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美银:The Flow Show-Gold-Binger
美银· 2025-08-11 01:21
更多资料加入知识星球:水木调研纪要 关注公众号:水木纪要 The Flow Show Gold-Binger Scores on the Doors: gold 30.3%, bitcoin 25.5%, stocks 12.6%, IG bonds 8.1%, HY bonds 7.6%, govt bonds 6.6%, cash 2.6%, commods 1.3%, US$ -9.6%, oil -11.0% YTD. Zeitgeist: "Tariffs, taxes, Iran, Russia, China, that was April wall of worry to climb; now we've just got China to go…when Xi & Trump shaking hands on the Great Wall it's the top". The Biggest Picture: best performing FX in '25…Russian ruble up 42% (Chart 3), best stock market…Poland up 54%, Uk ...
X @The Motley Fool
The Motley Fool· 2025-08-10 21:05
The market pays those who wait.It punishes those who react. ...
X @CryptoJack
CryptoJack· 2025-08-10 06:00
Weak hands panic. Strong hands accumulate. Which one are you? 💎🙌 ...
Wix.com: AI Is An Opportunity More Than A Risk
Seeking Alpha· 2025-08-06 21:35
I aim to invest in companies with perfect qualitative attributes, buy them at an attractive price based on fundamentals, and hold them forever. I hope to publish articles covering such companies approximately 3 times per week, with extensive quarterly follow-ups and constant updates.I manage a concentrated portfolio targeted at avoiding losers and maximizing exposure to big winners. This means that often I'll rate great companies at a 'Hold' because their growth opportunity is below my threshold, or their d ...
X @CryptoJack
CryptoJack· 2025-08-06 11:00
Every time you hesitate to buy, someone else apes in.Every time you sell early, someone else holds.That’s the game. 🧠🎯 ...
Entravision(EVC) - 2025 Q2 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-08-05 22:00
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - On a consolidated basis, Entravision increased revenue by 22% to $101 million in Q2 2025 compared to Q2 2024, with an operating loss of just under $1 million [4][12] - Corporate expenses were reduced by $4 million in Q2 2025 compared to Q2 2024, representing a 41% decrease [21] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Media segment revenue declined by 8% to $45.4 million in Q2 2025 compared to Q2 2024, attributed to fewer active local advertisers and economic uncertainty [5][12] - Advertising Technology and Services (ATS) revenue increased by 66% to $55.3 million in Q2 2025 compared to Q2 2024, driven by more customers and higher spend per customer [7][13] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The number of active local advertisers in Q2 2025 was higher than in Q1 2025, indicating a monthly revenue increase throughout 2025 [6] - The media business faced challenges due to political advertising fluctuations and economic conditions impacting advertiser confidence [12] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focused on increasing local sales capacity and expanding digital sales capabilities in the media segment [11] - In ATS, the strategy includes investing in engineering and sales capacity to enhance technology and AI capabilities [8][10] Management Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management acknowledged the need for improvement in operating performance and profitability, emphasizing ongoing investments in both media and ATS segments [4][11] - The company aims to achieve profitability in each operating segment and on a consolidated basis, with a focus on revenue growth and expense reduction [20][18] Other Important Information - The company has a strong balance sheet with over $69 million in cash and marketable securities at the end of Q2 2025 [22] - A voluntary debt prepayment of $1 million was made, reducing credit facility indebtedness to approximately $178 million [22] Q&A Session Summary - There were no questions during the Q&A session, and the call concluded without further inquiries [25]
Gladstone Capital (GLAD) - 2025 Q3 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-08-05 13:30
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Fundings for the quarter totaled $73 million, with exits and prepayments at $82 million, resulting in net originations of negative $9 million [6][7] - Interest income decreased by 2.3% to $20.9 million, while the weighted average portfolio yield increased by 20 basis points to 12.8% [12][7] - Net investment income remained flat at $11.3 million, with net realized losses of $3.6 million primarily related to a specific investment [7][13] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The portfolio turnover did not materially impact the investment mix, with 70% of new originations being first lien debt [9] - The company maintained a conservative leverage position with debt at 64% of NAV, which increased to 81% of NAV post-quarter [11][15] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company continues to see a healthy flow of attractive lower middle market deal opportunities, with 88% of recent deals being first lien investments [10] - The average closing leverage for new deals was three times EBITDA, with an average margin over SOFR exceeding 7% [10] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company remains focused on growth-oriented lower middle market investments backed by private equity sponsors [19] - The strategy includes recycling investment exits to support portfolio growth and shareholder distributions [11][19] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in the health of the portfolio, citing well-articulated growth strategies among investments [24] - Concerns about economic headwinds were acknowledged, but the company believes its investments can withstand these challenges due to conservative leverage and cash flow generation [26][27] Other Important Information - Total assets rose to $780 million, with liabilities primarily consisting of senior notes and a line of credit [13][14] - Monthly distributions for August and September will be $0.0165 per common share, translating to an annual run rate of $1.98 per share [15] Q&A Session Summary Question: Impact of private credit growth on spreads - Management noted that while there is some pressure from sponsors, they have successfully resisted significant reductions in spreads, maintaining an average above 7% over SOFR [21][22] Question: Overall health of the portfolio amid economic uncertainty - Management indicated that most investments have solid growth strategies and can withstand economic headwinds, with a focus on long-term growth rather than short-term economic fluctuations [24][26] Question: Changes in portfolio structure to boost yields - Management clarified that there is no fundamental strategy change, but they are exploring opportunities to manage yield targets through selective second lien and asset-backed facilities [30][32] Question: Leverage ratio and prepayment patterns - Management confirmed the leverage ratio increase to 81% of NAV and noted that prepayments have been unpredictable, typically occurring when companies are up for sale [37][39] Question: Financing options for upcoming debt maturity - Management is evaluating various options for addressing the upcoming debt maturity, expressing some disappointment with current market spreads [41] Question: Future pipeline and backlog outlook - Management expects a healthy number of additional investments and anticipates net originations in the range of $50 million to $100 million per quarter [44][46] Question: Activity level and December quarter expectations - Management expressed cautious optimism for a strong Q4, traditionally a busy quarter, while acknowledging economic uncertainties that may affect deal closures [53][55]
X @CryptoJack
CryptoJack· 2025-08-05 08:30
What’s the better investment strategy: Staking or trading? 🤔 ...