monsitj / iStock via Getty Images Morgan Stanley believes that artificial intelligence (AI) will kill 200,000 jobs in Europe by 2030. The figure is staggering because it only includes one group of people in a single industry in a single region. It also demonstrates how AI may be an extraordinary trigger for worldwide unemployment. 24/7 Wall St. Key Points Morgan Stanley forecasts that artificial intelligence will eliminate 200,000 banking jobs in the EU by 2030. Other forecasts are even worse, but ex ...

The AI job loss narrative is everywhere.But what if it is wrong?David Sacks says only 5% of job loss is actually coming from the new technology. https://t.co/M8RGytSuSk ...

A 32-year-old caller named John from San Jose, California, phoned into “The Ramsey Show” recently after losing his $120,000 analyst job, worried that his growing debt might cost him the house his father gave him. With $105,000 in various debts and a soft job market in tech, he asked personal finance experts Dave Ramsey and Ken Coleman whether defaulting could result in losing the home. Ramsey Urges Immediate Action, Not Panic John explained that although the house was a gift, it still carries a $50,000 m ...

Core Insights - The U.S. private sector experienced a significant decline in employment in November, with a loss of 32,000 jobs, contrasting sharply with Wall Street's expectation of a gain of 40,000 jobs [1][2] - This decline represents the largest single-month drop since March 2023, primarily driven by small businesses [2] Employment Trends - Companies with 50 or more employees reported a net gain of 90,000 jobs, while small businesses (fewer than 50 employees) faced a loss of 120,000 jobs, including a notable decline of 74,000 jobs among businesses with 20 to 49 employees [2] - Professional and business services led the job losses with a decrease of 26,000 roles, followed by information services (down 20,000), manufacturing (down 18,000), financial activities (down 9,000), and construction (down 9,000) [3] Wage Growth - Pay growth in November slowed, with year-over-year pay increasing by 4.4% for workers remaining in their positions, a decrease of 0.1% from October [3]

Core Insights - The ADP payrolls firm reported that the private sector is losing approximately 11,250 jobs per week over the four-week period ending October 25 [1] Group 1 - The private sector job loss indicates a potential trend of declining employment in the economy [1]

Group 1: Layoffs and Workforce Changes - Amazon plans to cut 30,000 white-collar jobs, with additional layoffs announced by Oracle, Dropbox, and Block due to AI applications [1][2] - McKinsey has reduced its workforce by 5,000 employees, citing "AI efficiencies," while OpenAI's Sam Altman is programming AI to replace entry-level bankers [2] - Goldman Sachs research indicates that 6% to 7% of American workers, approximately 10 million jobs, may be displaced due to AI, comparable to job losses during the Great Recession [3] Group 2: Automation and Job Replacement - Amazon anticipates that highly advanced automation will replace 500,000 jobs, primarily within its delivery structure [4] - The potential for job transformation raises concerns about a period of higher unemployment as displaced workers seek new employment opportunities [3][4] - If Goldman Sachs' predictions about job cuts are accurate but the creation of replacement jobs is not realized, a significant transformation of the U.S. workforce could occur [4]

Core Insights - Amazon is potentially shifting towards greater automation, which may lead to significant job reductions in the future, with estimates suggesting that up to 600,000 jobs could be replaced by robots by 2033 [3][4][10] - The company has stated that it remains committed to creating job opportunities, particularly in higher-paying positions, while emphasizing upskilling programs [7][8] - Internal documents indicate that Amazon's goal is to automate 75% of its operations, which could result in a reduced need for human workers [3][4][6] Group 1: Hiring Strategy and Automation - Amazon's robotics team is working to "flatten Amazon's hiring curve over the next 10 years," indicating a strategic shift towards automation [2] - Advanced warehouse designs have shown that with increased robot usage, the need for human workers can be reduced by 25% to 50% [2] - The company plans to replicate this design across 40 facilities by the end of 2027, further indicating a move towards automation [2] Group 2: Cost Savings and Efficiency - By replacing future human workers with robots, Amazon could save an estimated 30 cents per item purchased and delivered [4] - The company has historically utilized technology advancements to improve warehouse efficiency and lower operating costs, which benefits consumers [5] Group 3: Job Creation vs. Job Loss - Amazon's workforce has grown significantly, reaching around 1.2 million employees in the U.S., but there are concerns that it may become a "net job destroyer" due to automation [11] - The company has plans to hire 250,000 people for the 2025 holiday season, but the permanence of these roles remains uncertain [8] - Experts warn that Amazon's automation efforts could influence other employers, such as Walmart and UPS, to follow suit, potentially leading to broader job losses in the industry [10]

AI Impact on Jobs - The report "Tech oligarchs war against workers" warns AI could eliminate nearly 100 million US jobs [1] - The report may confuse AI's ability to automate parts of a job with automating the entire job [3] - Industry analysis suggests AI may replace approximately 25% of job tasks, significantly less than the report's claim [3] Report Methodology and Validity - Chat GPT analysis indicates the report's methodology may be unsound [2] - The report's job loss number is an outlier, suggesting it assumes a super-powerful AI [6] - The report's conclusions may be driven by human input and agenda rather than accurate AI assessment [5][6] Regulatory and Economic Concerns - Congressional overreaction to reports like this could lead to regulations that risk AI growth [8] - The report may be part of an agenda to change the tax code and slow down AI investment [10] - Slowing down AI investment could have significant negative economic impacts [11]

Economic Concerns - Job losses or fear of job losses coupled with high interest rates or loan inaccessibility could lead to disaster [1] - The Fed should act promptly [1]

Economic Downturn Scenario - Lending freezes, bank collapses, millions of job losses, and home foreclosures lead to a US economic crash and tanking asset prices [1] - The scenario presented is considered undesirable, implying a "game over" situation for the existing financial system [1] Bitcoin (BTC) as a Potential Solution - In the event of a complete financial collapse, the case for Bitcoin (BTC) as the only viable form of money would increase dramatically [1] - The value proposition of BTC would shift from negligible to paramount in a catastrophic economic scenario [1]