Interest rate policy
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Three holds and a cut? Europe's central banks are about to make their final calls of 2025
CNBC· 2025-12-17 14:10
In this articleJPMA projected illumination marking the 75th anniversary of the Schuman Declaration, on the Grossmarkthalle building at the European Central Bank headquarters in Frankfurt, Germany, on May 9, 2025.Alex Kraus/Bloomberg via Getty ImagesInvestors are gearing up for the last interest-rate decisions of 2025, with four of Europe's central banks announcing their monetary policies and macroeconomic outlooks on Thursday.The European Central Bank, Bank of England, Riksbank, and Norges Bank are all meet ...
Bitcoin Drops Below $90K Amid Fading Risk Appetite Ahead of Key Macro Events
Yahoo Finance· 2025-12-14 13:50
Bitcoin (BTC) drifted below $90,000 on Sunday during quiet trading, with investors showing limited appetite for risk ahead of a busy week of economic data and central bank events. The largest cryptocurrency was trading around $89,600 as of 12:40 p.m. UTC, down approximately 0.9% in the preceding 24 hours, marginally higher on the week, and still down roughly 7.6% over the past month. Ether (ETH) changed hands near $3,104, down on the day but up more than 2% over the past seven days, outperforming bitcoin ...
Federal Reserve unanimously approves reappointment of regional bank presidents
Yahoo Finance· 2025-12-11 22:33
WASHINGTON (AP) — The Federal Reserve's governing board unanimously approved the reappointment of nearly all of the Fed's 12 regional bank presidents, a group that has come under scrutiny by the Trump administration. The Fed's board approved the reappointment of 11 of the presidents, with the only exception being the Atlanta Fed, where current president Raphael Bostic is stepping down at the end of the February and a new president hasn't been named. The regional bank presidents all serve five-year terms ...
Mortgage rates inched up last week but remain near year-to-date lows
Yahoo Finance· 2025-12-11 17:05
Mortgage rates rose slightly this week after the Federal Reserve’s latest interest rate cut on Wednesday proved insufficient to offset a spike in Treasury yields earlier in the week. The average 30-year mortgage rate was 6.22% through Wednesday, according to Freddie Mac data. That’s up from 6.19% last week but still not far from year-to-date lows. The average 15-year mortgage rate was 5.54%, from 5.44% last week. Financial markets are closely watching upcoming economic data for clues about the direction o ...
Fed Chair Powell: I don't think a rate hike is anyone's base case at this point
Youtube· 2025-12-10 20:18
Chair Powell, there's been some discussion recently of the 1990s. In the 1990s, the committee did two discrete sequences of three quarter point cuts. One in 199596 and one in 1998.And after both of those, the next move in rates was up, not down. With policy now closer to neutral, is it a foregone conclusion that the next move in rates is down or should we think of policy risks as genuinely two-sided from here. >> So, I don't think that um a a rate hike is anybody's base as the next thing is anybody's base c ...
Commercial real estate deal volume drops for the first time in nearly two years
CNBC· 2025-12-09 14:47
A version of this article first appeared in the CNBC Property Play newsletter with Diana Olick. Property Play covers new and evolving opportunities for the real estate investor, from individuals to venture capitalists, private equity funds, family offices, institutional investors and large public companies. Sign up to receive future editions, straight to your inbox.The recovery in commercial real estate has been slow and bumpy, much like interest rate policy over the past few years. The two, of course, are ...
Wall Street’s Macro Traders Eye Biggest Haul in 16 Years
Yahoo Finance· 2025-11-25 18:02
Core Insights - Wall Street's macro traders are on track for their best year since 2009, driven by client interest in changing global interest rate policies [1] - Major firms like Goldman Sachs, JPMorgan, and Citigroup are projected to generate $165 billion in revenue from trading activities, marking a 10% increase from 2024 [1][2] Revenue Projections - The Group-of-10 rates business is expected to achieve a five-year high in revenue, reaching $40 billion [2] - The overall industry revenue is anticipated to be $162 billion in 2026, only 2% lower than the projected revenue for this year [2] Market Conditions - Central banks are normalizing policy rates and balance sheets, but the level of issuance remains high, suggesting sustained trading activity [3] - Emerging-market macro traders are expected to earn $35 billion, while credit traders are projected to make $27 billion and commodities traders $11 billion [4] Compensation Trends - The compensation pool for fixed income, currencies, and commodities (FICC) is expected to rise by about 3% on average, with rates traders seeing a 7% increase [5] - Stock traders are set to receive a 14% higher payout compared to last year, attributed to strong performance in AI stocks [5]
Global Markets Navigate China’s Bond Success, Surging U.S. Layoffs, and Dynamic EV Sector
Stock Market News· 2025-11-19 02:08
Key TakeawaysChina successfully secured €4 billion from a dual-tranche bond offering, while the People's Bank of China (PBoC) injected a net 115 billion yuan into open market operations.U.S. layoff notices spiked to 39,000 in October, a level only surpassed in 2008, 2009, 2020, and May 2025, signaling a deteriorating labor market.Gold prices strengthened, with XAU/USD moving above $4,050 amid a risk-off sentiment, though overall stability persists ahead of crucial U.S. economic data releases.The EV sector d ...
Dollar Slightly Higher as US Government Shutdown End Nears
Yahoo Finance· 2025-11-12 20:33
Group 1: Dollar Index and Economic Indicators - The dollar index (DXY00) rose by +0.06% on Wednesday, supported by hawkish comments from Atlanta Fed President Bostic, who favors keeping interest rates steady [1] - The dollar is under pressure due to signs of a potential resolution to the US government shutdown, with the Senate passing a temporary continuing resolution [2] - The markets are pricing in a 64% chance that the FOMC will cut the fed funds target range by 25 basis points at the next meeting on December 9-10 [3] Group 2: Euro and ECB Commentary - The EUR/USD rose by +0.06% on Wednesday, driven by hawkish comments from ECB Executive Board member Schnabel, who stated that interest rates are "absolutely" in a good place [4] - Central bank divergence is supportive of the euro, as the ECB is seen as largely finished with its rate-cut cycle, while the Fed is expected to cut rates several more times by the end of 2026 [4] - Schnabel indicated that there is positive momentum in the Eurozone economy and inflation risks are slightly tilted to the upside, with swaps pricing in a 4% chance of a -25 basis point rate cut by the ECB at the December 18 policy meeting [5]
Stocks Settle Mostly Higher on Government Reopening Optimism
Yahoo Finance· 2025-11-11 21:36
On Sunday, a group of eight Senate Democrats broke with their party to vote with Republicans to advance a bill to reopen the government. The bill would provide full-year funding for some departments, fund other agencies through January 30, and provide pay for furloughed government workers. The bill will also resume withheld federal payments to states and localities and recall agency employees who were laid off during the shutdown.Also weighing on stocks on Tuesday was a weekly report from ADP that showed US ...