Workflow
Safe haven assets
icon
Search documents
How a U.S. government shutdown could impact global markets
CNBC· 2025-10-01 13:19
Morning light hits the U.S. Capitol hours ahead of a press conference to discuss the Epstein Files Transparency bill, directing the release of the remaining files related to the investigations into Jeffrey Epstein and Ghislaine Maxwell, on Capitol Hill in Washington, D.C., U.S., September 3, 2025. Jonathan Ernst | ReutersThe U.S. government entered a shutdown on Wednesday, sparking conversation across global markets as investors weighed the potential impact on the wider economy.Although government shutdowns ...
September Could Put Investors to the Test | Presented by CME Group
Bloomberg Television· 2025-09-12 17:21
Market Performance - September historically exhibits negative returns for US equities, averaging -0.72% over the last 75 years [1] - The market entered September following a nearly 30% increase from April lows [1] - Concerns exist regarding stretched valuations, political uncertainty, and the potential overextension of the AI trade [2] Investment Strategy - Some investors are considering locking in gains and shifting to cash or stable assets due to increased volatility [2] - Gold is seen as a safe haven asset and has experienced a historic run [3] - Investor behavior in September could significantly influence year-end allocations and the market sentiment for 2026 [3][4] Economic Indicators - Recent labor data suggests a slowing economy, potentially indicating the Federal Reserve is behind on rate cuts [2]
Israel Attacks Iran Nuclear Sites; Oil Surges On War Fears | Horizons Middle East & Africa 6/13/2025
Bloomberg Television· 2025-06-13 07:10
Geopolitical Risk & Market Impact - Israel launched Operation Rising Line, targeting Iranian nuclear sites, escalating Middle East tensions [1][62] - Oil prices surged as much as 13% due to fears of a wider war impacting a third of global crude production [2][63] - Brent crude rose nearly 9%, trading around $75.47-$75.48 per barrel [3] - S&P futures fell over 1.5%, reflecting a risk-off mood in the markets [4][120] - Gold prices increased over 1%, nearing record highs as investors sought safe-haven assets [5][47] Potential Economic Consequences - A sustained rise in energy prices could lead to higher transport costs in Asia, limiting central banks' ability to cut rates and support domestic demand [51] - The Strait of Hormuz, through which a quarter of global oil output passes, is a potential target, threatening to cause oil prices to skyrocket [30][44] - The US dollar experienced a knee-jerk jump due to risk aversion, but its strength is unlikely to last due to underlying macro weaknesses and anticipated Federal Reserve interest rate cuts [67][69] Strategic Analysis & Regional Response - Israel believes Iran was rapidly moving towards weaponization, potentially building nine atom bombs in the coming months, justifying the operation [13][14] - The US administration signaled a "proceed with caution" approach, allowing Israel to take the risk in hopes of breaking the diplomatic stalemate [24][25] - Oman condemned Israel's actions, and Gulf states are likely to distance themselves, emphasizing neutrality and signaling to Iran they have no interest in escalation [32][33][34] - Iran's armed forces chief of staff was reportedly killed in the strikes [37] - Saudi Arabia condemned Israel's attack on Iran, describing the incident as blatant [74]
Mining Stock Slides As Tariff Tensions Ease
Schaeffers Investment Research· 2025-05-12 14:58
Group 1 - The trade talks between China and the U.S. resulted in lower tariffs, boosting market sentiment and leading to a significant increase in stock prices at the start of the week [1] - Newmont Corporation (NEM) experienced a decline of 4.9%, trading at $51.33, marking its worst daily percentage drop since early April, despite a 20% year-over-year gain [2] - Options traders showed bullish sentiment with a 50-day call/put volume ratio of 4.27, ranking higher than 78% of readings from the past year [2] Group 2 - Short-term traders have also leaned bullish, indicated by NEM's put/call open interest ratio of 0.61, which is in the 34th percentile of annual readings [3] - Newmont stock has outperformed options traders' volatility expectations over the last 12 months, with a Schaeffer's Volatility Scorecard (SVS) of 82 out of 100, suggesting a favorable environment for options trading [3]