Productivity Growth & Economic Outlook - Productivity surges tend to occur at the beginning of recoveries after recessions [2] - The fact that productivity has held up well during the rolling recession suggests a secular change in productivity growth [2] - The company anticipates productivity growth could reach 5% or more, sustained for a longer period [3] Technological Drivers - New technologies such as robotics, energy storage, AI, blockchain technology, and multiomic sequencing are expected to drive significant productivity gains [3] Correlation of Economic Indicators - GDP growth and productivity growth are typically highly correlated on a year-over-year basis [1]

Stablecoin Adoption & Market Impact - The stablecoin market is projected to reach trillions of dollars in adoption [1] - Stablecoin issuers are currently the 16th largest holders of US treasuries globally and are expected to become the largest, surpassing China and Japan [3] - Increased stablecoin adoption could significantly impact the US economy, especially concerning the national debt [4] Regulatory & Technological Advancements - The "Genius Act" is expected to pass, leading to a rapid implementation of tokenized dollars [2] - Each tokenized dollar issued will be backed by one dollar held in reserves, typically in US treasuries [3] - The current payment systems operate with outdated 20th-century technology, hindering efficiency [1] Efficiency & Productivity Gains - Stablecoins are expected to bring substantial efficiency gains and productivity growth to the macro environment [6] - Current payment mechanisms like Venmo can take 3-5 days for transactions to settle, highlighting the need for faster solutions [6] - Stablecoins facilitate productivity growth, moving beyond static wealth transfers [5]