Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE)

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Stock Market Today: Stocks jump after PCE inflation, Consumer Sentiment reports within expectationss
Yahoo Finance· 2025-09-26 14:51
This live blog is refreshed periodically throughout the day with the latest updates from the market. To find the latest Stock Market Today threads, click here. Happy Friday. This is TheStreet's Stock Market Today for Sept. 26, 2025. You can follow the latest updates on the market here in our daily live blog. Update: 10:08 a.m. ET Data Drop: Consumer Sentiment The UM Consumer Sentiment survey just dropped for the month of August, coming in at 55.1, just shy of the 55.4 estimate. At the same time, expecta ...
Market Indexes Stay Lower 2nd Straight Day, PCE On Deck
ZACKS· 2025-09-25 23:21
Market Performance - The blue-chip Dow index closed down 173 points, a decrease of 0.38% for the day [2] - The S&P 500 fell by 33 points, or 0.50%, while the Nasdaq also dropped by 0.50%, losing 113 points [2] - The small-cap Russell 2000 decreased by 25 points, representing a decline of 1.05% [2] - Bond yields are rising, with the 10-year yield at 4.17% and the 2-year yield at 3.66% [2] Economic Indicators - Existing Home Sales surged by 20.5% in August, totaling 4.00 million seasonally adjusted annualized units, slightly below expectations of 4.01 million but above the consensus estimate of 3.96 million [3] - The Midwest region experienced the largest gains in home sales, although the median home price there is 22% lower than the national median [3] Company Earnings - Costco reported fiscal Q4 earnings of $5.87 per share, exceeding the Zacks consensus of $5.81, but revenues were slightly below expectations at $86.16 billion compared to the anticipated $86.18 billion [4] - This marks the third earnings beat for Costco in the last four quarters, yet shares are down slightly in late trading, with a year-to-date increase of around 3% [4] Upcoming Economic Data - The Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) report is anticipated to impact the stock market, with the August data set to be released before the market opens on Friday [5] - Personal Income is expected to cool to 0.3% in August from 0.4% the previous month, while Personal Spending is projected to remain steady at 0.5% [6] - The PCE Index is forecasted to increase by 0.3% month over month for the headline and 0.2% for the core, with year-over-year PCE expected to rise by 10 basis points to 2.7% [6][7]
PCE Numbers In-Line, Pre-Market Fighting Off Lows
ZACKS· 2025-08-29 15:31
Economic Overview - Pre-market futures are improving following the release of major economic numbers, despite a drawback in EU markets due to rising unemployment and inflation in Germany [1] - U.S. indexes are experiencing volatility, with the small-cap Russell 2000 showing gains while other major indexes remain in the red [1] PCE and Inflation Metrics - July Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) figures were in-line with expectations, indicating no hindrance to the anticipated 25 basis point rate cut for the September Fed meeting [2] - Personal Income for July increased by 0.4%, the strongest since April, while Personal Spending rose by 0.5%, marking the highest increase since March [3] - The headline PCE Index showed a month-over-month increase of 0.2%, the lowest since May, with a year-over-year increase of 2.6%, consistent with the previous month [4] - Core PCE, excluding food and energy, increased by 0.3% month-over-month and 2.9% year-over-year, indicating stability in inflation metrics [5] Employment and Economic Indicators - Fed Chair Jerome Powell's focus has shifted from inflation to employment concerns, with July's non-farm payrolls showing an increase of 73K, which is below the previous four-month average of 54K [8] - A significant upward revision in PCE would be necessary to alter the current outlook, as weakening employment is influencing the decision for a rate cut [9] Trade and Inventory Data - Advanced Trade in Goods for July reported a deficit of $103 billion, which was more than $10 billion lower than anticipated [10] - Advanced Retail Inventories and Wholesale Inventories both reported a month-over-month increase of 0.2%, indicating stable inventory levels [11] Market Expectations - The upcoming week will feature new jobs reports, including July JOLTS numbers and private-sector payrolls from ADP, leading up to the significant BLS non-farm payrolls report [12]
Markets Close in the Red, but Off Session Lows
ZACKS· 2025-08-21 23:16
Market Overview - Major indexes closed mostly in the red, with the Dow down 157 points, S&P 500 down 24 points, and Nasdaq down 90 points, while the small-cap Russell 2000 gained 4 points [1] Economic Indicators - S&P flash Manufacturing PMI for August reached 53.3, significantly above the anticipated 49.5 and July's 49.8, marking a more than 3-year high [2] - August Services PMI was reported at 55.4, the second consecutive month above 55 this year [2] Company Earnings Reports - **Zoom Communications (ZM)**: Shares rose 6% after Q2 earnings beat expectations by 10% at $1.53 per share, with revenues of $1.217 billion, a 4.7% year-over-year growth, and non-GAAP operating margins at 41.3% [3] - **Intuit (INTU)**: Shares fell 5% despite beating fiscal Q4 earnings expectations by 10 cents at $2.75 per share, with revenues of $3.8 billion, a 20% year-over-year increase, attributed to lackluster guidance for the current quarter [4] - **Ross Stores (ROST)**: Shares increased by 2.3% after Q2 earnings of $1.56 per share exceeded consensus by 4 cents, with revenues of $5.5 billion, a 5% year-over-year growth, and expected comps of 2-3% going forward [5] Upcoming Events - Fed Chair Jerome Powell's address at the Economic Symposium in Jackson Hole, WY, is anticipated to provide insights on interest rate decisions for the September meeting [6] - Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) data is due out a week from Friday, with the last report showing year-over-year PCE at 2.6% and core PCE at 2.8% [7]
Steady PCE, Higher Pending Home Sales, Help Bolster Hump Day Trading
ZACKS· 2025-04-30 23:01
Economic Indicators - March Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) showed a month-over-month change of 0.0%, which was -30 basis points below the previous month, while year-over-year PCE reached +2.3%, slightly above expectations but down 40 basis points from +2.7% in February [2] - Core PCE, excluding food and energy, also reported a month-over-month change of 0.0%, down from +0.1% projected and +0.4% reported a month ago, with a year-over-year figure of +2.6%, down from +3.0% the prior month [3] Housing Market - Pending Home Sales increased by +6.1% in March, surpassing the +1% expected and the upwardly revised +2.1% for February, marking the highest level since September of the previous year [4] - The South region led the increase with +9.8%, followed by the Midwest at +4.9% and the West at +4.8%, while the Northeast experienced a decline of -0.5% [5] Company Earnings - Meta Platforms reported Q1 earnings of $6.43 per share, exceeding the expected $5.22, with revenues of $42.31 billion surpassing the $41.22 billion estimate, and Daily Active People grew +6% year over year to 3.43 billion [6] - Microsoft reported Q1 earnings of $3.46 billion, beating the $3.20 billion estimate, with revenues of $70.1 billion exceeding the projected $68.4 billion, and Azure cloud sales increased by +20% to $42.4 billion [7] - Qualcomm's fiscal Q2 earnings were $2.85 per share, beating estimates by 3 cents, with revenues of $10.83 billion surpassing the $10.67 billion consensus, although a lower revenue guide for Q3 led to a -6.3% decline in after-market shares [8]