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How REITs Became The Safe Haven Trade In The Tech Wreck
Seeking Alpha· 2026-02-17 21:12
Core Viewpoint - REITs are regaining favor as a safe haven investment, showing a year-to-date increase of 6.9% compared to a broader market decline [1] Group 1: Market Dynamics - The turning point for market sentiment occurred in early February, coinciding with a reversal of previously hot trades and a focus on significant capital expenditure (capex) by hyperscalers during earnings season [3] - Major tech companies like Microsoft, Google, and Amazon experienced declines of 5%, 10%, and 18% respectively, contributing to a 4% drop in the Nasdaq and a 2% drop in the S&P in the first two weeks of February [7][8] - Traditional safe havens, including gold and silver, have not performed well, leading investors to consider REITs as a more reliable option [9][11] Group 2: REITs' Fundamental Strength - REITs have demonstrated strong fundamental performance over the past five years, with metrics such as FFO (Funds From Operations) growth and improved margins [13][16] - The median REIT trades at 13.8X FFO, significantly lower than the S&P's 29.3X trailing earnings, indicating a divergence in valuation [21] - REITs currently offer an FFO yield of 7.24%, compared to the S&P's earnings yield of 3.4%, allowing for larger dividend payouts [24] Group 3: Cash Flow Reliability - REITs benefit from contractual revenue streams that can extend up to 30 years, providing visibility into future cash flows and supporting consistent dividend growth [17][19] - A forecast indicates that 36 REITs are expected to increase their dividends in the first quarter of 2026, reflecting their reliable cash flow structure [17] Group 4: Direct Benefits from Tech Capex - Many REITs are positioned to benefit directly from the trillions of dollars being spent on AI infrastructure, with companies like Equinix reporting accelerating growth in AFFO per share due to increased demand for data centers [29] - The demand for infrastructure related to AI is driving significant growth opportunities for REITs, contrasting with the challenges faced by hyperscalers [29] Group 5: Market Correction and Future Outlook - The current market correction is seen as a recalibration of previously inflated tech valuations, with capital shifting towards undervalued sectors like REITs [32][33] - The outperformance of REITs in 2026 is viewed as just the beginning, with expectations for further normalization of relative value as the market adjusts [33]
Veteran Analyst Says Bitcoin’s Safe-Haven Dream Is Cracking — But Crypto’s Next Era May Just Be Beginning
Yahoo Finance· 2026-02-17 09:34
Bitcoin’s long-held narrative as a safe haven and digital gold is under scrutiny, as veteran analyst Ran Neuner, among others, questions the pioneer crypto’s future. Experts outline why Bitcoin may no longer serve the role it once claimed, and why the broader crypto ecosystem could be on the brink of a new era. Bitcoin’s Store-of-Value Thesis Faces Crisis as Crypto Evolves Despite a weakening US Dollar and mounting global uncertainty, Bitcoin underperformed expectations as a hedge against fiat debasemen ...
Michael Burry made $100M by betting against the housing market in 2008, now he’s set his sights on AI with these moves
Yahoo Finance· 2026-02-16 17:45
Still, concerns about speculation in the AI trade are bubbling up elsewhere. Goldman Sachs CEO David Solomon recently warned that “a bunch of the capital that’s being deployed [in AI] will actually not produce any returns (7)”.“The two companies he’s shorting are the ones making all the money, which is super weird,” Karp said (6). “The idea that chips and ontology is what you want to short is bats— crazy.”Burry himself even leaned into the drama — pairing his “bubble” comments with a photo of Christian Bale ...
PALOMA ACQUISITION CORP I(PALOU) - Prospectus(update)
2026-02-11 23:58
FORM S-1 REGISTRATION STATEMENT UNDER THE SECURITIES ACT OF 1933 Table of Contents As filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission on February 11, 2026. Registration No. 333-293083 UNITED STATES SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION Washington, D.C. 20549 Amendment No. 1 to Paloma Acquisition Corp I (Exact name of registrant as specified in its charter) Cayman Islands 6770 N/A (State or other jurisdiction of incorporation or organization) (Primary Standard Industrial Classification Code Number) (I.R.S. Em ...
Trump makes jaw-dropping Dow prediction of 100,000 by 2029 — a 99% surge fueled by ‘great tariffs.’ Build serious wealth
Yahoo Finance· 2026-02-11 22:33
Investment Strategies - Warren Buffett advocates for owning the S&P 500 index fund, which provides exposure to 500 of America's largest companies and instant diversification without the need for active trading [1][2] - Buffett emphasizes that most investors do not need to pick individual stocks to benefit from the long-term growth of the stock market, highlighting the certainty of American business value increasing over time [2] Market Performance - The average 401(k) balance reached an all-time high of $144,400 in Q3 2025, reflecting a 9% year-over-year increase [3] - The S&P 500 returned approximately 16% in 2025 and has increased about 77% over the past five years, indicating strong market momentum [3] Real Estate Investment - Real estate is highlighted as a productive, income-generating asset, with Buffett expressing willingness to invest $25 billion for 1% of all apartment houses in the U.S. [9] - Real estate serves as a hedge against inflation, as property values and rental income tend to rise with inflation [10] Alternative Investment Platforms - Crowdfunding platforms like Arrived allow investors to buy shares in rental homes with as little as $100, providing an accessible way to invest in real estate without the burdens of property management [11] - Lightstone Group offers institutional-quality real estate investments with a minimum investment of $100,000, backed by a strong historical performance [13][14] Gold as a Diversifier - Ray Dalio emphasizes the importance of a well-diversified portfolio, with gold being a key diversifier during economic downturns [15][16] - Gold prices have increased over 70% in the past year, with potential for further growth as indicated by JPMorgan CEO Jamie Dimon [17] Financial Advisory Services - Advisor.com connects individuals with vetted financial advisors to tailor investment strategies based on unique financial situations, helping to grow wealth and plan for long-term security [19][20]
Bitcoin gets slashed in half. What's behind the crypto's existential crisis
CNBC· 2026-02-06 17:03
Core Viewpoint - The cryptocurrency market, particularly Bitcoin, is experiencing a significant downturn, with Bitcoin falling to around $60,000, leading to a reassessment of its utility as a digital currency and store of value [1][2][4]. Market Performance - Bitcoin dropped to a low of $60,062, marking a decline of over 52% from its all-time high of $126,000 in early October 2025 [2]. - In a single day, Bitcoin lost more than 15%, with its daily relative strength index falling to 18, indicating extreme oversold conditions [3]. - Other cryptocurrencies, such as Ether and Solana, also saw declines of 24% and 26% respectively for the week, reflecting a broader loss of confidence in the crypto market [3]. Institutional Sentiment - Institutional interest in Bitcoin appears to be waning, as evidenced by significant outflows from spot Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs), which recorded over $3 billion in outflows in January alone, following $2 billion in December and $7 billion in November [9]. - Investors are increasingly skeptical about the willingness of financial institutions and governments to adopt Bitcoin, which has been a major driver of its value in recent years [7]. Comparative Analysis - Over the past year, Bitcoin has decreased by 28%, while gold has increased by 72%, highlighting gold's effectiveness as a hedge against macroeconomic risks [5]. - Bitcoin has been trading down alongside other risk-on assets, raising doubts about its status as a safe haven during periods of economic uncertainty [6]. Market Dynamics - The current market downturn is characterized as a macro-driven deleveraging rather than a structural failure within the crypto ecosystem [5]. - Efforts to position Bitcoin as "digital gold" or an alternative to traditional safe havens have lost traction, with many initiatives to promote Bitcoin as a payment method failing to gain momentum [10][11]. Future Outlook - Despite the current challenges, some investors remain optimistic about Bitcoin's long-term potential, although there is a growing concern about the security of its underlying network [12][13].
Should You Buy the iShares Silver Trust ETF After Its Steep Sell-Off?
The Motley Fool· 2026-02-03 08:45
The market dynamics for silver -- and this silver ETF -- could still be favorable.What goes up can come down. We saw that axiom play out in a big way last week. Shares of the iShares Silver Trust (SLV 3.98%) exchange-traded fund (ETF) had skyrocketed 277% higher over the previous 12 months as of Thursday, Jan. 29, 2026.Then the bottom fell out. This high-flying ETF plunged nearly 30% on Friday, the last trading day of January. However, the opposite of the aforementioned adage is also true: What comes down c ...
Earnings Packed Week Challenges Metals & Bitcoin "Shaking the Market"
Youtube· 2026-02-02 14:30
Earnings and Economic Data - The upcoming week is expected to feature significant earnings reports from high-profile companies including Palantir, AMD, Google (Alphabet), and Amazon, alongside important economic data leading up to non-farm payrolls on Friday [3][6] - The previous week experienced volatility in the markets, influenced by various factors including tariffs and the Federal Reserve's decisions, with ongoing uncertainty regarding the Supreme Court's ruling on tariffs [4][5] Market Volatility and Commodities - The volatility in metal markets, particularly gold and silver, has been notable, with silver experiencing a drop of approximately 35-40% and gold falling 20% from its highs, causing market jitters [7][11] - Crude oil prices have seen a decline of 4.5%, attributed to increased oil production from Venezuela, softened tensions between the US and Iran, and OPEC's decision to maintain current production levels [15][18] Bitcoin and Investment Trends - Bitcoin has shown signs of stabilization, with discussions around its potential upside due to favorable fundamentals, despite recent heavy trading activity and uncertainty regarding its true value [8][9] - Investors are reallocating funds, with a trend towards gold and technology stocks, indicating a shift in market sentiment [8][10] Geopolitical Factors - Gold continues to be viewed as a safe haven asset amid geopolitical tensions, particularly with ongoing issues related to Iran, which may support its price in the future [14] - The strengthening of the US dollar, influenced by the appointment of Kevin Worsh as head of the Fed, is impacting the attractiveness of gold and silver investments [20]
Gold may be overbought, but it will keep trending higher overall: Al Ramz Capital
Youtube· 2026-01-30 16:57
Core Viewpoint - The outlook for gold remains positive despite recent pullbacks, with expectations for significant gains in the long term driven by various factors including geopolitical tensions and central bank activities [1][2][3]. Group 1: Gold Market Dynamics - Gold is on track for its strongest monthly gain since the 1980s, despite a slight pullback from recent highs [1]. - The movement in gold prices is influenced by the US dollar's performance, safe-haven demand, and central bank buying, alongside growing positions in gold ETFs [2]. - Recent technical adjustments indicate that gold has been overbought, suggesting potential volatility ahead, but the fundamental drivers for higher prices remain intact [3]. Group 2: Economic Scenarios and Predictions - Various economic scenarios could impact gold prices, including global growth acceleration, stagnation, or potential geopolitical frictions [5]. - The most probable scenario suggests a continued upward trend towards the $6,000 mark, with potential short-term fluctuations depending on economic conditions [6]. Group 3: Geopolitical Influences - The geopolitical situation, particularly regarding Iran, has intensified, with military assets being deployed by the US and discussions of potential diplomatic solutions [7][8]. - Current geopolitical uncertainties have not led to a typical safe-haven buying of gold; instead, there is a broader sell-off of assets, indicating a panic response [10]. - The congregation of military and diplomatic actions in the region could lead to significant movements in asset prices, including gold [11]. Group 4: Short-term Market Behavior - Recent profit-taking is observed as gold prices surged by 30% in one month, leading to justified adjustments in positions [12].
Strong price gains, all-time highs in gold, silver; safe haven bidding
KITCO· 2026-01-29 12:52
Group 1 - Jim Wyckoff has over 25 years of experience in stock, financial, and commodity markets, including roles as a financial journalist and reporter on commodity futures trading floors in Chicago and New York [1] - He has covered every futures market traded in the U.S. at various times during his career [1] - Jim is the owner of "Jim Wyckoff on the Markets," which provides analytical, educational, and trading advisory services [2] Group 2 - He has worked as a technical analyst for Dow Jones Newswires and as a senior market analyst with TraderPlanet.com [2] - Jim is also a consultant for the respected "Pro Farmer" agricultural advisory service and was the head equities analyst at CapitalistEdge.com [2] - He holds a degree in journalism and economics from Iowa State University [2] Group 3 - Daily updates and technical analysis are provided by Jim on Kitco.com, including both AM and PM roundups [3]