Shiller P/E Ratio

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Warren Buffett's $177 Billion Warning to Wall Street Is Deafening and Unmistakable
The Motley Fool· 2025-08-04 07:06
The Oracle of Omaha has been a net-seller of stocks for 11 consecutive quarters. In May, Wall Street's most-followed money manager, Berkshire Hathaway's (BRK.A -1.27%) (BRK.B 0.18%) CEO Warren Buffett, made waves by announcing his intent to retire from the role of CEO by the end of the year. While not unexpected -- Buffett will turn 95 on Aug. 30 -- it nevertheless raises eyebrows given the Oracle of Omaha's outstanding investment track record, where he's overseen a cumulative return of nearly 5,750,000% in ...
Meet the Only Stock I've Purchased During the Nasdaq Correction
The Motley Fool· 2025-03-25 08:51
Market Overview - The stock market has experienced a downturn, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average, S&P 500, and Nasdaq Composite losing 5.9%, 7.8%, and 11.3% respectively between February 19 and March 21 [1][2] - The Nasdaq Composite's decline has placed it in correction territory, prompting considerations for bargain hunting despite a historically pricey market [2] Valuation Concerns - Valuation remains a significant concern for the stock market, with the Shiller price-to-earnings (P/E) Ratio for the S&P 500 reaching 35.28, more than double its historical average of 17.22 since January 1871 [7][5] - Historical data indicates that when the Shiller P/E exceeds 30, it has often been followed by declines of at least 20% in the S&P 500 [8][9] Company Spotlight: PubMatic - PubMatic is a cloud-based programmatic ad platform focused on digital advertising, including video, mobile, and connected TV [11] - The company faced a temporary setback due to its first-quarter guidance and full-year outlook not meeting analyst expectations, primarily influenced by changes in Google's bidding algorithm [12][13] - Despite this, PubMatic's digital ad segments, particularly connected TV (CTV), are experiencing significant growth, with CTV revenue more than doubling year-over-year and accounting for 20% of total sales [14] Financial Strength - PubMatic has maintained positive cash flow from operations for 10 consecutive years, ending 2024 with $140.6 million in cash and no debt, equating to nearly $3 per share in cash [16] - The company has actively repurchased stock, reducing its outstanding share count by over 8% since initiating buybacks two years ago, which positively impacts earnings per share (EPS) [17] Investment Appeal - PubMatic is currently valued at 12.7 times forward-year EPS, or below 9 when excluding its cash position, presenting an attractive investment opportunity given its potential for sustained double-digit growth [18]