Key TakeawaysFederal Reserve Governor Christopher Waller signaled that while the Fed needs to cut rates, it will do so cautiously and in quarter-point steps, citing a weak labor market but no evidence of a wage-price spiral.Mexico's industrial production experienced a notable decline in August, with both monthly and annual figures missing analyst expectations, indicating a potential slowdown in the manufacturing sector.JPMorgan placed consumer giant Colgate-Palmolive (CL) on a negative catalyst watch, while ...

German industrial production fell the most since early 2022, evidence of the struggle by Europe’s biggest economy to shake off a multi-year slump https://t.co/XT8H0QP8Ta ...

Manufacturing & Industrial Base - US technological superiority is not sufficient for winning conflicts; industrial production has a deterrence factor and mass matters [1] - The US systematically outsourced key-scaled manufacturing, eroding skill sets, and now lags in mass manufacturing at scale [1] - The US needs to address the skilled labor replacement problem in manufacturing, as many skilled workers are nearing retirement [2] - China has strategically controlled rare earths and magnet-making technology, creating supply chain bottlenecks [3] - China's manufacturing autonomy is estimated to be 20 years ahead of the US due to a lack of pressure to put software engineering automation in manufacturing [3] Defense & National Security - US war games show that the US would run out of key high-end munitions in about 8 days, which is not a deterrence factor [1] - Russia is currently outproducing NATO on 155 munitions, highlighting the need for increased production capacity [4] - The US lacks a strategic plan for preserving supply in a catastrophic situation [4] - China has invested in technologies that push back the US and cripple the US war apparatus, such as space-based sensing and carrier killer missiles [20][21] - The US military is better at infusing technology into war fighting, but faces challenges in producing enough at scale and affording it [4] Policy & Economic Strategies - The US government should create large offtake agreements to support domestic manufacturing and create a commercial market [5] - The US needs to identify key supply chain constraints and implement strategies such as stockpiling and regulatory relaxation [5] - The US should leverage its capital market system to create incentives for industries to grow, such as low-cost loans and risk-sharing with banks [5][9] - China's success is due to subsidizing capex, energy, and export subsidies, creating an uneven playing field [7] - The US should counteract unfair practices from other countries and incentivize growth through targeted policies and protectionism [13]

Summary of Key Points from the Conference Call Industry Overview - **Industry**: Manufacturing and Industrial Automation in China - **Key Indicators**: Manufacturing Fixed Asset Investment (FAI) and production metrics for various sectors Core Insights 1. **Manufacturing FAI Decline**: Manufacturing FAI decreased by **-2.0% year-on-year (yoy)** in August, a significant drop from **-0.2% yoy** in July, primarily due to declines in electronics and basic materials FAI [3][51] 2. **Chemical and Steel FAI**: Chemical FAI was reported at **-5.2% yoy** and steel FAI at **-4.1% yoy**, negatively impacting companies like Supcon and Baosight [3][24][26] 3. **Industrial Robot and Machine Tool Production**: Industrial robot production increased by **14% yoy** but remained flat month-on-month (mom). Machine tool production rose by **16% yoy**, also flat mom, indicating a stable production environment [3][40] 4. **Export Trends**: Key equipment exports remained stable, with PIMM export value and volume increasing by **24% yoy** and **34% yoy**, respectively. Machine tools saw a value increase of **19% yoy** but a volume decrease of **20% yoy** [4][29][34] 5. **Order Trends for Coverage Companies**: Orders for coverage companies were broadly steady in August, with notable growth in Inovance's IA orders at **+20-30% yoy**. However, Yiheda's orders were impacted by a **-12% yoy** decline in the automotive sector [4][20][11] Additional Important Insights 1. **Capex Financing Weakness**: Capex financing showed a **-12% yoy** decline in August, following a drastic **-96% yoy** drop in July, indicating a tightening investment environment [64] 2. **Profitability Metrics**: The profit before tax (PBT) margin for industrial enterprises with revenue over **Rmb20 million** was **5.5%** in Q2 2025, slightly down from **5.6%** in Q1 2025 [71] 3. **Electricity and Cement Production**: Electricity generation increased by **3.2% yoy** in August, while cement production saw a decline of **-6.2% yoy** [81][88] 4. **Consumer Market Trends**: Passenger vehicle retail sales and production increased by **5%** and **11% yoy**, respectively, indicating a recovery in the automotive sector [90] 5. **NEV and Renewables**: Electric vehicle (EV) sales and production surged by **27% yoy** in August, reflecting strong demand in the new energy vehicle market [107] Conclusion The manufacturing sector in China is experiencing a mixed environment with declining FAI, stable production metrics, and selective strength in orders. The overall economic backdrop remains challenging, with significant declines in capex financing and profitability metrics, while certain sectors like EVs show robust growth.

U.S. Stock Market - U.S. stocks traded mostly lower, with the Dow Jones index falling more than 150 points, down 0.37% to 45,713.02 [1] - NASDAQ fell 0.03% to 22,341.05, and S&P 500 dropped 0.14% to 6,605.77 [1] - Energy shares increased by 1.1%, while utilities stocks fell by 0.8% [1] Company Performance - Dave & Buster's Entertainment Inc. reported second-quarter revenue of $557.41 million, missing analyst estimates of $562.78 million [2] - Adjusted earnings for Dave & Buster's were 40 cents per share, below estimates of 92 cents per share [2] Commodities - Oil prices increased by 2.2% to $64.70, while gold rose by 0.2% to $3,726.00 [5] - Silver traded up 0.1% to $43.000, and copper fell 0.1% to $4.7120 [5] European Markets - European shares were lower, with the eurozone's STOXX 600 falling 0.86% [6] - Spain's IBEX 35 Index decreased by 1.30%, and London's FTSE 100 fell 0.74% [6] Asian Markets - Asian markets closed mostly higher, with Japan's Nikkei gaining 0.30% and India's BSE Sensex increasing by 0.73% [7] Notable Stock Movements - Turbo Energy, S.A. shares surged 408% to $13.72 after securing a $53 million contract for energy storage projects in Spain [8] - WEBTOON Entertainment Inc. shares rose 28% to $19.13 following a non-binding agreement with Disney [8] - Jumia Technologies AG shares increased by 22% to $11.90 after an upgrade from RBC Capital [8] - Bionano Genomics, Inc. shares dropped 41% to $1.6398 due to a $10 million public offering announcement [8] - GD Culture Group Limited shares fell 19% to $7.84 after entering a share exchange agreement [8] - Next Technology Holding Inc. shares decreased by 17% to $23.79 after filing for a stock shelf of up to $500 million [8] Economic Indicators - U.S. business inventories increased by 0.2% month-over-month in July, aligning with market estimates [11] - The NAHB/Wells Fargo Housing Market Index remained steady at 32 in September [11] - U.S. industrial production rose by 0.1% in August, exceeding market expectations [11] - U.S. retail sales increased by 0.6% month-over-month in August, surpassing expectations [11] - Export and import prices both rose by 0.3% in August [11]

Meanwhile, uh, we got retail sales earlier this morning. Time for some industrial production. Let's get back to Rick Santelli.Hey, Rick. >> Yes, good morning, Carl. This is our August read on industrial production.Expecting down 110th, comes out up 110th. So, this reverses the negative number in the rear view mirror, which was minus 110. On utilization rates, well, uh, basically is sideways uh, with expectations expecting 77.4% and that's what we have.last month revised from 775 to 77.4%. That would be the ...

US industrial production barely rose in August, reflecting a modest gain in manufacturing activity and a decline in utilities. https://t.co/cPAvDxfDr7 ...

Industrial Production - Industrial production is expected to be unchanged, but the actual figure came in light at minus 0.1% [1] - Last month's industrial production number was revised up from 0.3% to 0.4%, marking the second-best number of the year [1] - The utilization rate is 77.5%, the lightest since May when it was 77.47%, or November of last year when it was 76.8% [1] Market & Yields - The 10-year yield is at 4.29%, unchanged on the day but up one basis point on the week [2] - Equities are showing green despite the numbers that were released, and the 10-year yield is unchanged [2]

Industry Output - US industrial production declined in July [1] - Manufacturing output was restrained by cooler demand [1] Trade Policy Impact - Shifting trade policy restrained US industrial production [1]

Group 1: Coal, Oil, and Natural Gas Production - In July, the production of raw coal decreased, with an output of 380 million tons, a year-on-year decline of 3.8% [2] - The cumulative production of raw coal from January to July reached 2.78 billion tons, showing a year-on-year increase of 3.8% [2] - Raw oil production remained stable, with July output at 18.12 million tons, a year-on-year increase of 1.2% [4] - From January to July, the cumulative raw oil production was 126.6 million tons, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 1.3% [4] - The processing of raw oil accelerated, with July processing volume at 63.06 million tons, a year-on-year increase of 8.9% [5] - Cumulative raw oil processing from January to July was 424.68 million tons, up 2.6% year-on-year [5] - Natural gas production saw an accelerated growth, with July output at 21.6 billion cubic meters, a year-on-year increase of 7.4% [9] - From January to July, the cumulative natural gas production was 152.5 billion cubic meters, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 6.0% [9] Group 2: Electricity Production - Electricity production in July increased, with a total generation of 926.7 billion kilowatt-hours, a year-on-year growth of 3.1% [11] - The cumulative electricity generation from January to July was 5,470.3 billion kilowatt-hours, showing a year-on-year increase of 1.3% [11] - In July, the daily average electricity generation was 29.89 billion kilowatt-hours, with a year-on-year daily average growth of 1.8% after adjusting for the number of days [11] - By type, thermal power generation increased by 4.3% year-on-year, while hydropower saw a decline of 9.8% [11] - Nuclear power generation grew by 8.3%, although the growth rate slowed by 2.0 percentage points compared to June [11] - Wind power generation increased by 5.5%, with an acceleration in growth compared to previous months [11]