💥BREAKING:🇺🇸 FED OFFICIAL SAYS: WITH DATA NOW, WOULDN'T SEE CASE FOR SEPTEMBER CUT.THIS IS BEARISH. https://t.co/jn8k7l1nJE ...

With the feds dealing with Francine and you're seeing it in the day to day to day is the continuing tug of war between the employment and growth side and the inflation side. And you and I have talked about this on this program, their greatest desires to avoid having both problems. They don't want that word stagflation.And this playing out markets and everybody watching this in the day to day to day. So I think a week or two ago, you had this a good CPI number. Stock market equities rally.And literally a day ...

Group 1: Retail Earnings - Lowe's shares are indicated higher by 3% in premarket trading after beating earnings expectations, meeting revenue forecasts, and raising future sales guidance [3] - Target shares are down 9% in premarket despite beating revenue and earnings forecasts, as overall sales and traffic fell [4] - TJX Companies shares are indicated higher by nearly 4% after raising full-year earnings per share guidance following a stronger-than-expected quarter [5] Group 2: Market Trends - Technology stocks experienced declines, with Nvidia down 3.5% and Palantir down 9%, leading to a 1.5% drop in the Nasdaq Composite [2] - Home Depot's stock rose 3% following a solid earnings report, contrasting with Target's significant drop [6][4] - Market volatility remains low with the VIX under 16, and S&P 500 profits have been strong and better than expected [10] Group 3: Economic Indicators - The annual economic conference in Jackson Hole is underway, with Fed Chairman Jerome Powell's speech anticipated on Friday [8] - The probability of a quarter-point rate cut at the September Fed meeting is currently at 83% according to the CME Fed Watch Tool [8] - Home Depot indicated modest price increases are likely, a shift from previous statements about tariffs not impacting pricing [7] Group 4: Company-Specific Developments - Lowe's announced an $8.8 billion acquisition of Foundation Building Materials to attract more home building and home improvement professionals [3] - Intel shares have risen 27% this month following discussions of U.S. government investment and a $2 billion investment from Softbank [9] - The Trump administration is considering taking a stake in Intel, with similar discussions for Micron and Taiwan Semiconductor [9]

Tuesday, August 19, 2025Homebuilding news takes center stage this morning — in fact, this week has important housing data all through it — with Housing Starts and Building Permits for July pointing in two distinctly different directions. Pre-market futures were already showing some improvement from overnight lows, but have pointed north on the new data.Housing Starts, Building Permits Point to Big DifferencesLast month, Housing Starts came in at multi-month highs to 1.43 million seasonally adjusted, annuali ...

Welcome to Yahoo Finance's flagship show, The Morning Brief. I'm Julie Heyman. Let's get to the three things you need to know today.First up, US stock futures wavering with major averages trading within points of their record highs. Investors will be closely watching everything from central banks to geopolitics this week. President Trump is set to meet with Ukrainian President Vudamir Zilinski this afternoon following his summit with Vladimir Putin on Friday.A resol resolution in the Ukraine war could be a ...

Group 1: Market Overview - The markets were mostly flat, with the small-cap Russell 2000 declining by -1.24% after a +2% gain the previous day [1] - The S&P 500 reached a third consecutive all-time closing high, increasing by +0.03% [1] - The Dow Jones Industrial Average finished down -0.025%, recovering from a drop of -200 points earlier in the day, while the Nasdaq slipped -0.01% [1] Group 2: Interest Rate Outlook - Analysts anticipate a 25 basis-point interest rate cut at the Federal Reserve's next meeting scheduled for September 16-17 [2] - The likelihood of a September rate cut is currently at 93%, but this may change based on upcoming inflation data, including CPI, PPI, and PCE reports [3][2] Group 3: Company Performance - Applied Materials - Applied Materials reported earnings of $2.48 per share, exceeding the Zacks consensus estimate of $2.34, with revenues of $7.3 billion compared to the expected $7.2 billion [4] - Despite outperforming on earnings, the company provided a weak outlook for the current quarter, leading to a -12% decline in shares during after-hours trading [4] - The revised guidance indicates a top-line expectation of $6.7 billion, down from a previous estimate of $7.3 billion, and an earnings guidance midpoint of $2.11 per share, reduced from $2.38 per share [5] Group 4: Upcoming Economic Reports - A range of economic reports is expected tomorrow, including Retail Sales, Imports and Exports, and Industrial Production/Capacity Utilization for July, as well as the August Empire State manufacturing index [6] - Following the market opening, Business Inventories for June and Consumer Sentiment for August will be released [6] Group 5: Earnings Reports Next Week - The earnings reporting schedule will pick up next week with major retailers such as Walmart, Target, Home Depot, Lowe's, and The TJX Companies set to release their July quarter results [7] - Additionally, Palo Alto Networks and Estee Lauder are also expected to report earnings next week [7]

Market Trends & Investor Sentiment - Retail investors are increasingly active in the stock market, favoring individual stocks over ETFs, with mega-cap tech and AI-related stocks being popular choices [2][4][8][11][13] - Investopedia's survey indicates strong positive sentiment among self-directed investors, driven by record highs and expectations of deregulation and rate cuts [5][6][7][17][18][36] - Investors show a preference for holding onto their current stock investments, particularly in large-cap tech, with Nvidia, Palantir, Microsoft, Apple, and Amazon being top choices for the next 10 years [9][10] - A survey reveals that if investors had an extra 10,000 (unit unspecified), 22% would invest it in individual stocks [4] Economic Indicators & Monetary Policy - The Producer Price Index (PPI) showed higher than expected inflation, particularly in services, raising concerns for the Federal Reserve [1][24][25] - Despite inflation data, markets largely expect the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates by 25 basis points in September [26][27] - Crypto markets experienced a downturn with Bitcoin down 4% after hitting an all-time high, but overall, crypto has seen significant gains year-to-date, supported by institutional interest and a friendlier regulatory environment [30][31][32] Fannie Mae & Freddie Mac Potential IPO - The Trump administration is considering an IPO for Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, which could raise approximately 30 billion (unit unspecified) for taxpayers and unwind their 2008 conservatorship [3][37][38] - An IPO would introduce new shares and capital, potentially leading to a major exchange listing, but the government's backing is likely to continue unless Congress intervenes [45][46] - The value of the two mortgage giants could exceed 500 billion (unit unspecified) combined if the IPO proceeds [45] - Existing shareholders are expected to face massive dilution, with the federal government potentially owning over 90% [44][45]

Inflation Concerns - July's PPI (生产者物价指数) inflation report intensified concerns about consumer inflation driven by tariffs [1] Monetary Policy Implications - The report raised questions regarding the Federal Reserve's (Fed) plans for interest rate cuts [1]

Joining us now is Frederick Michigan, former Federal Reserve Governor and currently an economics professor at Columbia University. Uh Frederick, great to see you. What what crossed your mind when you saw this PPI number this morning.How much of this is clearly tariffs and how much does it complicate the narrative that well the Fed of course has to cut in September and then we'll continue. So I don't put a huge amount of weight on a PPI uh particular number. It's very volatile.Uh however, even before this, I ...

free from uncomfortable long sleeves and the collar stays stiff all day. Get 20% off using code TV at Masco. Com.>> As you might know by now, July PPI came in hotter than expected. Many fed officials prior to the print were on the fence about a rate cut in September, with one president on the FOMC emphasizing inflation as the Fed's priority. Our Steve Liesman is here this morning with Saint Louis Fed President Alberto Marsal.Good morning Steve. >> Good morning Carl. Thanks very much.We are pleased to be joi ...