I know that yesterday you were saying you're pretty positive for this week for the near term around stocks. So were you surprised it. Are you surprised at global stock resilience.I know you US stocks fell briefly yesterday or fell yesterday into the close. But we have seen a sort of resilience through the Asia session. Is there anything about that that surprises you.I think even though I was bullish this week, I was slightly surprised by how quickly Korean stocks really surged today. Japanese stocks held up ...

3 July 2025 | 11:09AM EDT Global Economics Comment: A Surprisingly Small Uncertainty Drag (Briggs/Dong) A Surprisingly Small Uncertainty Drag Trade policy uncertainty rose in most countries after President Trump's election victory (and spiked sharply following Liberation Day on April 2), exceeding levels observed during the 2018-19 trade war. While uncertainty indices remain high Investors should consider this report as only a single factor in making their investment decision. For Reg AC certification and o ...

Key Takeaways FIX saw 37% of Q1 2025 revenue from advanced tech builds, exposing it to tariff-driven cost pressures. Project pricing is mostly locked in early, and supplier hikes have stayed within typical ranges so far. FIX's $6.9B backlog reflects strong demand in tech and institutional markets into 2026.As tariff headlines rattle the construction and tech sectors, Comfort Systems USA (FIX) finds itself at the intersection of both. With 37% of its first-quarter 2025 revenue tied to advanced tech project ...

Markets Rally as Powell and Policy Uncertainty Loom - Bloomberg Surveillance https://t.co/2kiA5jo82E ...

23 June 2025 | 7:07AM EDT US Economics Analyst Salvaging the Soft Data: How Companies Say They Are Responding to Tariffs (Walker / Mericle) Jan Hatzius +1(212)902-0394 | jan.hatzius@gs.com Goldman Sachs & Co. LLC Alec Phillips +1(202)637-3746 | alec.phillips@gs.com Goldman Sachs & Co. LLC David Mericle +1(212)357-2619 | david.mericle@gs.com Goldman Sachs & Co. LLC Ronnie Walker +1(917)343-4543 | ronnie.walker@gs.com Goldman Sachs & Co. LLC Manuel Abecasis +1(212)902-8357 | manuel.abecasis@gs.com Goldman Sac ...

全球经济增长受贸易壁垒上升、政策不确定性加剧等因素影响显著放缓，2025年增速预计降至2.3%，为2008年以来最低（除全球衰退年份）。新兴市场和 发展中经济体（EMDEs）增长乏力，缩小与发达经济体人均收入差距的进程受阻，贫困 reduction 进程缓慢。各区域经济前景分化， downside risks突出，需 全球合作与结构性改革应对。 全球经济展望 - 增长放缓：2025年全球GDP增速2.3%，2026-2027年温和回升至2.5%。发达经济体增速降至1.2%，美国、欧元区受贸易政策冲击显著。EMDEs增速3.8%， 中国增速4.5%，印度6.3%，但多数国家增长低于预期。 - 贸易与通胀：全球贸易增速2025年降至1.8%，商品价格下跌10%，能源价格受OPEC+增产和需求疲软影响显著。全球通胀2025年预计2.9%，核心通胀因服 务价格压力持续高企。 - 金融市场：全球金融条件收紧，EMDEs资本外流、汇率贬值压力加大，主权债利差扩大，但短期波动后部分恢复。 区域经济前景 主要风险与政策建议 - 风险挑战：贸易壁垒进一步升级、全球金融条件收紧、地缘政治冲突加剧、极端天气频发、新兴市场债务危机。 ...

Core Viewpoint - Archer Daniels Midland Company (ADM) is facing significant challenges due to a dynamic market landscape, weak conditions, tariffs, and trade policy uncertainty, particularly in its Ag Services and Oilseeds unit [1][4]. Financial Performance - ADM's shares have declined by 19% over the past year, underperforming the Consumer Staples sector's increase of 5.9% and the S&P 500 index's increase of 10.7% [2]. - The stock's decline is more pronounced than the Agriculture - Operations industry's dip of 1.8% [2]. Segment Performance - The Ag Services and Oilseeds segment is experiencing headwinds from market dislocations, increased cost inflation, and lower margins in the Crushing subsegment due to elevated industry capacity and competitive meal exports from Argentina [4]. - In the Refined Products and Other segment, biodiesel margins are negatively impacted by biofuel and trade policy uncertainty, weak oil demand, and higher crush capacity [5]. Market Challenges - Ongoing price weakness in main feed ration commodities and compliance with evolving regulations are significant deterrents for the company [6]. - Management has noted signs of weakening customer demand, particularly in carb solutions, leading to reduced volume expectations for certain markets and products [7]. Earnings Outlook - Management has not provided a segment operating profit outlook for future quarters due to tariff policy uncertainty and macroeconomic conditions [8]. - For 2025, adjusted earnings per share are projected to be between $4 and $4.75, with expectations leaning towards the lower end [8]. - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for 2025 EPS has decreased by 4% to $4.07, and for 2026, it has dropped by 4.6% to $4.61 [9]. Strategic Initiatives - Despite current challenges, ADM is implementing strategies to return to growth by managing productivity, innovation, and aligning with trends in food security and health [11]. - The company is focusing on strengthening internal controls, improving operational performance, and simplifying its portfolio to enhance core competencies [11].

21 May 2025 | 10:11PM IST Goldman Sachs Asia in Focus India: Towards a better growth-inflation balance Santanu Sengupta +91(22)6616-9042 | santanu.sengupta@gs.com Goldman Sachs India SPL Arjun Varma +91(22)6616-9043 | arjun.varma@gs.com Goldman Sachs India SPL Andrew Tilton +852-2978-1802 | andrew.tilton@gs.com Goldman Sachs (Asia) L.L.C. Investors should consider this report as only a single factor in making their investment decision. For Reg AC certification and other important disclosures, see the Disclo ...

Capital Southwest (CSWC) Q4 2025 Earnings Call May 15, 2025 11:00 AM ET Company Participants Amy Baker - EVP - AccountingMichael Sarner - President & CEOJosh Weinstein - Senior MD & Chief Investment OfficerChris Rehberger - CFO, Treasure & SecretaryMickey Schleien - MD - Equity ResearchErik Zwick - Managing Director, Equity ResearchRobert Dodd - Director - Finance Conference Call Participants Cory Johnson - Associate Analyst Operator Thank you for joining today's Capital Southwest Fourth Quarter Fiscal Year ...

Primoris Services (PRIM) Q1 2025 Earnings Call May 06, 2025 10:00 AM ET Speaker0 Thank you for standing by. My name is Kate, and I will be your conference operator today. At this time, I would like to welcome everyone to the Primoris Services Corporation First Quarter twenty twenty five Earnings Conference Call and Webcast. All lines have been placed on mute to prevent any background noise. After the speakers' remarks, there will be a question and answer session. Thank you. I would now like to turn the call ...