Group 1 - Starboard has acquired an almost 5% stake in Fluor, which holds a majority stake in NuScale Power (SMR) [1] - SMR's stock price has decreased by 12.4% to $33.60, marking its fifth consecutive daily loss, despite an 89.6% gain projected for 2025 [1] - SMR reached a record high of $57.42 just last week [1] Group 2 - The recent pullback in SMR's stock price has positioned it near a historically bullish trendline, which may indicate potential for recovery [2] - The stock is currently within 0.75 average true range (ATR) of the 126-day moving average, having remained above this average 80% of the time in the past 10 and 42 trading days [2] - Historical data shows that after similar signals in the last 10 years, the stock was higher one week later 60% of the time, with an average gain of 0.7% [2] Group 3 - At the International Securities Exchange, Cboe Options Exchange, and NASDAQ OMX PHLX, SMR's 50-day put/call volume ratio of 3.66 is higher than 86% of annual readings, indicating increased bearish sentiment [4] - This high put volume suggests potential for bullish activity if the bearish sentiment begins to reverse [4] Group 4 - NuScale Power's put/call open interest ratio of 1.44 is the highest in the past 12 months, indicating a preference for puts among short-term options traders [5] - There is significant opportunity for bullish positions, as 10 out of 15 covering brokerages have a "hold" or worse rating [5]

Market Sentiment - The Fear and Greed Index indicates Extreme Fear, yet the SPY is only 2% from all-time highs, suggesting a disconnect in market sentiment [1] - The Put/Call Ratio remains low, indicating that any increase in hedging may reflect panic rather than a true sentiment collapse, with the VIX above 20 signaling institutional protection [2] Regional Banks - Zions Bancorporation (ZION) has reignited concerns about bank stability by revealing new unrealized bond losses, negatively impacting other regional banks like CFG and KEY [3] - The banking sector remains fragile, with large banks better positioned but still vulnerable to investor concerns regarding financial stability [5] Earnings Season - Upcoming earnings reports from major companies such as Netflix (NFLX), Tesla (TSLA), Intel (INTC), and IBM (IBM) are expected to be significant market catalysts [6] - Analysts anticipate modest EPS growth from NFLX, mixed margins from TSLA due to pricing pressures, and continued AI momentum from INTC and IBM [6] - The results from these earnings could determine whether the current market pullback is a consolidation phase or a breakout setup as the year ends [8]

According to Deribit data, over $5.3 billion in crypto options are set to expire tomorrow. BTC options total $4.3 billion in notional value with a Put/Call ratio of 1.12 and a max pain price of $117,000, while ETH options total $940 million with a Put/Call ratio of 0.9 and a max pain price of $4,430. BTC traders remain divided between $110K puts and $120K calls, while ETH flows show a more bullish bias. https://t.co/f72lKcsP8z ...

Kenvue Inc (NYSE:KVUE) stock is up 3.9% to trade at $17.62 at last check, erasing some of yesterday's losses that followed the Trump administration connection between the use of  acetaminophen -- the active ingredient of the company's Tylenol pain drug -- in pregnancy and autism. The link drew criticism from medical professionals, who claim it lacks scientific evidence.Though KVUE is bouncing off yesterday's record low of $16.89, it still has work to do before recouping the 7.5% bear gap. The stock is tradi ...

Core Insights - Visa's stock has been trading between $340 and $355 since August, following a rejection at the $360 level in July, after reaching an all-time high of $375.51 on June 11, contributing to an 18.4% year-over-year gain [1] Group 1: Stock Performance and Trends - Visa stock is currently near its 12-month moving average, having closed above this trendline in 80% of the last 20 months. Historically, this has led to a price increase one month later 83% of the time, averaging an 8.2% gain [2] - A similar price movement from the current level could push Visa's stock above $368, with long-term returns averaging a 19.3% gain after three months in 89% of cases, potentially reaching new highs around $406 [3] Group 2: Options Market Sentiment - The options market shows a high level of pessimism, with Visa's 50-day put/call volume ratio at 1.11, ranking higher than 71% of readings from the past year. The put/call open interest ratio of 1.06 is in the 83rd percentile, indicating a strong put bias among short-term options traders [5] - Current conditions suggest it may be a favorable time to consider options trading, as Visa's Volatility Index (SVI) of 21% is in the low 12th percentile of its annual range, indicating low volatility expectations from options traders [6]

Core Viewpoint - On Holding (ONON) is experiencing volatility, currently trading at $49.94, down 3.2% in the afternoon, with an 8.5% year-to-date deficit, but historical patterns suggest potential for recovery [1] Group 1: Stock Performance - Since mid-June, ONON has faced resistance at $55, limiting breakout attempts and contributing to its year-to-date underperformance [1] - Historical data indicates that after similar market conditions, ONON has increased in value 75% of the time, averaging a 10.6% gain one month later [2] Group 2: Technical Indicators - ONON is currently within one standard deviation of the 80-day moving average, having spent 80% of the past two months above this average [2] - The stock's recent trading behavior suggests a potential upward movement if the historical trend continues [2] Group 3: Market Sentiment - Options traders exhibit extreme bearish sentiment, with a put/call open interest ratio of 1.66, placing it in the 99th percentile of the past year [4] - A reversal of this bearish sentiment could provide additional support for ONON's stock price [4]