Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Consolidated net sales for Q2 2025 grew 8% year over year to $541 million, driven by strong volume growth from increased customer demand, particularly in the light duty business [6][19] - Adjusted operating margin for Q2 2025 was 16.3%, a 70 basis point increase over the previous year [7][20] - Adjusted diluted EPS for the quarter was $2.06, reflecting a 23% year over year increase [20] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Light Duty business net sales increased 10% year over year in Q2, with segment operating margin rising to 18.5%, a 140 basis point improvement [21][22] - Heavy Duty segment achieved 1% net sales growth despite market pressures, with a slight positive operating margin of 80 basis points [23] - Specialty Vehicle segment saw a 3% decline in net sales compared to the previous year, but maintained strong engagement in UTV and ATV ridership [25] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - Vehicle miles traveled increased year over year, and the average age of light duty vehicles rose to 12.8 years, contributing to strong volume growth [9] - Market conditions in the trucking and freight industry remained soft, impacting the Heavy Duty segment [23] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focusing on diversifying its supplier base and implementing cost-saving measures to mitigate tariff impacts [12][13] - Long-term investments in product development and productivity initiatives are expected to drive sales growth and margin expansion [10][24] - The company aims to leverage its asset-light model and diversified supply chain as competitive advantages [9] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed cautious optimism about the future, citing strong performance in the first half of 2025 and an improved outlook for the remainder of the year [14][30] - The company anticipates net sales growth in the range of 7% to 9% for 2025, an increase from previous guidance [14] - Adjusted diluted EPS guidance was raised to a range of $8.6 to $8.9, reflecting strong performance and pricing strategies [16] Other Important Information - Operating cash flow in Q2 was $9 million, significantly impacted by higher tariff costs and increased inventory investments [27] - The company paused share repurchases to preserve cash amid market uncertainty [27][28] - Total liquidity at the end of the quarter was $656 million, up from $642 million at the end of 2024 [29] Q&A Session Summary Question: What are the incremental margins for every dollar of sales recovery in the heavy duty segment? - Management indicated that the heavy duty business is more manufacturing-weighted, and they expect mid-teen operating profit levels when normalized [34] Question: What is the impact of tariffs by segment? - Management noted that the light duty segment has less exposure due to a diversified supply chain, while heavy duty has a modest impact from tariffs [35][36] Question: Can you elaborate on light duty customer POS and inventory? - Management stated that sell-out was low single digits, but inventory levels were in line with historical data, with no significant pre-buying ahead of tariffs [40][41] Question: What initiatives are driving margin growth in light duty? - Management highlighted supply chain diversification, productivity improvements, and a focus on new products as key drivers of margin growth [52][54] Question: What is the capital allocation strategy? - The company aims to manage debt, invest internally for returns, pursue strategic M&A, and opportunistically repurchase shares [56]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Depletions in the second quarter decreased by 5%, while shipments decreased by only 0.8% compared to the previous year, primarily driven by declines in the Truly Hard Seltzer and Sam Adams brands [30] - Revenue for the quarter increased by 1.5% due to increased pricing and favorable product mix, partially offset by lower volumes [31] - Gross margin for the second quarter was 49.8%, an increase of 380 basis points year over year, benefiting from improved brewery efficiencies and price increases [31] - Earnings per share (EPS) was reported at $5.45, a 24.1% increase compared to the prior year [32] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Twisted Tea held share in the overall FMB category, with dollar sales declining by 4% in measured channels last quarter [15] - Sun Cruiser has quickly grown to a 4% share of the RTD spirits category and continues to grow volumes week over week as distribution expands [20] - Dogfish Head grew depletions in the second quarter for the first time in many years, driven by the successful launch of Grateful Dead juicy pale ale [25] - Angry Orchard returned to growth in depletions, driven by increased investment and new sponsorships [26] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The overall beer industry is estimated to be down over 4%, while the company gained share [8] - The hard seltzer category declined by 7% in dollars in the second quarter as consumer preferences shift towards more premium RTD spirits [22] - The Hispanic consumer segment has been under pressure, impacting overall volume performance [14] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focusing on long-term growth opportunities in the Beyond Beer category, which represents over 85% of its volume [7] - Continued investment in brand support and innovation is emphasized, particularly for Sun Cruiser and Twisted Tea [10][19] - The company is committed to a disciplined approach to investments, only pursuing clear opportunities [10] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - The management acknowledges a challenging macroeconomic environment, with factors such as economic uncertainty and poor weather negatively impacting consumer demand [6][7] - Despite near-term challenges, the management remains confident in the company's strategies and innovation pipeline to create long-term value for shareholders [11][28] - The company has updated its volume guidance to reflect a more dynamic industry environment, expecting volume to be down in the high single digits to low single digits for the year [33] Other Important Information - The company generated over $125 million in operating cash flow in the first half, enabling investments in brands and cash returns to shareholders [9] - The company ended the quarter with a cash balance of $212.4 million and an unused credit line of $150 million, providing flexibility for future investments [40] Q&A Session Summary Question: Update on business performance and Twisted Tea's decline - Management acknowledged a slow start to summer and noted that the industry is down 4-5%, but the company has gained volume and dollar share [46] - The decline in Twisted Tea is partially attributed to competition from the vodka tea category, but management believes the brand can recover as the market normalizes [49][51] Question: Clarification on updated guidance and depletion trends - Management explained that the updated guidance reflects softer depletion trends in Q2, leading to a wider range for future expectations [56][58] Question: Long-term growth potential for Sun Cruiser - Management expressed confidence in Sun Cruiser's growth potential, emphasizing a measured approach to its rollout and strong consumer reception [66][70] Question: Impact of tariffs on financial outlook - Management discussed the complexities of tariff impacts, noting adjustments based on supplier negotiations and changes in aluminum pricing [72][76] Question: Future gross margin potential - Management indicated that while current margins are strong, future performance will depend on tariff impacts and volume recovery [82][83] Question: Strategic actions in response to industry challenges - Management acknowledged the need for potential strategic actions in the industry due to ongoing structural headwinds [104]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Depletions in Q2 2025 decreased by 5%, while shipments decreased by only 0.8% compared to the previous year, primarily due to declines in Truly Hard Seltzer and Sam Adams brands, partially offset by growth in Sun Cruiser and Dogfish Head brands [28] - Revenue for the quarter increased by 1.5% due to increased pricing and favorable product mix, despite lower volumes [29] - Gross margin for Q2 was 49.8%, an increase of 380 basis points year over year, benefiting from improved brewery efficiencies and procurement savings [29] - EPS for Q2 was $5.45, a 24.1% increase compared to the prior year, driven by higher gross margins and lower share count [30] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Twisted Tea held share in the FMB category, with dollar sales declining by 4% in measured channels last quarter, while Sun Cruiser has quickly grown to a 4% share of the RTD spirits category [15][19] - Dogfish Head saw growth in depletions for the first time in years, driven by the successful launch of Grateful Dead juicy pale ale [23] - Angry Orchard returned to growth in depletions, supported by increased investment and new sponsorships [24] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The overall beer industry is estimated to be down over 4%, while the company's depletions were down only 3% in the first half of the year [8] - The hard seltzer category declined by 7% in dollars in Q2, indicating a shift in consumer preferences towards more premium RTD spirits [21] - Economic uncertainty and household budget tightening are negatively impacting consumer demand across the beer industry [7] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focusing on long-term growth opportunities in the Beyond Beer category, which represents over 85% of its volume [7] - A culture of innovation has been built over 40 years, allowing the company to quickly adapt to consumer demand [7] - Increased brand investments are planned to support the national launch of Sun Cruiser and ensure the full portfolio is well-positioned for future industry improvements [10] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - The management acknowledges a challenging macroeconomic environment, with factors such as economic uncertainty and poor weather impacting consumer demand [6][7] - Despite near-term challenges, the company remains confident in its strategies and team, focusing on brand investments and productivity initiatives [11] - The company expects shipment declines in the second half of the year as shipments rebalance in line with depletion trends [10] Other Important Information - The company generated over $125 million in operating cash flow in the first half of the year, enabling investments in brands and cash returns to shareholders [9] - The company has lowered its capital expenditure guidance for 2025 to between $70 million and $90 million, focusing on productivity programs [38] Q&A Session Summary Question: Update on business rate and Twisted Tea vs. Sun Cruiser - Management noted that the start of summer was slow, with industry depletions down 4-5%, but the company gained volume and dollar share [42][44] - Twisted Tea is experiencing a decline, but Sun Cruiser is expected to offset some of that loss as it attracts new consumers [47][48] Question: Clarification on updated guidance and depletion trends - The company widened its depletion guidance range due to the unpredictable market environment and softer Q2 depletions [94][96] - Management indicated that Twisted Tea is not expected to grow low single digits this year, with a decline anticipated instead [95] Question: Strategic actions in response to industry challenges - The company is exploring opportunities outside of alcohol but has not found attractive options yet [108] - Management is open to innovation and strategic moves but does not foresee immediate M&A actions [108] Question: Future gross margin potential - Management expressed confidence in maintaining high gross margins despite tariff headwinds and volume reductions [80][81] - The company is benefiting from a favorable product mix, particularly from Sun Cruiser [81] Question: Twisted Tea's long-term prospects - Management remains optimistic about Twisted Tea's long-term potential, despite recent challenges, and plans to continue strong support for the brand [90]

Core Insights - PepsiCo, Inc. is anticipated to report declines in both revenue and earnings for the second quarter of 2025, with revenues expected at $22.4 billion, reflecting a 0.5% year-over-year decrease, and earnings per share (EPS) projected at $2.04, indicating a 10.5% decline from the previous year [1][2][10] Financial Performance - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for second-quarter revenues is $22.4 billion, down 0.5% from the same quarter last year [2] - The consensus estimate for quarterly earnings is $2.04, suggesting a 10.5% decline from the $2.28 reported in the prior-year quarter [2] - The company experienced a negative earnings surprise of 1.3% in the last reported quarter, with an average earnings surprise of 1.4% over the trailing four quarters [2] Operational Challenges - PepsiCo is facing multiple headwinds, particularly in its North America operations, which have been struggling since early 2024 due to underwhelming results in the PepsiCo Foods North America (PFNA) segment and a decline in Asia Pacific Foods [5][10] - The weakness in the PFNA segment is largely attributed to reduced demand for Frito-Lay products as consumers become more inflation-conscious and cut back on discretionary spending [6][7] - Consumer sentiment remains cautious, with inflationary pressures leading to more value-driven purchasing behavior, particularly in North America [7] Cost Environment - The company is contending with a challenging cost environment in 2025, driven by rising supply-chain expenses and increased tariffs on globally sourced inputs [8][9] - Incremental cost pressures related to sourcing key ingredients and materials are exacerbated by shifting international trade dynamics [8] - The combination of escalating global logistics costs and geopolitical uncertainty is disrupting pricing and procurement strategies, potentially eroding margins [9] Profitability Outlook - PepsiCo's second-quarter results are expected to reflect margin pressure due to the timing and phasing of productivity initiatives, with adjusted gross profit anticipated to decline by 0.8% year-over-year and adjusted operating income expected to fall by 9.6% [11][12] - Despite ongoing cost discipline, the company's core profitability appears temporarily constrained due to elevated supply-chain costs and tariff-related headwinds [11] Growth Drivers - PepsiCo benefits from a strong core product portfolio, diversified operations, modernized supply chain, and enhanced digital capabilities, with its international business contributing approximately 40% to total net revenues [13] - The International Beverages Franchise segment is projected to see a 2% year-over-year revenue improvement in the second quarter of 2025 [14] - The company aims to achieve productivity goals through savings from restructuring actions, which are expected to drive top-line growth and improve margins [14] Stock Performance and Valuation - PepsiCo shares have underperformed in the past three months, losing 7.3%, compared to a 5.2% decline in the broader industry and a 1.1% decline in the Consumer Staples sector [15] - The stock is currently trading at a forward P/E ratio of 16.83X, which is below the S&P 500's average of 22.64X and the broader industry's average of 18X [20] - The valuation on a forward 12-month P/E basis reflects a significant discount to the market, although this may indicate underlying issues rather than a clear investment opportunity [22] Investment Outlook - Despite consistent revenue growth and strong profitability driven by a diverse product portfolio, external risks such as inflationary pressures and operational challenges in North America warrant a cautious investment outlook [23][24] - The company’s strong international momentum, investments in digital transformation, and product innovation may serve as meaningful tailwinds [26] - A wait-and-watch approach may be prudent as investors assess how the company navigates current challenges and leverages growth drivers post-earnings [27]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Fiscal third quarter sales were $971 million, a decline of 0.8% year over year, with lower volumes offset by price benefits of 80 basis points and acquisitions contributing 60 basis points [21][22] - Average daily sales improved 7% quarter over quarter, exceeding historical sequential averages [21][22] - Reported operating margin for the quarter was 8.5%, down from 10.9% in the prior year, while adjusted operating margin was 9%, declining 240 basis points year over year [26][29] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Core customer daily sales declined 0.8% year over year, while public sector sales improved 2.4% [22][24] - Average daily sales through vending increased approximately 8% year over year, representing about 19% of total company net sales [24] - Sales to customers with an implant program grew 10% year over year, also representing approximately 19% of total company net sales [24] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - Conditions in primary end markets remain subdued, particularly in automotive and fabricated metals, while aerospace shows continued growth [12][13] - Customer sentiment readings returned to negative numbers in April and May, reflecting caution around tariffs and general uncertainty [12][13] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focused on three critical areas: reenergizing the core customer, maintaining momentum in high-touch solutions, and optimizing cost to serve [6][8] - The company is implementing a sales optimization initiative and productivity efforts to lower costs [5][15] - The company aims to deliver $10 million to $15 million in annualized savings by fiscal year 2026 through network optimization initiatives [19][20] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in the opportunity ahead despite macroeconomic challenges, noting an improvement in performance against the overall IP index [13] - The outlook for the fiscal fourth quarter anticipates average daily sales to be down 0.5% to up 1.5% compared to the prior year, reflecting cautious demand as tariff deadlines approach [28][29] Other Important Information - The company added a new Senior Vice President and Chief Information Officer to enhance its technology leadership team [10] - Free cash flow conversion for the fiscal third quarter was approximately 134% [27] Q&A Session Summary Question: Price outlook for Q4 and next year - Management indicated that recent price increases would likely lead to a low single-digit increase in pricing, with ongoing inflationary pressures from suppliers [36][37] Question: Fourth quarter margin outlook - Management noted expectations for a flat to down 50 basis points sequential decline in operating margins, driven by better gross margin performance [42][44] Question: Supplier price increases - Discussions with suppliers are ongoing and fluid, with general inflationary pressures being observed [52][54] Question: Average daily sales trends - Management attributed recent sales improvements to macro factors and ongoing initiatives, with pricing not being a major variable in recent months [68][70] Question: Core accounts marketing efforts - Marketing efforts are in full swing, with a focus on enhancing customer experience and increasing traffic to the website [71][72] Question: Trends through June - Sales trends in June were described as fairly consistent throughout the month [93]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Consolidated sales decreased by 29% to $121.7 million compared to the prior year period [23] - Adjusted EBITDA decreased by 46% to $21.8 million, primarily due to lower gross profits [26] - Adjusted earnings per common share decreased to $0.36 per share, while operating cash flows increased by nearly 82% to $44.7 million [8][27] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Branded Spirits segment sales declined by 4%, but the Premium Plus portfolio posted a solid growth of 7% [23][9] - Distilling Solutions segment sales declined by 45%, driven by a 49% decline in brown goods sales [23] - Ingredient Solutions sales decreased by 26%, impacted by supply challenges and decreased sales volume of specialty wheat starches [24] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The overall American whiskey category is responding to the current environment with deeper production cuts, with total whiskey production down 4% for the full year [15][16] - The company expects net whiskey put away to be down materially in 2025 compared to 2024, reflecting a decision to right-size excess inventory [14] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focusing on fewer but more attractive growth opportunities within its Branded Spirits portfolio [9] - Key initiatives include stabilizing the brown goods business, repositioning branded spirits for growth, and enhancing productivity [5][6] - The company is taking proactive actions to strengthen partnerships with customers in the Distilling Solutions segment [12][13] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in the proactive steps taken to stabilize the business and improve performance throughout the year [6] - The company reaffirmed its 2025 guidance, expecting net sales in the range of $520 million to $540 million [21] - Management noted that while industry-wide barrel whiskey inventories remain elevated, early signs of stabilization are encouraging [6][31] Other Important Information - The company has made substantial progress in fortifying its balance sheet, including upsizing its credit facility and extending its private placement shelf [20][28] - The board of directors is taking steps to strengthen its ranks in anticipation of the next chapter of growth [31] Q&A Session Summary Question: Visibility into the outlook for Distilling Solutions - Management confirmed that discussions with 100% of contracted customers have led to modifications in volume and pricing, providing greater visibility for 2025 [35][36] Question: Outlook for the Distilling Solutions segment and margin expectations - Management expects sales for the Distilling Solutions segment to be down 50% for the year, with gross profit down 65% [41] Question: Quantification of new distillate negotiations and branded spirits stabilization - Management indicated that they expect to conclude negotiations with the remaining 25% of customers soon and are implementing price support for mid and value brands [47][49] Question: Optimism for Ingredient Solutions despite challenges - Management highlighted ongoing operational improvements and key projects that are expected to enhance performance in the second half of the year [51][54] Question: Impact of anticipated tariffs on customer demand - Management noted that there has been no significant pull forward in demand due to anticipated tariffs [79] Question: Performance of the Penelope brand - Management acknowledged that Penelope's performance exceeded expectations, leading to an increase in contingent liability on the balance sheet [68][84]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Average daily sales declined 4.7% year over year, with a sequential decline of 5.5% despite January and February outperforming historical trends [6][20] - Fiscal second quarter sales were $892 million, down 4.7% year over year [20] - Gross margin was 41%, a decline of 50 basis points year over year, while adjusted operating margin was 7.1%, down 340 basis points year over year [22][24] - GAAP earnings per share were $0.70 compared to $1.10 in the prior year quarter, and adjusted earnings per share were $0.72 compared to $1.18 in the prior year [25] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Public sector sales grew 13.2% year over year, while national accounts declined 5.4% and core and other customers declined 6.8% [20] - Average daily sales through vending programs were up 1% year over year, representing 18% of total company net sales [21] - Sales through implant programs also grew 1% year over year, accounting for approximately 18% of total company net sales [21] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The industrial production (IP) readings across most top manufacturing end markets continued to contract, impacting performance [12] - Customer sentiment and future outlook have shown improvement, with recent MBI readings hovering around 50 [12] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focused on improving execution and returning to growth despite a soft demand environment [6] - Key initiatives include enhancing the website for better customer experience, expanding the OEM product line, and maintaining momentum in high-touch solutions [8][11] - The company is navigating the tariff landscape with a playbook covering purchasing, pricing, assortment management, and productivity tools for customers [14][15] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed cautious optimism about future prospects, citing a solid long-term manufacturing outlook and improving execution [12][13] - The company is well-positioned to navigate uncertainties due to tariff impacts and inflation concerns [12][14] Other Important Information - The company repurchased approximately 158,000 shares during the quarter, returning approximately $60 million to shareholders [26] - Expectations for the fiscal third quarter include average daily sales down 2% to flat compared to the prior year [27] Q&A Session Summary Question: Thoughts on the back half of the fiscal year - Management indicated cautious optimism, not assuming significant further erosion in end markets, and focusing on share gain initiatives [32][33] Question: Details on price increases announced in March - The price increase was small, primarily covering items where the company is the importer of record, with an estimated half a point of price benefit [44][45] Question: Update on web enhancements and marketing initiatives - Progress is on track, with improvements in customer acquisition and website traffic noted [56][58] Question: Insights on individual end markets, particularly automotive and aerospace - Management noted continued improvement in heavy manufacturing end markets, with automotive remaining soft but aerospace showing a robust outlook [70][71] Question: Pricing dynamics and expectations for the third quarter - Management explained that pricing was affected by customer sector mix, with expectations for flat pricing in the third quarter due to various factors [75][76] Question: Digital KPIs and future sales expectations - Management reported improvements in conversion rates and average order value, indicating positive momentum for future sales [86][87] Question: Impact of export customers on demand - Management acknowledged the difficulty in sizing export exposure but noted that a decline in export demand would impact domestic performance [90][91]