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Constellation Brands: Buffett's $2.2B Bet May Have Hit Bottom
MarketBeat· 2025-10-10 15:39
Constellation Brands TodaySTZConstellation Brands$141.91 -1.06 (-0.74%) 52-Week Range$131.20▼$247.63Dividend Yield2.88%P/E Ratio20.70Price Target$186.44Add to WatchlistSince hitting rock bottom, Warren Buffett’s $2.2 billion bet, Constellation Brands NYSE: STZ, has managed to stage a modest recovery. Constellation shares fell to less than $132 in late September. The last time shares traded so low was in March 2020, due to the COVID market crash. However, shares have since rebounded by about 8% to trade jus ...
1 Buffett Stock to Buy Right Now and 1 to Avoid
Yahoo Finance· 2025-10-10 11:00
Key Points Warren Buffett has made thousands of investors financially richer over the years. Lennar, a recent purchase, looks set to benefit from tailwinds in the housing market. Constellation Brands cut its guidance recently and sees multiple challenges ahead. 10 stocks we like better than Lennar › Berkshire Hathaway CEO Warren Buffett is rightly regarded as the greatest investor of all time. Over a career spanning more than 60 years, Berkshire has crushed the S&P 500. From 1965 to 2024, it repor ...
Warren Buffett Just Spent Over $4 Billion Buying 13 Different Stocks. Here's the Best of the Bunch.
The Motley Fool· 2025-10-09 18:07
Buffett is finding more value in today's market, but this one stands out as an exceptional bargain.Warren Buffett is widely considered one of the greatest investors of all time. And there's a good reason for that. He's produced phenomenal results for his investors in his nearly 70-year career as an investment manager.His Buffett Limited Partnership compounded its capital at an annualized rate of 31.6% between 1956 and 1968. Since taking over Berkshire Hathaway (BRK.A -0.76%) (BRK.B -0.78%) in the middle of ...
Constellation Brands CEO serves up serious warning on economy
Yahoo Finance· 2025-10-09 02:03
Set 'em up, Joe, we got a little story we think you should know: Alcohol sales are down. While Frank Sinatra was drinking to the end of a brief episode, a lot of people seem to be skipping that one for the road. 💵💰Don't miss the move: Subscribe to TheStreet's free daily newsletter 💰💵 A Gallup survey says the percentage of U.S. adults who say they consume alcohol has fallen to 54%, the lowest by one percentage point in the firm’s nearly 90-year trend. "This coincides with a growing belief among American ...
Constellation “cautiously optimistic” on macro challenges having reached bottom
Yahoo Finance· 2025-10-08 14:12
Constellation Brands' CEO is "cautiously optimistic" on the business having "hit the bottom" when it comes to macro pressures that have affected its sales in recent months. In a call yesterday (7 October) following the release of the group's second quarter results, Deutsche Bank analyst Chris Barnes asked the group to detail expectations for its second half of the fiscal year. While CEO Bill Newlands said he couldn't give any predictions, he noted the group had "seen unprecedented volatility, and there's ...
Jim Cramer on Constellation Brands: “The Company Has Fallen Out of Grace”
Yahoo Finance· 2025-10-08 09:34
Constellation Brands, Inc. (NYSE:STZ) is one of the stocks in Jim Cramer’s game plan for this week. Cramer started his game plan with the stock, as he remarked: “Monday, Constellation Brands, STZ, reports. The company has fallen out of grace along with the rest of the alcohol plays. CEO Bill Newlands acknowledged on the last earnings call that the company is being impacted by ICE raids in popular shopping destinations. The declining volumes has matched the decline in the stock. Constellation has been tryi ...
Constellation Brands Shares Rise 2% As Earnings Beat Expectations
Financial Modeling Prep· 2025-10-07 20:40
Core Insights - Constellation Brands Inc. reported quarterly earnings that exceeded Wall Street estimates despite a decline in beer sales [1][2] - The company posted second-quarter earnings of $3.63 per share, surpassing analyst expectations of $3.35 [1] - Revenue for the quarter fell 2% to $2.48 billion, slightly below the consensus forecast of $2.51 billion [1] Sales Performance - Beer sales dropped 7% year-over-year, attributed to an 8.7% decrease in shipment volumes as distributors reduced inventories and consumers cut back on spending [2] - The company reaffirmed its fiscal 2026 outlook, projecting overall earnings per share between $11.30 and $11.60 [2] Future Projections - Constellation Brands expects beer net sales to decline by 2–4% and beer operating income to decrease by 7–9% [2]
Constellation Brands(STZ) - 2026 Q2 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-10-07 13:02
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company reported a decrease in top-line guidance while maintaining capital expenditure (CAPEX) guidance, indicating confidence in long-term growth despite near-term headwinds [12][14] - The beer operating margin target remains at 39% to 40%, which is considered best in class, even with some expected deleveraging [65][66] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The beer segment experienced a decline in sales volume, particularly among Hispanic consumers, attributed to macroeconomic factors and socio-economic concerns [9][10] - The wine and spirits segment showed positive growth, with brands like Kim Crawford and Meiomi contributing to a 2% increase in Q2, maintaining a strong market position [36][70] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company noted significant volatility in sales, particularly in high Hispanic zip code areas, which have underperformed compared to the general market [76] - California has been identified as a major challenge, with expectations for construction opportunities to potentially improve beer sales in the region [77] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focused on maintaining marketing investments to drive long-term growth, despite current economic challenges [25][26] - There is an emphasis on price pack architecture to cater to consumers with varying financial capabilities, ensuring accessibility to products across different price points [44][60] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed cautious optimism about hitting the bottom of the current sales decline, while acknowledging unprecedented volatility in the market [76] - The company remains committed to investing in brand loyalty and marketing, particularly targeting younger consumers like Gen Z [10][25] Other Important Information - The company has achieved $105 million in cost savings year-to-date, with ongoing efforts to optimize operations and logistics [48] - Tariff impacts are expected to be around $70 million for the beer business and $20 million for the wine business, tracking with volume changes [53] Q&A Session Summary Question: Volume growth and consumer sentiment - Management highlighted that 80% of consumers are concerned about the socio-economic environment, impacting engagement and volume growth [9][10] Question: CAPEX guidance rationale - The company plans to maintain CAPEX to support long-term growth, despite short-term challenges [12][14] Question: Brand loyalty for Corona and Modelo - Management noted increased loyalty for Corona and Modelo, with specific brands within the portfolio performing well [18][19] Question: Impact of macro factors on beer category - Management believes macro factors are more significant than structural issues, although cannabis and health trends are acknowledged as potential influences [23][24] Question: Beer margin and cost savings - The company reported $65 million in cost savings for Q2, with ongoing initiatives to enhance operational efficiency [47][48] Question: Pricing strategy in light of economic challenges - The company expects to maintain a 1-2% pricing increase, adjusting strategies based on market conditions [72][73] Question: Inventory levels and destocking - Inventory levels are reported to be in a good position, with no significant destocking issues anticipated [70][71]
Constellation Brands(STZ) - 2026 Q2 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-10-07 13:02
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company reported a decrease in top-line guidance while maintaining capital expenditure (CAPEX) guidance, indicating confidence in long-term growth despite near-term headwinds [12][14]. - The beer operating margin is expected to remain best in class, even with some deleveraging due to volume declines [65]. Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The beer segment experienced a drop in sales volume, particularly among Hispanic consumers, attributed to macroeconomic factors and socio-economic concerns [9][10]. - The wine and spirits business showed positive growth, with key brands like Mi Campo and The Prisoner gaining market share [36][70]. Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company noted that Hispanic consumer sentiment has been particularly suppressed, impacting sales volume [8][9]. - The overall market for beer is facing challenges, with significant differences in performance across various demographic segments [76]. Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focusing on maintaining marketing investments to drive long-term growth, despite current economic challenges [26][60]. - There is an emphasis on price pack architecture to cater to consumers with varying financial capabilities, ensuring accessibility to products [44][60]. Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed cautious optimism about hitting the bottom of the current sales volume decline, while acknowledging unprecedented volatility in the market [76]. - The company is committed to investing in long-term growth and believes that socio-economic conditions will eventually improve, allowing for a return to traditional growth profiles [26][67]. Other Important Information - The company has achieved significant cost savings, totaling over $500 million since the investor day a couple of years ago, with $105 million realized year-to-date [48]. - Tariff impacts are expected to be around $70 million for the beer business and $20 million for the wine business this year [53]. Q&A Session Summary Question: Impact of ICE activities on volume growth - Management indicated that consumer sentiment is a key factor, with 80% of consumers expressing concern about the socio-economic environment, which has affected engagement and volume growth [9][10]. Question: CAPEX guidance amidst weaker top line - Management stated that CAPEX guidance remains unchanged due to long-term growth commitments, although they are exploring ways to potentially reduce CAPEX in future years [12][14]. Question: Loyalty metrics for Corona and Modelo - Management highlighted increased loyalty for Corona and Modelo, despite recent challenges for Corona Extra, with strong performance from Corona Familiar and Sunbrew [18][19]. Question: Structural vs. cyclical factors affecting beer category - Management believes that cyclical factors are more significant than structural ones, although they acknowledge potential impacts from health trends and cannabis substitution [23][24]. Question: Beer margin and cost savings - The company reported $65 million in cost savings for Q2 and is focused on operational efficiencies to continue this trend [47][48]. Question: Brand positioning of Corona - Management is refining Corona's brand positioning to focus more on the beer itself and its refreshing qualities, moving away from celebrity-heavy marketing [54][55]. Question: Pricing strategy amidst economic challenges - The company expects to maintain a 1%-2% pricing increase, adjusting strategies based on market conditions and consumer sentiment [72][73]. Question: Depletions expectations for the second half - Management noted that depletions are expected to track closely with shipments, but there is caution due to unprecedented market volatility [76].
Constellation Brands(STZ) - 2026 Q2 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-10-07 13:00
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company reported a decrease in top-line guidance last month but maintained its CAPEX guidance, indicating a commitment to long-term growth despite near-term headwinds [10][12] - The beer operating margin target remains at 39% to 40%, which is considered best in class, even with some deleveraging expected [58][60] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The beer segment experienced a drop in sales volume, particularly among Hispanic consumers, attributed to macroeconomic factors and socio-economic concerns [6][9] - The wine and spirits segment showed a 2% increase in Q2, driven by brands like Kim Crawford and Meiomi, indicating a strong performance in the market [32][64] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - Consumer sentiment remains low, with 80% of surveyed consumers expressing concerns about the socio-economic environment, impacting overall sales volume [7][9] - The company noted significant differences in performance across various markets, with high Hispanic zip code areas showing worse results compared to the general market [69] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focused on maintaining marketing investments to drive long-term growth, despite current economic challenges [22][23] - There is an emphasis on price pack architecture to cater to consumers with varying financial capabilities, ensuring accessibility to products [39][55] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management believes that the current challenges are primarily cyclical and expects a return to traditional growth profiles as socio-economic conditions improve [23][60] - The company is cautiously optimistic about hitting the bottom of the current market volatility, with a focus on monitoring trends closely [70] Other Important Information - The company has achieved $105 million in cost savings year-to-date, with ongoing efforts to optimize operations and logistics [43] - Tariff impacts are expected to be around $70 million for the beer business and $20 million for the wine business this year [48] Q&A Session Summary Question: Volume growth and consumer sentiment - Management acknowledged the impact of socio-economic concerns on consumer behavior, particularly among Hispanic consumers, and noted increased loyalty for brands like Corona and Modelo [6][7] Question: CAPEX guidance rationale - The company explained that CAPEX for FY2026 remains unchanged due to long-term commitments, while future CAPEX adjustments will be considered based on market conditions [10][12] Question: Beer margin and cost savings - Management highlighted $65 million in cost savings for Q2 and discussed ongoing efforts to enhance operational efficiency [42][43] Question: Brand loyalty and performance - The company provided insights into brand health metrics, indicating that while Corona Extra faced challenges, the broader Corona family performed well, particularly with Corona Familiar [15][16] Question: Pricing strategy and market conditions - Management reiterated the expectation of a 1% to 2% pricing increase, emphasizing a market-by-market approach to pricing strategies [66][67] Question: Inventory levels and depletions - The company confirmed that inventory levels are in a good position and expressed confidence in aligning shipments and depletions moving forward [36][64]