Traders are waiting on macroeconomic factors to signal Bitcoin’s next price move as the crypto market consolidates following its biggest fall in almost four years. Over the past month, Bitcoin slid some 28%, revisiting the levels it traded at before President Donald Trump’s 2024 election win. Since then, the top cryptocurrency has ping-ponged between $74,400 to $65,000 as investors wait for the dust to settle. Ben Harvey, a researcher at crypto investment firm Keyrock, told DL News he expects the next b ...

RT Michaël van de Poppe (@CryptoMichNL)This is the best chart in #Crypto & #BitcoinThe representation of the current status of the markets can't be explained by a better chart.My thesis:- The markets have peaked in December '24.- The markets are bottoming during this month.- There's a strong bull market for 2026 & 2027.The main reasoning is that there's a strong case for the markets being tied to the macroeconomic behavior overall.Crypto doesn't move independently anymore, no, it's connected with all the ot ...

Market Overview - Bitcoin has dropped below $75,000, marking a 37% decline from its record high in October, although it briefly rallied to around $80,000 [1] - The downturn in the crypto market is being compared to a "crypto winter," reminiscent of previous downturns [6] Macroeconomic Factors - The decline in cryptocurrency prices is influenced by macroeconomic conditions, including disappointing earnings reports from major tech companies, a drop in gold and silver prices, and uncertainty surrounding the nomination of Kevin Warsh as Federal Reserve chair [2][3] Legislative Developments - The stalling of the Clarity Act, which aimed to establish market structure rules for crypto trading, has contributed to investor caution. Coinbase CEO Brian Armstrong withdrew support for the bill due to its restrictions on stablecoin yields, leading to further uncertainty [4] Precious Metals Market - Precious metals have experienced significant volatility, with gold and silver prices reaching record highs before falling by 11% and 32%, respectively [5] Broader Crypto Market Trends - Other cryptocurrencies are also facing declines, with Ethereum down approximately 24% to around $2,354 and Solana down about 20% to around $105 [5] - The current market conditions are characterized as organic deleveraging rather than a structural crisis, indicating a longer bear market than many investors realize [6]

Market Overview - BNB, the native token of the BNB Chain, decreased by 1.2% to $900.9, underperforming the CoinDesk 20 index, which fell by 0.6% [1] - The decline in BNB's price is attributed to traders shifting their focus to bitcoin and gold amid rising geopolitical tensions and uncertainty in U.S. monetary policy [1] Bitcoin and Geopolitical Context - Bitcoin remained relatively stable during the same period, as investors moved away from riskier assets due to violent protests in Iran and potential military responses from the U.S. [2] - Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell indicated that the Trump administration has threatened him with a criminal indictment, contributing to a decline in the U.S. dollar and an increase in gold prices, which are nearing $4,600 [3] BNB Technical Analysis - BNB's price action indicates indecision, with resistance near $914 and a trading range around $900–$905. A volume spike confirmed bearish momentum, although selling pressure has been decreasing [4] - Technical resistance at $900 remains strong, suggesting a potential recovery may be on the horizon [4] Macro Data and Ecosystem Developments - Investors are closely monitoring upcoming U.S. inflation figures and the BNB Chain's Fermi upgrade, which aims to reduce block times by 40% and is scheduled for January 14 UTC [5] - The BNB ecosystem is currently balancing short-term volatility driven by macroeconomic factors and long-term credibility based on robust infrastructure and institutional adoption [5] Future Prospects - The Fermi hard fork is expected to significantly enhance the network, while increasing BNB product launches, including Grayscale's recent filing for a BNB exchange-traded fund (ETF), are maintaining institutional interest [6]

Core Insights - The article emphasizes the importance of identifying companies with the potential to consistently outperform the broader market, focusing on those with robust, consistent, and predictable cash flows [1] - It highlights the significance of combining fundamental analysis with macroeconomic factors to develop a disciplined investment framework [1] - The author expresses a willingness to engage with the investment community to share actionable ideas and insights [1] Company Focus - The investment strategy is sector and asset class agnostic, indicating a broad approach to identifying value across various markets [1] - There is a particular interest in exploring opportunities in the fixed-income market depending on market cycles [1] Macroeconomic Considerations - The article stresses that macroeconomic developments can drive market cycles and influence valuation discounts or premiums [1] - Attention to macroeconomic factors is deemed essential for accurate valuation and sensitivity analysis [1]

Core Insights - Traders are increasingly risk-averse, as evidenced by Bitcoin's price drop to $93,000, with a slight recovery following this decline [1] - The S&P 500 and Nasdaq have both experienced declines over the past week, indicating a broader market trend away from riskier assets [1] Macroeconomic Factors - Analysts attribute the current market sentiment to macroeconomic concerns rather than structural issues, with a fragile sentiment in crypto markets [2] - The aftermath of a 43-day government shutdown and a hawkish Federal Reserve are contributing to reduced risk appetite among investors [2] Investor Behavior - Investors are withdrawing from risk exposure at the fastest rate since March, influenced by the White House's criticism of policymakers and the paralysis of federal data pipelines [3] - The probability of a December rate cut has decreased to 44%, down 10% from the previous week, indicating a shift in market expectations [3] Economic Data Concerns - The unreleased economic statistics, including unemployment rates, are negatively impacting market signals, with the White House indicating that key reports may never be published [4] - This lack of data is leaving Federal Reserve policymakers without critical information during a crucial period [4] Upcoming Economic Indicators - The reopening of US government agencies is expected to release delayed data, although it may be incomplete or distorted due to furlough effects [5] - The September jobs report is anticipated to be compromised, omitting the unemployment rate due to unpaid furloughed workers [6] Corporate Earnings Scrutiny - Corporate earnings data will be closely examined to address macroeconomic gaps, with companies like Walmart, Target, Home Depot, and Nvidia serving as indicators of consumer and AI economic health [7]

Core Insights - Interparfums, Inc. reported a modest growth in net sales for Q3 2025, with a 1% increase year-over-year, reflecting ongoing market dynamics and macroeconomic challenges [2][3][12] - The company has refined its FY2025 guidance to anticipate $1.47 billion in sales, representing a 1% increase from the previous year, with diluted earnings per share expected to remain flat at $5.12 [12] Financial Performance - For Q3 2025, net sales reached $430 million, compared to $425 million in Q3 2024, while net sales for the first nine months of 2025 totaled $1.102 billion, up from $1.091 billion in the same period last year [2][11] - Gross margin for Q3 2025 was 63.5%, a slight decrease from 63.9% in Q3 2024, but improved to 64.4% for the first nine months, up from 63.6% [2][6] - Operating income increased by 2% to $109 million in Q3 2025, with an operating margin of 25.3%, compared to 25.0% in Q3 2024 [2][8] Market Dynamics - The prestige and luxury fragrance category continues to perform well, but broader macroeconomic factors such as retailer destocking and evolving consumer behavior have moderated topline growth [3][4] - Sales in North America and Western Europe grew by 4% and 3% respectively, while sales in Asia/Pacific declined by 9% due to distribution challenges [4][5] Strategic Initiatives - The company is focused on maintaining sales momentum through a strong innovation pipeline and rigorous advertising and promotion programs [3][5] - Interparfums plans to leverage e-commerce channels to maximize brand engagement and capture sales during the holiday gifting season [5][12] Operational Efficiency - SG&A expenses as a percentage of net sales decreased to 38.2% in Q3 2025 from 38.9% in Q3 2024, reflecting effective management of advertising and promotional activities [7][8] - The company reported a healthy financial position with $188 million in cash and cash equivalents, and generated $68 million in operating cash flow for the first nine months of 2025, up from $50 million a year ago [12]

Will macroeconomic factors and geo-political tensions continue to spook the market for the rest of October?Join us live to discuss trends, prices and what's affecting our outlook.📺 Oct 24, 2 AM UTC https://t.co/tDlYtQovAM ...

Market Analysis - The altcoin market has been stagnant since Q4 2023, leading to expectations of continued stagnation [7] - The market's dependence is shifting from halving events to macroeconomic factors and the business cycle [3] - Current market correction is similar to past corrections before significant upward movements, suggesting a potential build-up for a breakout [4][5] Investment Strategy - Portfolio construction should be based on portfolio and risk management rather than timing the market [5] - The end of the bear market for both altcoins and the business cycle suggests an upcoming bull run [7] - Bull runs and bear markets are expected to be longer than previous cycles, potentially leading to a significant bubble followed by an extended bear market [8] Technical Indicators - Bull cycle peak indicators, sentiment, and Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs) do not currently signal an overvalued market [3]

Group 1 - The S&P 500 continues to rise despite macroeconomic challenges such as tariffs, U.S. government debt concerns, and geopolitical tensions, indicating a strong market performance [1] - Large-cap companies are resuming high valuations, which raises caution among analysts regarding the sustainability of this market trend [1] - Analysts recommend investors to rotate their investments in light of the current market conditions [1] Group 2 - Gary Alexander has extensive experience in technology sectors, having worked on Wall Street and in Silicon Valley, which informs his insights into current industry trends [1] - He has been a contributor to Seeking Alpha since 2017 and has been featured in various web publications, indicating his influence and recognition in the investment community [1]