RWA+稳定币

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策略周报:提防短期震荡调整,择机配置中期弹性-20250622
Bank of China Securities· 2025-06-22 11:22
Core Views - The A-share market is expected to continue a consolidating pattern in the short term, influenced by geopolitical factors and domestic policy expectations [2][10][11] - The adjustment in the main industry is likely to be limited, with the banking sector showing resilience while small-cap stocks face downward pressure [2][21][23] - Mid to long-term industry styles are expected to return to elasticity, suggesting opportunities for strategic allocation during the consolidation phase [2][30][34] Market Overview - The market is currently experiencing a box-like consolidation pattern, with short-term sentiment nearing a peak, limiting upward potential [12][11] - Geopolitical risks are manageable, and the A-share market is anticipated to revert to fundamental drivers as long as conflicts do not escalate [11][12] - Recent performance indicates a mixed sentiment, with strong retail sales and industrial output, but investment growth is weakening due to real estate sector pressures [11][12] Industry Performance - The banking sector has outperformed due to its defensive nature and favorable funding conditions, while sectors like innovative pharmaceuticals and new consumption are showing signs of profit-taking [21][23] - The AI and humanoid robotics sectors have faced challenges in maintaining upward momentum, with recent news affecting sentiment [23][24] - The financial technology sector, particularly related to stablecoins and RWA (Real-World Assets), is expected to see continued growth and investment opportunities [30][31] IPO and Regulatory Developments - The reopening of the IPO channel for unprofitable companies on the Sci-Tech Innovation Board is a significant development, aimed at supporting high-quality tech firms [41][42] - The new regulatory framework is designed to enhance inclusivity and adaptability for innovative companies, particularly in emerging sectors like AI and aerospace [41][42]