Core Viewpoint - Mosaic Co (NYSE:MOS) has seen an 18% increase in stock price since the beginning of the year, but may face a short-term pullback due to a historically bearish trendline [1] Group 1: Stock Performance and Trends - The stock is currently within 0.75 of the 126-day moving average's 20-day average true range (ATR), having remained below this level 80% of the time over the past two weeks and 80% of the last 42 trading sessions [2] - Historical data shows that similar signals have occurred 17 times in the past decade, with the stock declining one month later 76% of the time, averaging a 5.7% loss [2] - A potential decline from the current price of $28.47 could bring the stock down to approximately $26.84 [2] Group 2: Technical Indicators - The 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) for Mosaic stock is at 75.1, indicating it is in "overbought" territory [4] - Options for the stock appear affordable, with a Schaeffer's Volatility Index (SVI) of 39% ranking in the 23rd percentile of its annual range [4] - The Schaeffer's Volatility Scorecard (SVS) for MOS is high at 91 out of 100, suggesting that the stock has exceeded option traders' volatility expectations over the past year [4]

Core Insights - Synchrony Financial (SYF) has experienced a 50.6% gain over the past nine months but is currently facing a 6.3% decline in January 2026 after reaching a record high of $88.77 on January 9 [1] - The stock has found support at the $75 level, which may help it recover, as it is near a historically bullish trendline that could lead to further gains in the upcoming weeks [1] Technical Analysis - SYF is currently within 0.75 of its 126-day moving average's 20-day average true range (ATR), having remained above this level 80% of the time in the last two weeks and 80% of the past 42 trading sessions [2] - Historical data shows that similar signals have led to a 64% success rate for the stock being higher one month later, with an average gain of 5.5%, suggesting a potential target of above $82 from its current price of $77.94 [2] Options Market Sentiment - Options traders are showing a bullish sentiment, indicated by a 50-day call/put volume ratio of 4.25, which is higher than 84% of annual readings [4] - The affordability of options is supported by a Schaeffer's Volatility Index (SVI) of 41%, ranking in the 22nd percentile over the last 12 months, suggesting favorable conditions for options trading [5] - SYF's Schaeffer's Volatility Scorecard (SVS) is high at 85 out of 100, indicating that the stock has historically exceeded options traders' volatility expectations [5]

Group 1 - Ashtead Technology has received multiple "buy" ratings from brokerages, with price targets set at GBX 700 by Berenberg Bank and GBX 725 by Peel Hunt, while the average price target is GBX 646.25 [1] - The company's stock has recently decreased by 2.4%, with a current market capitalization of £239.90 million and a price-to-earnings ratio of 9.77 [2] - The stock's performance includes a 50-day simple moving average of GBX 325.41 and a 200-day simple moving average of GBX 355.74 [2][3] Group 2 - Ashtead Technology Holdings Plc specializes in subsea equipment rental solutions for the offshore energy sector across Europe, the Americas, Asia-Pacific, and the Middle East [4] - The company offers a range of survey and robotics equipment, including geophysical, hydrographic, and environmental products, as well as mechanical solutions like subsea cutting and cleaning [4] - The company's financial ratios include a quick ratio of 1.46, a current ratio of 1.82, and a debt-to-equity ratio of 70.83 [2][3]

Core Viewpoint - Zscaler Inc's stock has reached its lowest level since April, currently trading at $226.95, but is projected to see a 25.9% increase by 2025, with a supportive trendline potentially boosting its performance in 2026 [1] Group 1: Stock Performance - The stock is currently down 0.2% and is within 3% of its 24-month moving average, having closed above this trendline for the past five months [2] - Historical data indicates that when the stock has been within 3% of its 24-month moving average, it has increased one month later 69% of the time, with an average gain of 7.2% [2] - Three months following this signal, the stock has averaged a larger gain of 19.8%, with 67% of those returns being positive [2] Group 2: Options Market Sentiment - At major options exchanges, Zscaler's 50-day put/call volume is higher than 95% of readings from the past year, indicating a potential unwinding of pessimism that could benefit the stock [4] - The Schaeffer's Volatility Index (SVI) for Zscaler is at 28%, which is at the lower end of annual readings, suggesting that options traders are currently pricing in low volatility expectations [4]

Core Viewpoint - RTX Corp (RTX) presents an attractive entry point for options traders as the stock has recently pulled back from its record high, currently trading at $171.59 after a 1.9% increase [1] Group 1: Stock Performance and Technical Analysis - The stock is currently within 0.75 of the 80-day moving average's 20-day average true range (ATR), having remained above this level 80% of the time in the past two weeks and 80% of the last 42 trading sessions [2] - Historical data shows that similar signals have occurred seven times in the past decade, with the stock being higher one month later 71% of the time, averaging a 4.1% gain [2] - A potential move could see the stock reach $178.52, close to its all-time peak, and the stock has gained 48% since the beginning of the year [4] Group 2: Market Sentiment and Indicators - During the recent pullback, RTX has remained within a channel of higher highs established since May, indicating resilience [4] - The 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) of 32 is near "oversold" territory, which could favor bullish sentiment [4] Group 3: Strategic Developments - RTX has secured a strategic collaboration with Amazon Web Services (AWS), suggesting that the company's lucrative backlogs are expected to improve through 2026 [5]

Core Viewpoint - The analysis indicates potential upside targets for crude oil based on the ABCD pattern and key resistance levels, suggesting a bullish outlook if certain price levels are maintained or exceeded [1][2][5]. Upside Targets - The ABCD pattern suggests an initial potential upside target of $65.17, supported by key dynamic resistance indicators including two trendlines and the 50-day moving average [1]. - The 200-day moving average at $65.42 is identified as an initial topside target, with resistance likely on the next approach [2]. Breakout Path - A sustained rally above $63.03 would indicate that buyers have regained control, allowing crude oil to potentially rise above the 50-day average currently at $62.16 [2]. - Holding above the $59.96 swing low for six days, confirmed by two moving averages, adds significance to this level [2]. Trigger Levels - Advancing above today's high of $60.20 would signal strength, with confirmation needed above Monday's high and the top of the five-day range at $61.78 [3]. - A rally above $63.03 would exceed the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement, positioning crude oil for a potential breakout of two falling trendlines [3]. Downside Risks - The bullish scenario could weaken if prices drop below $59.96, unless a quick recovery occurs [4]. - The 50% retracement at $59.72 serves as potential support, with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement becoming a downside target if this level fails [4]. Outlook - A rally above $61.78 is crucial for exiting near-term consolidation, with a further rally above $63.03 needed to confirm strength and higher price potential [5]. - Today's market action supports the ongoing rally, provided that key support levels are maintained [5].

Core Insights - Affirm is currently trading at $73.28, showing a slight increase of 0.5% and is attempting to maintain its breakeven level for the quarter [1] - The stock has faced resistance at the $80 level but has found support around the $70 mark, indicating potential for a breakout [1] - A bullish signal suggests that a breakout could be imminent for Affirm's stock [1] Technical Analysis - Affirm's stock is within 0.75 of the 100-day moving average's 20-day average true range (ATR), having spent over 80% of the last 10 days and two months above this level [2] - Historical data shows that similar conditions have led to a 60% chance of the stock being higher one month later, with an average gain of 20.5%, which could push the stock above $88 [2] Market Sentiment - There has been a notable increase in put options, with a 50-day put/call volume ratio of 1.28, ranking higher than 99% of readings from the past year, indicating bearish sentiment [4] - If this bearish sentiment begins to reverse, it could provide positive momentum for Affirm's shares [4] Short Interest - Short interest in Affirm has decreased by 8.9% over the last two reporting periods, accounting for 5.8% of the stock's total float [5] - The current short interest indicates that it would take more than two days for short sellers to cover their positions [5]

Katie Stockton, Fair Lead Strategies founder and managing partner and a CNBC contributor. You're just the person I could ask. Um, have you compiled statistics on people correctly calling bubbles.And is it above 0% for for people being right at least immediately. It's never happened in the history of the world, has it. >> It's like a bubble of people calling bubbles, right.And >> that's right. It is. which means it isn't which means it's not going to pop anytime soon probably right >> but it does feel like a ...

Core Viewpoint - Chewy (CHWY) stock experienced a significant decline of over 20% after reaching a two-year high of $48.62 on June 6, primarily due to an 11% drop following earnings on June 11, but is currently testing a historically bullish trendline [1] Group 1: Stock Performance - CHWY is trading within one standard deviation of its 80-day moving average, having closed above this trendline in eight of the last ten sessions [2] - Historical data indicates that similar signals have led to a 78% chance of CHWY being higher one month later, with an average gain of 10.9% [3] - From its current price of $38.68, a similar gain would eliminate its 9.3% quarter-to-date deficit and extend its 15.4% year-to-date lead [3] Group 2: Technical Indicators - CHWY's 14-Day Relative Strength Index (RSI) is around 33, indicating it is in "oversold" territory, which has historically preceded rallies [3] - The stock is experiencing a potential short squeeze, with short interest up 7.7% and 15.51 million shares sold short, accounting for 7.3% of the total float [5] Group 3: Options Market Sentiment - The 10-day put/call volume ratio for CHWY is 0.68, indicating a higher level of pessimism among options traders compared to the past year [6] - Options are currently affordably priced, with a Schaeffer's Volatility Index (SVI) of 38% in the low 7th percentile of its annual range, suggesting a potential premium-selling strategy [7]

Core Viewpoint - Kroger Co has shown a steady upward trend in its stock price over the past year, with recent technical support preventing significant losses after a record high of $73.63 on April 22 [1] Group 1: Stock Performance - The stock recently rebounded from $66, which aligns with its ascending 100-day moving average [2] - For the first time in at least eight of the last ten trading days, the shares are within one standard deviation of their 80-day moving average, after spending at least 75% of the last six months above it [2] - Historical data indicates that after similar signals in the past three years, the stock was higher one month later 55% of the time, with an average gain of 3.7% [2] Group 2: Market Sentiment - An upward movement in Kroger's stock may be supported by a potential unwinding of short interest, with 6.1% of the stock's float sold short [4] - It would take shorts nearly five days to cover their positions at the equity's average trading pace [4] - Among 20 analysts covering the stock, 11 have a "strong buy" rating, while nine maintain a "hold" rating, indicating room for potential upgrades [4]