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瑞幸「上岸」背后:IDG的「赌局」与新面孔
3 6 Ke· 2025-11-20 12:08
Core Insights - Luckin Coffee reported Q3 2025 total revenue of 15.3 billion RMB (2.14 billion USD), a year-on-year increase of 50.2%, and a net profit of 1.28 billion RMB, marking a turnaround from losses [3][4] - The company's stock price reached 40.00 USD per share, a staggering increase of 2497.4% from its 2020 price of 1.54 USD [3] - CEO Guo Jinyi announced efforts to return to the US main board listing, although no specific timeline was provided [3][4] Company Recovery - Luckin Coffee has transformed from a company that faced severe penalties and was nearly declared dead in 2020 to becoming China's largest coffee chain with over 29,000 stores [4][8] - The company has expanded internationally, opening stores in Singapore, the US, and Malaysia, with projected annual revenue exceeding 50 billion RMB by 2025 [4][8] Role of Major Investors - Dazhong Capital played a crucial role in Luckin's recovery, leading debt restructuring and governance changes after becoming the controlling shareholder in January 2022 [4][6] - IDG Capital joined Dazhong Capital's buyer group during a critical acquisition of shares from Luckin's original founders, acquiring over 383 million shares [4][6] Investment Strategy - IDG Capital's investment in Luckin was seen as a significant gamble, as the firm is typically viewed as conservative [5][9] - The decision to invest was based on thorough due diligence, revealing that Luckin's sales remained stable despite the scandal, indicating genuine market demand [7][8] Market Potential - IDG Capital estimated that Luckin could expand to at least 20,000 stores, with a potential for 30,000, highlighting the scalability of its business model [8][9] - The investment reflects IDG's shift towards recognizing the long-term potential of consumer brands in China, moving beyond traditional financial metrics [14][18] Evolution of Investment Approach - IDG Capital's investment history shows a transition from focusing on global brand localization to embracing innovative consumer products and long-term investments [16][17] - The firm is now pursuing a strategy that includes acquisitions, aiming to take a more active role in managing consumer brands globally [17][18]
瑞幸“上岸”背后:IDG的“赌局”与新面孔
暗涌Waves· 2025-11-20 00:33
这本应是一次常规的业绩披露,但在当下的时间节点,其意义远不止于财报数字。就在几天前,瑞幸CEO郭谨一在厦门企业家日大 会上公开表示,瑞幸"正积极推动重回美国主板上市进程"。 事后瑞幸官方向媒体补充说明:"目前对于重返主板上市没有确定的时间表,现阶段的首要任务仍是践行业务战略、聚焦发展。"即 便如此,瑞幸所经历的巨大转折性,也足以在中国商业史上留下自己的名字。 "上岸",这个在中国语境中充满"历劫重生"意味的词汇,或许将成为瑞幸的现实。 距离2020年那场风波已过去五年。五年间,瑞幸从纳斯达克退市,支付巨额罚金,几乎被市场宣判死刑。而今,它却奇迹般地"逆 风翻盘":超29000家门店,成为实质上中国最大的咖啡连锁品牌;还把咖啡店开到新加坡、美国、马来西亚等国家;郭谨一更预 计,2025年公司全年营收将超500亿元人民币。 「 新消费,新投资,新叙事。 」 文 | 陈之琰 11月17日,瑞幸咖啡在美股盘前发布其2025年第三季度财报。Q3总营收153亿元人民币(21.4亿美元),同比增长50.2%。净利润达 12.8亿元人民币,同比实现扭亏为盈。截至当日收盘,瑞幸粉单报40.00元美元/股,相比其2020年在粉单 ...