截至2025年11月21日 10:06，中证银行指数(399986)上涨0.12%，银行ETF易方达(516310)上涨0.14%，冲 击3连涨，成交4956.31万元。 拉长时间看，截至11月20日，银行ETF易方达(516310)近3月规模增长8.55亿元，近3月份额增长6.18亿 份，实现显著增长。 银行板块近期在市场调整中展现出较强的护盘作用。德邦证券指出，当前市场整体情绪偏低，叠加LPR 维持不变导致宽松预期受限，A股呈现高开低走格局，但银行作为低估值金融股具备防御配置价值，成 为权重护盘的重要力量。伴随多地稳楼市政策持续出台及财政发力改善企业现金流，银行板块的稳健属 性进一步凸显，在市场震荡期间或更受资金青睐。 广发证券分析认为，10月金融数据显示M1增速大幅回落，主要由于存款非银化趋势加剧，资本市场表 现较好带动存款"搬家"速度快于活期化速度。居民和企业存款合计减少2.43万亿元，而非银存款增加 1.85万亿元，显示资金更多流向权益市场。尽管短期财政力度有所回落，但随着后续5000亿元中央财政 资金下达地方，财政支出有望再度扩张，叠加跨境资金回流，M1与M2预计将继续保持相对高位，对银 行间流动 ...

Core Viewpoint - The financial data for May indicates a reasonable match with the real economy, with significant growth in social financing scale, M2, and RMB loan growth, all surpassing nominal GDP growth, suggesting a stable support for the real economy [1][2]. Financial Data Overview - As of the end of May, the broad money supply (M2) stood at 325.78 trillion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 7.9% [2]. - The narrow money supply (M1) reached 108.91 trillion yuan, with a year-on-year increase of 2.3% [2]. - The total social financing stock was 426.16 trillion yuan, growing by 8.7% year-on-year [2]. - In the first five months, the increment in social financing was 1.863 trillion yuan, which is 383 billion yuan more than the same period last year [2]. Social Financing and Government Bonds - In May, the increment in social financing was 2.29 trillion yuan, which is 224.7 billion yuan more than the previous year, primarily driven by government and corporate bonds [3]. - Government bonds were identified as the main driver for the rapid growth in social financing, with special refinancing bonds and new local special bonds contributing significantly [3]. - The issuance of new special bonds in May reached 443.2 billion yuan, marking a record high for the year [3]. Loan Growth and Structure - The RMB loan balance at the end of May was 266.32 trillion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 7.1% [6]. - The balance of inclusive small and micro loans was 34.42 trillion yuan, growing by 11.6% year-on-year, while medium to long-term loans in the manufacturing sector reached 14.75 trillion yuan, up by 8.8% [7]. - The recent interest rate cuts have positively influenced loan demand, with many enterprises finding loans more attractive [8]. Market Confidence and Economic Activity - The increase in "liquid money" (M1) growth reflects the effectiveness of recent financial support measures in boosting market confidence and indicating a recovery in investment and consumption activities [4]. - The overall financial volume is expected to maintain stability, supported by resilient economic development and proactive fiscal policies [11]. - The People's Bank of China has implemented a series of financial support measures, including interest rate cuts and structural monetary policy tools, which are gradually taking effect [11].