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Chewy Stock Flashing ‘Buy The Dip' Signals
Forbes· 2025-07-10 16:50
Core Viewpoint - Chewy (CHWY) stock experienced a significant decline of over 20% after reaching a two-year high of $48.62 on June 6, primarily due to an 11% drop following earnings on June 11, but is currently testing a historically bullish trendline [1] Group 1: Stock Performance - CHWY is trading within one standard deviation of its 80-day moving average, having closed above this trendline in eight of the last ten sessions [2] - Historical data indicates that similar signals have led to a 78% chance of CHWY being higher one month later, with an average gain of 10.9% [3] - From its current price of $38.68, a similar gain would eliminate its 9.3% quarter-to-date deficit and extend its 15.4% year-to-date lead [3] Group 2: Technical Indicators - CHWY's 14-Day Relative Strength Index (RSI) is around 33, indicating it is in "oversold" territory, which has historically preceded rallies [3] - The stock is experiencing a potential short squeeze, with short interest up 7.7% and 15.51 million shares sold short, accounting for 7.3% of the total float [5] Group 3: Options Market Sentiment - The 10-day put/call volume ratio for CHWY is 0.68, indicating a higher level of pessimism among options traders compared to the past year [6] - Options are currently affordably priced, with a Schaeffer's Volatility Index (SVI) of 38% in the low 7th percentile of its annual range, suggesting a potential premium-selling strategy [7]
Kroger Stock Could Push Back Toward Highs
Schaeffers Investment Research· 2025-06-02 17:43
Core Viewpoint - Kroger Co has shown a steady upward trend in its stock price over the past year, with recent technical support preventing significant losses after a record high of $73.63 on April 22 [1] Group 1: Stock Performance - The stock recently rebounded from $66, which aligns with its ascending 100-day moving average [2] - For the first time in at least eight of the last ten trading days, the shares are within one standard deviation of their 80-day moving average, after spending at least 75% of the last six months above it [2] - Historical data indicates that after similar signals in the past three years, the stock was higher one month later 55% of the time, with an average gain of 3.7% [2] Group 2: Market Sentiment - An upward movement in Kroger's stock may be supported by a potential unwinding of short interest, with 6.1% of the stock's float sold short [4] - It would take shorts nearly five days to cover their positions at the equity's average trading pace [4] - Among 20 analysts covering the stock, 11 have a "strong buy" rating, while nine maintain a "hold" rating, indicating room for potential upgrades [4]