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十大券商看后市|A股中长期向好趋势不改,短期或以震荡为主
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-11-17 00:17
Core Viewpoint - The A-share market is expected to maintain a long-term upward trend despite short-term fluctuations, with a focus on sector rotation and investment opportunities in technology and cyclical industries [1][3][10]. Market Performance - The A-share market has been oscillating around the 4000-point mark, with a slowdown in the upward slope of the index, but this does not indicate the end of the current market cycle [1][10]. - The market is currently in a "systematic slow bull" phase, with a positive long-term outlook [1][12]. Sector Rotation - There is a notable rotation among sectors, with funds shifting from previously high-performing technology stocks to sectors like lithium batteries and consumer goods, benefiting from policy support [3][10][11]. - Investment themes to watch include anti-involution and dividend opportunities, as well as specific technology segments that may see a rebound [2][4]. Institutional Behavior - As the year-end approaches, institutional allocations are expected to stabilize, leading to a focus on balanced investment strategies [3][8]. - The upcoming Central Economic Work Conference is anticipated to set the tone for macroeconomic policies and investment priorities for the following year [8][11]. Economic Indicators - Recent economic indicators show a decline in M1 growth, suggesting a weakening macro liquidity environment, which may impact market dynamics [10]. - The market is currently experiencing a "high position oscillation," with expectations of a gradual recovery in economic conditions [5][16]. Investment Strategies - Investors are advised to focus on sectors with potential for performance improvement, such as AI, engineering machinery, and renewable energy, while also considering the implications of global market trends [7][17]. - The emphasis on "small and mid-cap + thematic investment" is seen as a favorable strategy in the current market environment [15].