新低 黄金短线震荡后最终收涨，站稳 2340 关口 美债收益率全线下跌，2 年期收益率跌穿 4.75% 二、黄金多头狂欢的三大支撑 美联储决议为黄金提供了三重利好： 支撑一：实际利率下行趋势确立 美联储降息路径明确，意味着实际利率将进入下行通道 黄金与实际利率呈负相关，利率下行直接提升黄金吸引力 支撑二：美元走弱格局形成 美联储与其他主要央行（如欧央行）的政策差缩小 美元走弱使得以美元计价的黄金更便宜，刺激全球需 ...

The more things change, the more they stay the same. This year may have felt like a rollercoaster, with ups and downs in the market, the White House’s shifting tariff regime and bubbling geopolitical tensions. But while the world looks different than it did two years ago, ultra-rich family office clients are singing the same old risk-on tune. Globally, family office asset allocations today bear a striking resemblance to those of 2023, according to new Goldman Sachs data. Especially in hectic times, it’s b ...

石油"站立硬币"倒向何方 20250908 摘要 OPEC 10 月增产后油价反升，表明基本面定价充分，未来需关注 OPEC 增产节奏、北美页岩油供给拐点及全球需求超预期等反转因素。 当前石油市场处于供给风险暂缓、增产压力突出、需求增长前景较差阶 段，价格已贴近边际成本交易，OPEC 4 月开始意外增产加剧过剩预期。 OPEC 通过多次加速增产，提前完成额外减产计划退出，理论上释放日 均配额 246 万吨，但实际增量有限，地缘政治风险是关键扰动因素。 受 OPEC 增产影响，2025 年石油市场或维持低价区间波动，但中长期 （2026 年）存在反转机会，需关注 OPEC 生产节奏、页岩油供给及需 求变化。 OPEC 宣布 10 月继续增产导致布伦特油价下跌，但实际供应增量存在不 确定性，部分 OPEC 国家剩余产能不足以完成计划。 年初以来石油市场现货供应过剩，三季度需求有所改善，但四季度至明 年上半年过剩压力或加重，需求侧增长面临压力，非 OPEC 海上新项目 集中投产。 美国页岩油新井钻探成本界限被触发，钻机数减少，旧井衰竭压力高， 页岩油增长压力累积，美国原油产量增长主要来自联邦海上新项目。 Q&A 近 ...

While the focus is on a potential government shutdown, my next guest says historically geopolitical risk has actually been conducive to growth, productivity, and asset returns overall. So, it's not a risk, it may actually be an opportunity. Joining me now is Marco Pepic.He's the macro and geopolitical strategist over at BCA Research. Uh, this is a perfect conversation to have right now, Marco, because we've just now heard the update from Megan with regard to trade and tariffs, the update from Emily with reg ...

Japan’s Defense Ministry requests a record $59.8 billion for its share of the national budget, to counter growing challenges from China and North Korea https://t.co/J4YStJ40oo ...