Core Insights - Constellation Brands reported fiscal third-quarter results that exceeded Wall Street expectations, driven by strong performance in its beer business, leading to a 7% increase in shares intraday following the release [1] Financial Performance - The company posted comparable earnings of $3.06 per share, surpassing the analyst consensus of $2.65, and revenue increased to $2.22 billion, exceeding expectations of $2.17 billion [2] Market Position - Constellation's beer portfolio outperformed the broader alcohol market, with beer sales exceeding total beverage alcohol growth by nearly 0.5 percentage points and outpacing the overall beer category by approximately 1 percentage point in both dollar and volume sales across U.S. tracked channels [3] - The wine and spirits division also performed well, outpacing the higher-end U.S. wine segment in both dollar and volume sales [4] Future Guidance - The company reaffirmed its fiscal 2026 comparable earnings guidance of $11.30 to $11.60 per share, compared to analyst expectations of $11.47, and updated its reported earnings outlook to a range of $9.72 to $10.02 per share [5] - Constellation maintained its operating cash flow target of $2.5 billion to $2.6 billion and free cash flow target of $1.3 billion to $1.4 billion, having generated $2.1 billion in operating cash flow and $1.45 billion in free cash flow year to date [5]

The beer stock managed to beat estimates in its earnings report.Shares of Constellation Brands (STZ +4.71%) were gaining today after the domestic seller of Corona and Modelo beat estimates in its third-quarter earnings report.As of 1:57 p.m. ET, the stock was up 4.7% on the news. Constellation tops a low barConstellation Brands has faced a number of headwinds recently, including weak discretionary spending, younger generations turning away from alcohol, and a slowdown among Hispanic customers.Revenue fell 1 ...

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company reported stronger-than-expected beer operating margins in Q3 despite volume declines, attributed to cost savings initiatives and favorable pricing actions [8][9] - The depreciation benefit seen in Q3 is expected to turn into a headwind in Q4 as additional assets come online [9][31] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The beer portfolio experienced mid-single-digit distribution growth in the quarter, with significant gains in brands like Pacifico and Victoria [25][26] - The company continues to see a shift towards aluminum packaging, which is expected to impact margins due to increased costs [9][32] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The Hispanic consumer segment remains cautious due to socioeconomic concerns, impacting spending patterns [26][37] - The company noted that 75% of Hispanic consumers are concerned about the economic environment, leading to more careful spending [26] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company plans to continue expanding capacity with a focus on modular brewery build-outs, managing capital expenditures in line with growth projections [16][17] - There is an emphasis on brand health and distribution capabilities, particularly for growing brands like Pacifico, which is expected to become a strong number three brand in the portfolio [21][25] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed cautious optimism about the beer business plateauing, with potential recovery driven by upcoming events like the World Cup [37][57] - The macroeconomic environment has worsened since previous guidance, which will be reflected in future planning and guidance updates [12] Other Important Information - The company is adjusting pricing strategies for brands like Modelo Oro and Corona Premier to align with consumer expectations, which has led to improved trends for these products [46][47] - The company remains focused on controlling costs and optimizing distribution to navigate the current economic challenges [26][42] Q&A Session Summary Question: Insights on beer operating margins - Management highlighted that volume declines were a headwind, but cost savings and favorable pricing helped margins in Q3, with expectations of lower margins in Q4 due to seasonality and increased costs [8][9] Question: Long-term beer margin guidance - Management indicated that guidance for FY 2027 and beyond will be provided in April, noting that the macroeconomic environment has worsened since previous guidance [12] Question: Distribution growth and shelf space - Management remains optimistic about distribution growth, citing strong performance in states and opportunities for increased shelf space despite challenges in the beer category [25][26] Question: Impact of World Cup on sales - Management expects the World Cup to drive incremental benefits for the beer business, with plans for promotions and media presence to capitalize on the event [57] Question: Pricing environment and adjustments - Management anticipates continued pricing adjustments in response to market conditions, with positive trends observed in adjusted brands [46][47]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company reported stronger-than-expected beer operating margins in Q3, despite volume declines, attributed to cost savings initiatives and favorable pricing actions [8][9] - The depreciation benefit seen in Q3 is expected to turn into a headwind in Q4 as additional assets come online [9][31] - The company maintained its full-year guidance, indicating modest beer operating margins in Q4 due to seasonality and other headwinds [7][12] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The beer portfolio experienced mid-single-digit distribution growth in the quarter, with significant gains in brands like Pacifico and Victoria [25][26] - The company continues to invest in capacity expansion, planning for an additional 7 million hectoliters by fiscal 2028, with a focus on managing capital expenditures [16][17] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company noted that 75% of Hispanic consumers are concerned about the socioeconomic environment, impacting their spending patterns [26] - The beer category remains challenged, particularly among Hispanic consumers, but the company is focusing on distribution and brand health to navigate these challenges [26][37] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company aims to enhance distribution capabilities across the U.S., leveraging strong brand performance to gain shelf space [25][26] - Continued emphasis on brands like Pacifico, which has shown significant growth and engagement, is part of the strategy to strengthen the portfolio [21][22] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed cautious optimism about the beer business plateauing, with potential recovery driven by upcoming events like the World Cup [37][38] - The macroeconomic environment has worsened since previous guidance, which will be reflected in future planning [12] Other Important Information - The company is adjusting pricing strategies for brands like Modelo Oro and Corona Premier to align with consumer expectations, which has resulted in improved trends for these products [46][47] - The company is monitoring the cannabis market developments but does not currently engage in the cannabis business [54] Q&A Session Summary Question: Insights on beer operating margins - Management highlighted that Q3 margins were impacted by volume declines, tariffs, and logistics, but offset by cost savings and favorable pricing [8][9] Question: Long-term beer margin expectations - Management indicated that guidance for FY 27 and beyond will be provided in April, considering the current macroeconomic conditions [12] Question: Distribution growth and shelf space - Management remains optimistic about distribution growth, noting significant gains in states and the potential for further expansion [25][26] Question: Impact of World Cup on sales - Management expects the World Cup to drive beer occasions, particularly among Hispanic consumers, and plans to leverage promotional activities around the event [57][58] Question: Pricing environment and adjustments - Management anticipates continued pricing adjustments in response to market conditions, with a focus on meeting consumer needs [46][47]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company reported stronger-than-expected beer operating margins in Q3 despite volume declines, attributed to cost savings initiatives and favorable pricing [6][7] - The depreciation benefit seen in Q3 is expected to turn into a headwind in Q4 as additional assets come online [7][28] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The beer portfolio experienced mid-single-digit distribution growth in the quarter, with significant gains in brands like Pacifico and Victoria [22][24] - The company continues to see a shift in product mix towards aluminum packaging, which is expected to impact margins in Q4 [28] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The Hispanic consumer segment remains cautious due to socioeconomic concerns, impacting spending patterns [23][34] - The beer category overall is facing challenges, particularly among Hispanic consumers, with 75% expressing concerns about the economic environment [23] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company plans to continue its modular capacity build-out, with a commitment to expand capacity by 7 million hectoliters through fiscal 2028 [13][14] - There is a focus on controlling distribution and price pack architecture to adapt to current consumer needs and market conditions [24][44] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed cautious optimism about the beer business, noting potential recovery factors such as easier comparisons and upcoming events like the World Cup [34][55] - The macroeconomic environment has worsened since previous guidance, which will be reflected in future planning and guidance updates [11] Other Important Information - The company is monitoring the cannabis market but does not currently engage in it on a day-to-day basis [51] - The World Cup is expected to create significant beer moments, with plans for promotions and media presence to capitalize on the event [55] Q&A Session Summary Question: Insights on beer operating margins - Management noted that Q3 margins were impacted by volume declines and headwinds from tariffs and logistics, but cost savings and favorable pricing helped offset these [6][7] Question: Long-term beer margin guidance - Management indicated that guidance for FY 27 and beyond will be provided in April, acknowledging that the macroeconomic environment has worsened since previous guidance [11] Question: Distribution growth and shelf space - Management remains optimistic about distribution growth, noting that their brands have gained share across the country, particularly in California [22] Question: Impact of aluminum pricing on margins - Management confirmed that aluminum pricing and tariffs will be headwinds in Q4, with a shift towards aluminum packaging continuing [28] Question: Recovery potential in the beer business - Management is cautiously optimistic about a potential recovery, citing strong brand health and upcoming events as positive indicators [34] Question: Pricing environment and adjustments - Management expects to maintain a pricing increase of 1-2%, with positive trends observed in adjusted pricing for certain brands [41][44] Question: Clarification on volume expectations - Management clarified that they expect shipments and depletions to be aligned, with both showing negative trends in Q4 [46][48] Question: Cannabis market exposure - Management acknowledged their shares in Canopy and the potential impact of cannabis market developments but emphasized that they do not currently engage in the cannabis business [51] Question: World Cup impact on sales - Management anticipates the World Cup will drive beer sales, with plans for promotions and media presence to leverage the event [55]

Core Viewpoint - Constellation Brands, Inc. is a significant player in the beverage industry, focusing on beer, wine, and spirits, with a diverse portfolio of well-known brands and a presence in multiple countries [1] Stock Performance - The average target price for Constellation Brands has increased slightly from $156.57 to $158, indicating a modest positive sentiment among analysts in the short term [2] - The current target price is lower than last year's $188.11, reflecting a more cautious outlook over the past year [2] Future Outlook - Despite challenges anticipated in 2025, Constellation Brands is focusing on cost-cutting and expects a resurgence in beer demand among Hispanic consumers [3] - Analyst Lauren Lieberman from Barclays has set a price target of $281, indicating optimism about the company's future performance [3] Earnings Report - The upcoming third-quarter earnings report is expected to show strong performance with a double-beat in revenue and earnings per share, which could positively influence analyst target prices and investor sentiment [4] Strategic Initiatives - Market trends and strategic initiatives, such as new product launches or partnerships, are crucial factors that could impact Constellation Brands' stock outlook as the company navigates its challenges [5]

Beer and wine company Constellation Brands (NYSE:STZ) is expected to report another double-beat in revenue and earnings per share, signaling that tariff concerns may be manageable. The company reports third-quarter financial results Wednesday after market close.Here are the earnings estimates, what analysts are saying ahead of the report, and the key items to watch.Earnings Estimates: Analysts expect Constellation Brands to report third-quarter revenue of $2.16 billion. That’s down from $2.46 billion in las ...

Constellation Brands is set to release its quarterly earnings with an anticipated EPS of $2.65, reflecting an 18.2% decrease year-over-year.Revenue is expected to fall by 11.6% due to challenges in wine and spirits shipments, with projections between $2.16 billion to $2.2 billion.The company is investing in long-term growth through expansion in Mexico and a focus on premium brands, despite near-term financial pressures.Constellation Brands, Inc. (NYSE:STZ) is a leading beverage alcohol company with a divers ...

Key Takeaways AB InBev posted resilient Q3 results as Latin America strength helped offset U.S. revenue and volume declines.AB InBev grew EBITDA and expanded margins as pricing discipline offset U.S. volume declines.Latin America saw growth, led by Colombia volumes, Brazil pricing, and Mexico's premium and no-alcohol brands.Anheuser-Busch InBev SA/NV (BUD) , alias AB InBev’s, third-quarter 2025 results underscore how Latin America continues to act as a stabilizing force, helping offset ongoing softness in t ...

This top beer stock offers an attractive dividend yield.Constellation Brands (STZ 1.32%) owns a strong portfolio of beer brands, which the market is significantly undervaluing due to recent softness in consumer spending. The stock is down 35% year to date.This is a rare opportunity to purchase the stock at a high dividend yield and low multiple of free cash flow. Here's what is pressuring sales in the near term, and why it doesn't reflect the long-term value of the company's brands. Top beer brands are gain ...