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RBC Capital raises Tesla stock price target
Finbold· 2025-07-09 11:41
Core Viewpoint - RBC Capital has raised its Tesla stock price target from $307 to $319, maintaining an Outperform rating, reflecting confidence in the company's performance and market position [1]. Group 1: Stock Performance and Analyst Ratings - The new Tesla stock price target of $319 is 8.5% above the average analyst prediction of $294 based on aggregate ratings [2]. - Analyst Tom Narayan noted that Tesla met analyst expectations with 384,000 vehicle deliveries in Q2, aligning with company-polled consensus [1]. - Tesla's market capitalization stands at $959.23 billion, reinforcing its leadership in the automotive sector [1]. Group 2: Financial Projections - RBC Capital projects Tesla's automotive gross margins, excluding regulatory credits, to reach 13.7% in Q2, slightly above the consensus estimate of 13.4% [3]. - For the end of the year, automotive gross margins (ex-credits) are anticipated to be 13.6%, which is slightly below the average forecast of 13.9% [3]. Group 3: Delivery Expectations - RBC Capital predicts a 7% year-over-year decline in Tesla's total vehicle deliveries, which is a more optimistic outlook compared to the broader market prediction of an 8% decline [4].
Constellation Brands Navigates Soft Sales With Robust Beer Margins
Benzinga· 2025-07-02 18:09
Core Viewpoint - Constellation Brands, Inc. demonstrated resilience in its beer segment despite a slight dip in overall sales, allowing the company to reaffirm its full-year guidance amidst a challenging market [1][3]. Financial Performance - The company reported fiscal first-quarter earnings per share of $3.22, which was below the $3.30 consensus but above Bank of America’s estimate of $3.00, driven by stronger-than-expected beer gross margins and lower SG&A costs [2]. - Total sales were slightly below expectations due to softness in both beer and wine & spirits, but the company maintained its fiscal year guidance, which may raise skepticism given the weaker first-quarter trends [3]. Segment Analysis - The beer segment is expected to improve starting in the second quarter, aided by easier comparisons, although June scanner data indicated mid-single-digit declines [4]. - Depletions in the beer segment fell 2.6% year-over-year in the first quarter, slightly worse than Bank of America’s estimate but in line with consensus, while shipments declined by 3.3% [4]. Operational Insights - The quarter had one less selling day, negatively impacting shipment and depletion growth rates by more than 1%. No further selling day impacts are expected for the remainder of fiscal year 2026 [5]. - Gross margins in the beer segment exceeded forecasts at 53.1%, attributed to approximately $40 million in cost and operational efficiencies. Marketing spend was $201 million, lower than the estimated $220 million, and is expected to be concentrated in the first half of the fiscal year [5]. Wine & Spirits Performance - The Wine & Spirits segment underperformed with sales of $280.5 million, although operating losses of $6 million were better than anticipated [6]. Market Valuation - Bank of America analyst Peter T. Galbo maintained a Neutral rating on Constellation Brands with a price forecast of $180, reflecting a justified discount to their 5-year average due to ongoing challenges in the beer segment, including softer demand from Hispanic consumers and broader industry headwinds [6].
Apple: Quantifying The Impact Of 25% Tariffs On Gross Margins
Seeking Alpha· 2025-05-27 15:55
Providing alpha-generating investment ideas. I am an independent investor managing my family's portfolio, primarily via a Self Managed Super Fund. You can expect my articles to deliver a clearly structured, evidence-based thesis. But first and foremost, I encourage readers to judge me on my performance.I have a generalist approach as I explore, analyze and invest in any sector so long there is perceived alpha potential vs the S&P500. The typical holding period ranges between a few quarters to multiple years ...
Every Lucid Group Investor Should Keep an Eye on These 3 Numbers
The Motley Fool· 2025-04-27 14:07
Core Viewpoint - Lucid Group is anticipated to experience significant sales growth, with revenue expected to nearly double by 2025, driven by new mass market models and the introduction of the Gravity SUV platform [1][2]. Group 1: Sales Growth and Market Position - The company is in a phase of heavy top-line growth due to the recent introduction of its Gravity SUV platform and plans for more affordable electric vehicles, which is positive for investors [2]. - Analysts predict that Lucid's revenue growth trajectory could persist for several years, indicating a strong market position [1]. Group 2: Financial Health and Profitability - Despite the promising sales growth, Lucid has not yet reached profitability, with gross margins remaining deeply negative, meaning the company incurs losses on every vehicle sold [3]. - The company generated negative free cash flow of $3 billion last year, with cash burn accelerating towards the end of the year, raising concerns about liquidity and access to capital [5]. Group 3: Shareholder Dilution and Future Outlook - The total number of shares outstanding has increased in recent quarters, suggesting that the company is resorting to dilution to maintain solvency [3]. - If gross margins do not improve significantly, Lucid may need to dilute shareholders further to fund its aggressive revenue growth, potentially leading to poor stock performance despite sales increases [6].